The Most Important Games for the Chiefs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Chiefs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chiefs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chiefs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Falcons (2‑2) vs Ravens (3‑1) |
9 | Falcons Wins | 36% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 33% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Jets (1‑3) vs Browns (3‑1) |
8 | Jets Wins | 36% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Browns Wins | 34% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Eagles (2‑2) vs Jaguars (3‑1) |
7 | Eagles Wins | 36% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 34% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Patriots (2‑2) vs Raiders (3‑1) |
7 | Patriots Wins | 35% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 34% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Dolphins (0‑4) vs Bengals (2‑2) |
6 | Dolphins Wins | 35% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 34% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Chargers (0‑4) vs Broncos (2‑2) |
5 | Chargers Wins | 35% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 35% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Rams (2‑2) vs Bills (3‑1) |
3 | Rams Wins | 35% | 15% | 8% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Bills Wins | 34% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Titans (0‑4) vs Texans (0‑4) |
1 | Titans Wins | 34% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Texans Wins | 34% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Colts (2‑2) vs Steelers (2‑2) |
0 | Colts Wins | 35% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 35% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||