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Tue Sep 30 12:30 am

NFL - Week 5 of 18

Titans What If?

The Titans What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Titans play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Titans What If?

Next Game - Cardinals (2‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 1 4 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 92%
Current Standings 0 4 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 94%
Lose Next Game 0 5 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 95%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 92%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 94%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 95%
Best Case Scenario
   Titans beats Cardinals
 Worst Case Scenario
   Cardinals beats Titans
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
13 of 13 100% 13 4 0 18% 40% 20% 2% 19% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 13 92% 12 5 0 3% 19% 26% 10% 35% 7% 1% <1%
11 of 13 85% 11 6 0 <1% 4% 15% 15% 31% 26% 7% 1%
10 of 13 77% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 4% 12% 14% 31% 27% 12%
9 of 13 69% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 1% 6% 2% 13% 27% 51%
8 of 13 62% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 8% 88%
7 of 13 54% 7 10 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
6 of 13 46% 6 11 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 13 38% 5 12 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
4 of 13 31% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
3 of 13 23% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
2 of 13 15% 2 15 0 X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 13 8% 1 16 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 13 0% 0 17 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs