PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

UConn Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, UConn makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 71% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, UConn makes the playoffs 71% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UConn making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (125)UConn opponents win (SOS related)
UConn Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Fresno State (31) Mountain WestMntn West 104 13 0 - - 100%
2 Georgia (118) SECSEC 97 11 2 - - 100%
3 UConn (125) NCAA IndependentsInd. 96 12 0 - - 100%
4 Boston College (89) ACCACC 91 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Washington St. (83) NCAA IndependentsInd. 90 11 1 - - X
6 Notre Dame (130) NCAA IndependentsInd. 90 10 2 - - X
7 Minnesota (109) Big 10Big 10 90 12 1 - - X
8 Georgia Tech (91) ACCACC 88 11 2 - - X
9 Auburn (128) SECSEC 86 10 2 - - X
10 UMass (67) NCAA IndependentsInd. 83 9 3 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, UConn misses the playoffs 29% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UConn missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (125)UConn opponents lose (SOS related)
UConn Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Sam Houston (36) Conference USAConf. USA 96 12 1 - - 100%
2 Nevada (43) Mountain WestMntn West 93 13 1 - - 100%
3 Oregon (124) Big 10Big 10 92 12 1 - - 100%
4 Arkansas St. (6) SunbeltSunbelt 92 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Coastal Carolina (10) SunbeltSunbelt 92 11 2 - - X
6 Florida (84) SECSEC 89 12 1 - - X
7 Old Dominion (51) SunbeltSunbelt 89 10 2 - - X
8 Eastern Michigan (45) MACMAC 89 11 2 - - X
9 Utah (53) Big 12Big 12 88 11 2 - - X
10 Tulane (33) American AthleticAm. Athletic 88 12 1 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot