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Tue Oct 13 12:00 am

NFL - Week 6 of 18

Titans What If?

The Titans What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Titans play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Titans What If?

Next Game - Colts (2‑3)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 1 5 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
Current Standings 0 5 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
Lose Next Game 0 6 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Best Case Scenario
   Titans beats Colts
Worst Case Scenario
   Colts beats Titans
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
12 of 12 100% 12 5 0 2% 20% 40% 18% 14% 5% <1% <1%
11 of 12 92% 11 6 0 <1% 3% 21% 32% 16% 20% 7% 1%
10 of 12 83% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 6% 27% 6% 21% 24% 15%
9 of 12 75% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 1% 13% 1% 7% 21% 58%
8 of 12 67% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% 4% 92%
7 of 12 58% 7 10 0 X <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
6 of 12 50% 6 11 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 12 42% 5 12 0 X X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
4 of 12 33% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
3 of 12 25% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
2 of 12 17% 2 15 0 X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 12 8% 1 16 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 12 0% 0 17 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs