PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Washington Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Washington will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 45% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Washington makes the playoffs 45% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Washington making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (95)Washington opponents win (SOS related)
  • (95)Washington plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
Washington Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Black Knights (86) American AthleticAm. Athletic 105 12 0 - - 100%
2 Washington (95) Big 10Big 10 100 12 1 - - 100%
3 Eastern Michigan (45) MACMAC 95 11 2 - - 100%
4 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 94 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Indiana (131) Big 10Big 10 93 10 3 - - X
6 UAB (35) American AthleticAm. Athletic 91 10 2 - - X
7 Clemson (93) ACCACC 88 12 1 - - X
8 Liberty (2) Conference USAConf. USA 88 12 1 - - X
9 Memphis (47) American AthleticAm. Athletic 87 10 3 - - X
10 Ga. Southern (8) SunbeltSunbelt 86 12 1 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Washington misses the playoffs 55% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Washington missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (95)Washington opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (95)Washington does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
  • (105)Maryland wins 12 or more games
Washington Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Boston College (89) ACCACC 97 12 1 - - 100%
2 UAB (35) American AthleticAm. Athletic 96 13 0 - - 100%
3 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 95 12 1 - - 100%
4 Buffalo (48) MACMAC 95 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Washington (95) Big 10Big 10 90 12 1 - - X
6 Penn St. (121) Big 10Big 10 89 10 2 - - X
7 Tennessee (115) SECSEC 88 10 2 - - X
8 Georgia (118) SECSEC 88 10 3 - - X
9 San Diego State (49) Mountain WestMntn West 88 13 0 - - X
10 Maryland (105) Big 10Big 10 86 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot