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Fri Oct 10 1:45 am

NHL - Week 1 of 28

Flames What If?

The Flames What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Flames play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Flames What If?

Next Game - Blues (0‑1‑0)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 2 1 0 4 12% 14% 13% - - - 6% 6% 50%
Current Standings 1 1 0 2 12% 13% 13% - - - 6% 6% 50%
Lose Next Game 1 2 0 2 11% 13% 13% - - - 6% 6% 51%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
80 of 80 100% 81 1 0 162 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
70 of 80 88% 71 11 0 142 94% 6% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
69 of 80 86% 70 12 0 140 91% 9% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
68 of 80 85% 69 13 0 138 86% 14% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
67 of 80 84% 68 14 0 136 81% 18% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
66 of 80 83% 67 15 0 134 74% 24% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
65 of 80 81% 66 16 0 132 68% 29% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
64 of 80 80% 65 17 0 130 61% 34% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
63 of 80 79% 64 18 0 128 53% 39% 8% - - - <1% <1% <1%
62 of 80 78% 63 19 0 126 46% 42% 11% - - - 1% <1% <1%
61 of 80 76% 62 20 0 124 38% 45% 15% - - - 2% <1% <1%
60 of 80 75% 61 21 0 122 32% 46% 19% - - - 3% <1% <1%
59 of 80 74% 60 22 0 120 26% 45% 24% - - - 5% <1% <1%
58 of 80 73% 59 23 0 118 22% 42% 28% - - - 7% 1% <1%
57 of 80 71% 58 24 0 116 18% 41% 31% - - - 9% 1% <1%
56 of 80 70% 57 25 0 114 14% 38% 33% - - - 12% 2% <1%
55 of 80 69% 56 26 0 112 11% 35% 36% - - - 15% 4% <1%
54 of 80 68% 55 27 0 110 9% 31% 37% - - - 18% 5% 1%
53 of 80 66% 54 28 0 108 7% 28% 37% - - - 20% 7% 1%
52 of 80 65% 53 29 0 106 6% 25% 37% - - - 21% 9% 2%
51 of 80 64% 52 30 0 104 4% 22% 36% - - - 23% 11% 3%
50 of 80 63% 51 31 0 102 4% 19% 35% - - - 24% 14% 5%
49 of 80 61% 50 32 0 100 3% 17% 34% - - - 23% 17% 7%
48 of 80 60% 49 33 0 98 2% 14% 32% - - - 22% 20% 10%
47 of 80 59% 48 34 0 96 2% 12% 30% - - - 21% 21% 13%
46 of 80 58% 47 35 0 94 1% 11% 28% - - - 20% 23% 18%
45 of 80 56% 46 36 0 92 1% 9% 26% - - - 17% 24% 23%
44 of 80 55% 45 37 0 90 1% 8% 24% - - - 16% 24% 27%
43 of 80 54% 44 38 0 88 1% 6% 22% - - - 14% 24% 34%
42 of 80 53% 43 39 0 86 <1% 5% 19% - - - 12% 24% 40%
41 of 80 51% 42 40 0 84 <1% 4% 17% - - - 10% 23% 46%
40 of 80 50% 41 41 0 82 <1% 3% 15% - - - 8% 21% 53%
39 of 80 49% 40 42 0 80 <1% 3% 13% - - - 6% 19% 59%
38 of 80 48% 39 43 0 78 <1% 2% 11% - - - 5% 17% 65%
37 of 80 46% 38 44 0 76 <1% 2% 10% - - - 3% 14% 71%
36 of 80 45% 37 45 0 74 <1% 1% 8% - - - 3% 11% 77%
35 of 80 44% 36 46 0 72 <1% 1% 7% - - - 2% 9% 82%
34 of 80 43% 35 47 0 70 <1% 1% 5% - - - 1% 7% 86%
33 of 80 41% 34 48 0 68 <1% 1% 4% - - - 1% 5% 90%
32 of 80 40% 33 49 0 66 <1% <1% 4% - - - <1% 3% 92%
31 of 80 39% 32 50 0 64 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 2% 95%
30 of 80 38% 31 51 0 62 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 1% 97%
20 of 80 25% 21 61 0 42 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 80 13% 11 71 0 22 X X <1% - - - X X >99%
0 of 80 0% 1 81 0 2 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs