If it loses one of its remaining games, TCU will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 54% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, TCU makes the playoffs 54% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to TCU making the playoffs.
(22)TCU opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 101 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | TCU (22) | Big 12Big 12 | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Michigan St. (116) | Big 10Big 10 | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Bowling Green (24) | MACMAC | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Fresno State (31) | Mountain WestMntn West | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | West Virginia (77) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Kentucky (111) | SECSEC | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Penn St. (121) | Big 10Big 10 | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Middle Tenn. St. (9) | Conference USAConf. USA | 89 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Indiana (131) | Big 10Big 10 | 89 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, TCU misses the playoffs 46% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to TCU missing the playoffs.
(22)TCU opponents lose (SOS related)
(22)TCU does not plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
(73)BYU wins the Big 12 Championship
(77)West Virginia wins 12 or more games
(73)BYU wins out
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Central Michigan (18) | MACMAC | 112 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 101 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | BYU (73) | Big 12Big 12 | 99 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | New Mexico (40) | Mountain WestMntn West | 97 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | TCU (22) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | San Diego State (49) | Mountain WestMntn West | 91 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Akron (23) | MACMAC | 90 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Pittsburgh (79) | ACCACC | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. (114) | SECSEC | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | San José State (68) | Mountain WestMntn West | 87 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |