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Mon Oct 19 11:30 pm

NFL - Week 7 of 18

Bengals What If?

The Bengals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Bengals play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Bengals What If?

Next Game - Ravens (4‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 4 2 0 4% 7% 6% 4% 9% 11% 10% 49%
Current Standings 3 2 0 3% 5% 5% 3% 8% 10% 10% 57%
Lose Next Game 3 3 0 1% 3% 4% 3% 7% 10% 10% 63%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 5% 8% 6% 4% 9% 11% 10% 47%
Current Standings 3% 5% 5% 3% 8% 10% 10% 57%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 3% 4% 2% 7% 9% 10% 64%
Best Case Scenario
   Saints beats Steelers
   Bengals beats Ravens
   Seahawks beats Chiefs
Worst Case Scenario
   Steelers beats Saints
   Ravens beats Bengals
   Chiefs beats Seahawks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
12 of 12 100% 15 2 0 80% 19% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
11 of 12 92% 14 3 0 43% 43% 10% 1% 3% <1% ^ ^
10 of 12 83% 13 4 0 13% 38% 25% 5% 16% 3% <1% <1%
9 of 12 75% 12 5 0 1% 15% 24% 12% 30% 16% 3% <1%
8 of 12 67% 11 6 0 <1% 2% 9% 11% 20% 35% 18% 4%
7 of 12 58% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 1% 5% 4% 24% 35% 31%
6 of 12 50% 9 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 4% 18% 77%
5 of 12 42% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
4 of 12 33% 7 10 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 12 25% 6 11 0 X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 12 17% 5 12 0 X X X X X X <1% >99%
1 of 12 8% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 12 0% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs