The Most Important Games for the Chiefs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Chiefs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chiefs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chiefs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Chiefs (5‑1) vs Broncos (5‑2) |
87 | Chiefs Wins | 32% | 18% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 15% | 12% | 11% | 6% | 18% | 12% | 10% | 17% | ||
| Colts (2‑5) vs Jaguars (4‑2) |
6 | Colts Wins | 25% | 14% | 12% | 4% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 23% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 14% | ||
| Chargers (0‑6) vs Rams (3‑4) |
4 | Chargers Wins | 24% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
| Rams Wins | 23% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
| Jets (2‑5) vs Raiders (3‑4) |
4 | Jets Wins | 24% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 24% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
| Dolphins (1‑5) vs Patriots (4‑3) |
4 | Dolphins Wins | 25% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 24% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 14% | ||
| Ravens (4‑3) vs Bills (5‑1) |
3 | Ravens Wins | 25% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
| Bills Wins | 24% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 14% | ||
| Titans (1‑6) vs Bengals (4‑2) |
2 | Titans Wins | 25% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 24% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
| Browns (5‑2) vs Steelers (5‑2) |
2 | Browns Wins | 24% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 14% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 24% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 14% | ||