PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Oct 27 11:15 pm

NFL - Week 9 of 18

Bengals What If?

The Bengals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Bengals play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Bengals What If?

Next Game - Bears (4‑3)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 4 5 0 <1% 1% 4% 22% 1% 3% 6% 62%
Current Standings 3 5 0 <1% 1% 3% 19% 1% 3% 5% 67%
Lose Next Game 3 6 0 <1% <1% 2% 16% 1% 2% 4% 75%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario <1% 1% 4% 24% 1% 3% 6% 61%
Current Standings <1% 1% 3% 19% 1% 3% 5% 67%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% 2% 13% 1% 3% 5% 76%
Best Case Scenario
   Bengals beats Bears
   Colts beats Steelers
Worst Case Scenario
   Bears beats Bengals
   Steelers beats Colts
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
9 of 9 100% 12 5 0 7% 34% 41% 17% 2% <1% <1% <1%
8 of 9 89% 11 6 0 <1% 8% 33% 47% 7% 4% 1% <1%
7 of 9 78% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 11% 60% 5% 12% 9% 3%
6 of 9 67% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 1% 46% 1% 7% 19% 25%
5 of 9 56% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 22% <1% 1% 8% 69%
4 of 9 44% 7 10 0 X <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1% 94%
3 of 9 33% 6 11 0 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 9 22% 5 12 0 X X X <1% X X <1% >99%
1 of 9 11% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 9 0% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs