PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Wisconsin Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Wisconsin will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 46% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Wisconsin makes the playoffs 46% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Wisconsin making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (100)Wisconsin opponents win (SOS related)
  • (100)Wisconsin plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
Wisconsin Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Clemson (93) ACCACC 98 12 1 - - 100%
2 Wisconsin (100) Big 10Big 10 98 12 1 - - 100%
3 Alabama (126) SECSEC 90 12 1 - - 100%
4 UNLV (56) Mountain WestMntn West 89 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Wake Forest (112) ACCACC 88 10 2 - - X
6 Middle Tenn. St. (9) Conference USAConf. USA 87 11 2 - - X
7 Black Knights (86) American AthleticAm. Athletic 86 11 1 - - X
8 Oregon St. (85) NCAA IndependentsInd. 86 11 1 - - X
9 UTEP (11) Conference USAConf. USA 86 11 2 - - X
10 UCF (69) Big 12Big 12 85 11 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Wisconsin misses the playoffs 54% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Wisconsin missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (100)Wisconsin opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (100)Wisconsin does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
  • (105)Maryland wins the Big 10 Championship
Wisconsin Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 101 13 0 - - 100%
2 Miami OH (16) MACMAC 101 12 1 - - 100%
3 Boston College (89) ACCACC 98 11 2 - - 100%
4 Clemson (93) ACCACC 97 11 1 - - 100%
 
5 W. Kentucky (1) Conference USAConf. USA 96 13 0 - - X
6 Maryland (105) Big 10Big 10 90 12 1 - - X
7 Tulsa (30) American AthleticAm. Athletic 89 13 0 - - X
8 Charlotte (44) American AthleticAm. Athletic 87 11 2 - - X
9 Florida Intl. (34) Conference USAConf. USA 87 12 1 - - X
10 UConn (125) NCAA IndependentsInd. 85 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot