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Thu Oct 8 11:30 pm

NFL - Week 5 of 18

Ravens What If?

The Ravens What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Ravens play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Ravens What If?

Next Game - Falcons (2‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 4 1 0 12% 12% 7% 4% 11% 11% 10% 34%
Current Standings 3 1 0 10% 11% 7% 4% 10% 10% 9% 39%
Lose Next Game 3 2 0 7% 9% 7% 4% 10% 10% 9% 43%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 13% 11% 7% 3% 12% 10% 9% 34%
Current Standings 10% 11% 7% 4% 10% 10% 9% 39%
Worst Case Scenario 7% 10% 7% 4% 10% 10% 9% 43%
Best Case Scenario
   Chargers beats Broncos
   Ravens beats Falcons
Worst Case Scenario
   Broncos beats Chargers
   Falcons beats Ravens
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
13 of 13 100% 16 1 0 93% 7% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 of 13 92% 15 2 0 75% 24% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
11 of 13 85% 14 3 0 44% 46% 7% <1% 4% <1% <1% ^
10 of 13 77% 13 4 0 14% 44% 21% 3% 16% 3% <1% <1%
9 of 13 69% 12 5 0 2% 19% 27% 10% 26% 14% 2% <1%
8 of 13 62% 11 6 0 <1% 4% 14% 13% 21% 32% 13% 2%
7 of 13 54% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 3% 9% 8% 29% 32% 19%
6 of 13 46% 9 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 3% 1% 10% 28% 57%
5 of 13 38% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 7% 91%
4 of 13 31% 7 10 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 13 23% 6 11 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 13 15% 5 12 0 X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
1 of 13 8% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 13 0% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs