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NHL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NHL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NHL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NHL Champions NHL Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L OTL
Penguins Eastern 12 4 0   10% 17% 30% 51% 89%
Sabres Eastern 9 3 1   10% 16% 29% 48% 80%
Devils Eastern 10 4 0   9% 16% 27% 47% 83%
Avalanche Western 12 3 2   8% 15% 27% 48% 84%
Flames Western 9 4 1   6% 12% 22% 39% 69%
Flyers Eastern 8 4 1   6% 10% 19% 36% 69%
Sharks Western 11 4 2   6% 11% 21% 40% 75%
Coyotes Western 10 6 0   5% 10% 20% 36% 69%
Kings Western 10 4 2   5% 10% 20% 38% 72%
Capitals Eastern 9 3 4   4% 8% 18% 37% 72%
Senators Eastern 7 4 2   4% 7% 15% 31% 60%
Rangers Eastern 10 6 1   3% 7% 15% 32% 70%
Thrashers Eastern 6 5 1   3% 7% 15% 30% 57%
Blackhawks Western 8 5 2   3% 7% 14% 28% 56%
Blue Jackets Western 8 5 2   3% 7% 14% 29% 58%
Canucks Western 10 8 0   3% 6% 13% 27% 58%
Red Wings Western 7 4 3   2% 6% 13% 26% 52%
Canadiens Eastern 8 8 0   2% 5% 11% 25% 54%
Predators Western 6 7 1   1% 3% 8% 18% 38%
Stars Western 7 3 6   1% 3% 8% 18% 45%
Oilers Western 7 8 1   1% 3% 7% 16% 38%
Bruins Eastern 6 7 2   1% 3% 7% 17% 41%
Blues Western 5 6 2   1% 3% 7% 16% 35%
Lightning Eastern 5 4 5   1% 2% 6% 16% 41%
Panthers Eastern 5 8 1   1% 2% 5% 15% 36%
Ducks Western 5 7 2   1% 2% 4% 11% 28%
Wild Western 5 10 0   <1% 1% 3% 8% 22%
Islanders Eastern 5 6 5   <1% 1% 3% 10% 30%
Hurricanes Eastern 2 10 3   <1% <1% <1% 2% 7%
Maple Leafs Eastern 2 7 5   <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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