PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

USC Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, USC makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 95% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, USC makes the playoffs 95% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to USC making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
USC Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 USC (108) Big 10Big 10 114 13 0 - - 100%
2 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 99 12 1 - - 100%
3 Boston College (89) ACCACC 97 11 1 - - 100%
4 Kansas St. (38) Big 12Big 12 96 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Louisville (80) ACCACC 96 12 1 - - X
6 Clemson (93) ACCACC 96 11 2 - - X
7 Kansas (57) Big 12Big 12 96 11 2 - - X
8 Liberty (2) Conference USAConf. USA 95 12 1 - - X
9 UTSA (25) American AthleticAm. Athletic 93 12 1 - - X
10 Boise State (62) Mountain WestMntn West 93 12 1 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, USC misses the playoffs 5% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to USC missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (108)USC opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (108)USC does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
USC Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 101 13 0 - - 100%
2 Clemson (93) ACCACC 100 11 1 - - 100%
3 Boston College (89) ACCACC 99 11 2 - - 100%
4 UTEP (11) Conference USAConf. USA 96 13 0 - - 100%
 
5 TCU (22) Big 12Big 12 96 12 1 - - X
6 Virginia (78) ACCACC 96 10 2 - - X
7 UL Lafayette (60) SunbeltSunbelt 95 12 1 - - X
8 Boise State (62) Mountain WestMntn West 94 12 1 - - X
9 USC (108) Big 10Big 10 93 13 0 - - X
10 Stanford (103) ACCACC 90 10 3 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot