PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

UConn Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, UConn will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 23% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, UConn makes the playoffs 23% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UConn making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (125)UConn opponents win (SOS related)
UConn Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 102 13 0 - - 100%
2 UTSA (25) American AthleticAm. Athletic 102 13 0 - - 100%
3 Ohio (21) MACMAC 102 12 1 - - 100%
4 UConn (125) NCAA IndependentsInd. 95 11 1 - - 100%
 
5 Kansas St. (38) Big 12Big 12 94 12 1 - - X
6 Buffalo (48) MACMAC 93 11 2 - - X
7 Minnesota (109) Big 10Big 10 91 12 1 - - X
8 Pittsburgh (79) ACCACC 91 11 2 - - X
9 California (87) ACCACC 89 10 2 - - X
10 Utah (53) Big 12Big 12 88 11 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, UConn misses the playoffs 77% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UConn missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (125)UConn opponents lose (SOS related)
UConn Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 104 13 0 - - 100%
2 Vanderbilt (96) SECSEC 104 12 1 - - 100%
3 Kent State (15) MACMAC 95 12 1 - - 100%
4 Utah St. (65) Mountain WestMntn West 94 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 South Carolina (104) SECSEC 94 12 1 - - X
6 Syracuse (90) ACCACC 94 12 1 - - X
7 Texas St. (42) SunbeltSunbelt 91 11 2 - - X
8 TCU (22) Big 12Big 12 91 12 1 - - X
9 UConn (125) NCAA IndependentsInd. 89 11 1 - - X
10 USC (108) Big 10Big 10 89 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot