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Mon Oct 19 11:30 pm

NFL - Week 7 of 18

Browns What If?

The Browns What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Browns play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Browns What If?

Next Game - Titans (1‑5)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 5 2 0 6% 13% 11% 6% 11% 13% 10% 29%
Current Standings 4 2 0 6% 12% 11% 6% 10% 12% 10% 33%
Lose Next Game 4 3 0 2% 8% 10% 7% 9% 12% 11% 40%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 7% 14% 11% 6% 12% 13% 10% 28%
Current Standings 6% 12% 11% 6% 10% 12% 10% 33%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 8% 10% 8% 8% 12% 11% 42%
Best Case Scenario
   Browns beats Titans
   Cardinals beats Broncos
 Worst Case Scenario
   Titans beats Browns
   Broncos beats Cardinals
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
11 of 11 100% 15 2 0 61% 36% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
10 of 11 91% 14 3 0 29% 52% 16% 1% 1% <1% ^ ^
9 of 11 82% 13 4 0 9% 40% 33% 8% 9% 2% <1% <1%
8 of 11 73% 12 5 0 1% 15% 31% 18% 22% 12% 1% <1%
7 of 11 64% 11 6 0 <1% 2% 14% 19% 19% 31% 14% 2%
6 of 11 55% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 2% 11% 6% 24% 34% 23%
5 of 11 45% 9 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 3% <1% 6% 20% 71%
4 of 11 36% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 97%
3 of 11 27% 7 10 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 11 18% 6 11 0 X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
1 of 11 9% 5 12 0 X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 11 0% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs