The Most Important Games for the Chiefs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Chiefs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chiefs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chiefs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Chiefs (9‑0) vs Bills (8‑2) |
69 | Chiefs Wins | 92% | 5% | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 80% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bills Wins | 67% | 21% | 7% | 1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ravens (7‑3) vs Steelers (7‑2) |
12 | Ravens Wins | 83% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 80% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 79% | 13% | 5% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bengals (4‑6) vs Chargers (6‑3) |
4 | Bengals Wins | 80% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 80% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 79% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dolphins (3‑6) vs Raiders (2‑7) |
2 | Dolphins Wins | 80% | 13% | 4% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 80% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 79% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Titans (2‑7) vs Vikings (7‑2) |
1 | Titans Wins | 80% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 80% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 79% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Patriots (3‑7) vs Rams (4‑5) |
1 | Patriots Wins | 79% | 13% | 4% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 80% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rams Wins | 79% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colts (4‑6) vs Jets (3‑7) |
1 | Colts Wins | 80% | 13% | 4% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 80% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Jets Wins | 79% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texans (6‑4) vs Cowboys (3‑6) |
1 | Texans Wins | 79% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 80% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 79% | 14% | 4% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Jaguars (2‑8) vs Lions (8‑1) |
1 | Jaguars Wins | 79% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 80% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lions Wins | 79% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Broncos (5‑5) vs Falcons (6‑4) |
0 | Broncos Wins | 79% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 80% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 79% | 13% | 4% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Saints (3‑7) vs Browns (2‑7) |
0 | Saints Wins | 79% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 80% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Browns Wins | 79% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||