Based upon current play, Texas St. makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 3% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
Based upon current play, Texas St. makes the playoffs 3% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Texas St. making the playoffs.
(42)Texas St. wins 12 or more games
(42)Texas St. plays in the Sunbelt Championship Game
(42)Texas St. opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) | Conference USAConf. USA | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Troy (41) | SunbeltSunbelt | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 95 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Texas St. (42) | SunbeltSunbelt | 95 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Air Force (46) | Mountain WestMntn West | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Georgia (118) | SECSEC | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | UTSA (25) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Florida St. (97) | ACCACC | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Charlotte (44) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Pittsburgh (79) | ACCACC | 88 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
Based upon current play, Texas St. misses the playoffs 97% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Texas St. missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Utah St. (65) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 82 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |