PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Troy Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Current

Based upon current play, Troy makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 3% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

Based upon current play, Troy makes the playoffs 3% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Troy making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (41)Troy wins 12 or more games
  • (41)Troy plays in the Sunbelt Championship Game
  • (41)Troy opponents win (SOS related)
Troy Most Likely Outcome - Current - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) Conference USAConf. USA 100 12 1 - - 100%
2 Troy (41) SunbeltSunbelt 99 12 1 - - 100%
3 Louisville (80) ACCACC 95 11 1 - - 100%
4 Texas St. (42) SunbeltSunbelt 95 11 1 - - 100%
 
5 Air Force (46) Mountain WestMntn West 94 12 1 - - X
6 Georgia (118) SECSEC 92 12 1 - - X
7 UTSA (25) American AthleticAm. Athletic 90 11 2 - - X
8 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 90 12 1 - - X
9 Charlotte (44) American AthleticAm. Athletic 89 11 2 - - X
10 Pittsburgh (79) ACCACC 88 10 2 - - X




Based upon current play, Troy misses the playoffs 97% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Troy missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
Troy Most Likely Outcome - Current - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Boston College (89) ACCACC 102 13 0 - - 100%
2 LA Monroe (88) SunbeltSunbelt 93 12 1 - - 100%
3 Oklahoma St. (39) Big 12Big 12 91 11 2 - - 100%
4 Utah St. (65) Mountain WestMntn West 88 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Texas Tech (61) Big 12Big 12 87 10 3 - - X
6 UTEP (11) Conference USAConf. USA 86 10 3 - - X
7 W. Kentucky (1) Conference USAConf. USA 84 10 3 - - X
8 East Carolina (29) American AthleticAm. Athletic 84 11 2 - - X
9 Virginia Tech (98) ACCACC 84 11 2 - - X
10 Tennessee (115) SECSEC 82 10 3 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot