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Mon Oct 19 11:30 pm

NFL - Week 7 of 18

Seahawks What If?

The Seahawks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Seahawks play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Seahawks What If?

Next Game - Chiefs (5‑0)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 4 3 0 1% 4% 2% 1% 12% 14% 13% 54%
Current Standings 3 3 0 1% 3% 1% 1% 10% 13% 12% 60%
Lose Next Game 3 4 0 <1% 2% 1% 1% 8% 12% 12% 64%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 1% 4% 2% 1% 13% 15% 12% 52%
Current Standings 1% 3% 1% 1% 10% 13% 12% 60%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 2% 1% 1% 7% 12% 11% 66%
Best Case Scenario
   Patriots beats Bears
   Buccaneers beats Panthers
   Seahawks beats Chiefs
 Worst Case Scenario
   Bears beats Patriots
   Panthers beats Buccaneers
   Chiefs beats Seahawks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
11 of 11 100% 14 3 0 36% 31% <1% X 33% <1% ^ ^
10 of 11 91% 13 4 0 11% 31% 2% <1% 51% 5% <1% <1%
9 of 11 82% 12 5 0 2% 19% 6% <1% 49% 22% 2% <1%
8 of 11 73% 11 6 0 <1% 5% 6% 2% 28% 43% 15% 1%
7 of 11 64% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 2% 2% 8% 36% 38% 15%
6 of 11 55% 9 8 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 31% 58%
5 of 11 45% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 94%
4 of 11 36% 7 10 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 11 27% 6 11 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 11 18% 5 12 0 X X X X X X <1% >99%
1 of 11 9% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 11 0% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs