PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

TCU Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, TCU makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 91% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, TCU makes the playoffs 91% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to TCU making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
TCU Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 TCU (22) Big 12Big 12 111 13 0 - - 100%
2 Duke (64) ACCACC 98 12 1 - - 100%
3 UTEP (11) Conference USAConf. USA 96 13 0 - - 100%
4 Nevada (43) Mountain WestMntn West 94 12 2 - - 100%
 
5 Boston College (89) ACCACC 92 12 1 - - X
6 Ole Miss (110) SECSEC 92 11 2 - - X
7 Maryland (105) Big 10Big 10 88 12 1 - - X
8 Tennessee (115) SECSEC 84 10 3 - - X
9 UTSA (25) American AthleticAm. Athletic 83 10 2 - - X
10 UAB (35) American AthleticAm. Athletic 83 11 2 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, TCU misses the playoffs 9% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to TCU missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (22)TCU opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (22)TCU does not plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
TCU Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Wake Forest (112) ACCACC 106 13 0 - - 100%
2 Boston College (89) ACCACC 100 12 1 - - 100%
3 Tulsa (30) American AthleticAm. Athletic 98 13 0 - - 100%
4 Purdue (117) Big 10Big 10 97 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Memphis (47) American AthleticAm. Athletic 95 12 1 - - X
6 TCU (22) Big 12Big 12 95 13 0 - - X
7 W. Kentucky (1) Conference USAConf. USA 94 11 2 - - X
8 Wisconsin (100) Big 10Big 10 93 11 2 - - X
9 Virginia Tech (98) ACCACC 92 10 2 - - X
10 Ohio (21) MACMAC 89 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot