PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

USC Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, USC will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 62% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, USC makes the playoffs 62% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to USC making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (108)USC opponents win (SOS related)
USC Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Ohio St. (129) Big 10Big 10 111 13 0 - - 100%
2 USC (108) Big 10Big 10 103 12 1 - - 100%
3 Boston College (89) ACCACC 96 11 2 - - 100%
4 Texas (133) SECSEC 94 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Florida (84) SECSEC 93 11 1 - - X
6 Missouri (119) SECSEC 93 12 1 - - X
7 Middle Tenn. St. (9) Conference USAConf. USA 93 12 1 - - X
8 Georgia St. (66) SunbeltSunbelt 92 10 2 - - X
9 Arkansas St. (6) SunbeltSunbelt 89 11 2 - - X
10 Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) Conference USAConf. USA 88 11 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, USC misses the playoffs 38% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to USC missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (108)USC opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (108)USC does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
  • (129)Ohio St. wins 12 or more games
USC Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Virginia Tech (98) ACCACC 116 13 0 - - 100%
2 Sam Houston (36) Conference USAConf. USA 92 12 1 - - 100%
3 Florida (84) SECSEC 91 12 1 - - 100%
4 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 90 9 3 - - 100%
 
5 Clemson (93) ACCACC 89 10 2 - - X
6 Hawaii (20) Mountain WestMntn West 89 12 1 - - X
7 UMass (67) NCAA IndependentsInd. 86 12 0 - - X
8 Colorado (58) Big 12Big 12 86 11 2 - - X
9 Miami (81) ACCACC 85 8 5 - - X
10 California (87) ACCACC 84 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot