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NHL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NHL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NHL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NHL Champions NHL Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L OTL
Capitals Eastern 47 14 9   33% 53% 75% 93% 100%
Blackhawks Western 44 19 6   15% 28% 48% 76% >99%
Sharks Western 43 16 10   11% 21% 42% 72% >99%
Devils Eastern 42 24 3   10% 21% 48% 76% >99%
Canucks Western 43 24 3   8% 16% 32% 62% >99%
Coyotes Western 43 22 5   7% 14% 28% 56% >99%
Penguins Eastern 41 24 5   5% 12% 32% 67% >99%
Kings Western 40 23 5   4% 9% 19% 44% >99%
Avalanche Western 40 24 6   2% 6% 15% 38% 98%
Predators Western 39 26 5   2% 4% 11% 32% 96%
Sabres Eastern 36 22 10   1% 5% 17% 51% >99%
Senators Eastern 37 28 5   1% 4% 11% 39% 99%
Flyers Eastern 36 28 5   1% 3% 9% 33% 97%
Canadiens Eastern 36 29 6   1% 2% 7% 29% 97%
Red Wings Western 34 23 12   <1% 1% 3% 13% 73%
Flames Western 35 26 9   <1% <1% 1% 4% 19%
Bruins Eastern 31 26 12   <1% <1% 1% 7% 62%
Wild Western 34 29 6   <1% <1% <1% 2% 9%
Rangers Eastern 31 30 9   <1% <1% <1% 3% 27%
Blues Western 32 28 9   <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Ducks Western 32 29 8   <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Panthers Eastern 28 30 10   <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Thrashers Eastern 29 29 11   <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Lightning Eastern 28 29 12   <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Islanders Eastern 29 32 9   <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Stars Western 30 26 13   <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Hurricanes Eastern 28 33 8   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Blue Jackets Western 28 31 11   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Maple Leafs Eastern 24 34 12   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Oilers Western 21 42 7   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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