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NHL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NHL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NHL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NHL Champions NHL Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L OTL
Devils Eastern 14 5 1   10% 17% 30% 52% 90%
Sabres Eastern 12 5 1   9% 16% 29% 49% 83%
Flyers Eastern 12 5 1   9% 15% 26% 46% 82%
Blackhawks Western 13 5 2   8% 15% 26% 46% 81%
Capitals Eastern 13 4 4   6% 11% 23% 45% 84%
Penguins Eastern 14 8 0   6% 10% 20% 40% 78%
Flames Western 12 6 2   6% 11% 21% 40% 72%
Blue Jackets Western 12 6 2   5% 11% 20% 38% 71%
Sharks Western 14 5 4   5% 11% 22% 42% 81%
Avalanche Western 13 6 3   5% 10% 20% 39% 75%
Thrashers Eastern 10 6 2   4% 8% 17% 33% 65%
Predators Western 11 8 1   3% 7% 15% 29% 59%
Kings Western 13 8 2   3% 8% 17% 33% 68%
Senators Eastern 10 6 3   3% 6% 14% 29% 59%
Red Wings Western 10 6 3   3% 6% 13% 28% 55%
Coyotes Western 12 9 1   3% 7% 14% 29% 59%
Canucks Western 11 10 0   2% 6% 12% 25% 52%
Rangers Eastern 11 9 1   2% 5% 11% 24% 55%
Canadiens Eastern 10 11 0   1% 3% 8% 19% 43%
Stars Western 9 6 6   1% 3% 7% 16% 39%
Panthers Eastern 8 9 2   1% 2% 6% 16% 38%
Lightning Eastern 8 4 7   1% 3% 7% 19% 45%
Bruins Eastern 9 8 4   1% 2% 6% 16% 40%
Oilers Western 9 10 3   1% 2% 5% 12% 32%
Blues Western 7 8 4   <1% 1% 4% 10% 24%
Islanders Eastern 8 6 7   <1% 1% 4% 11% 34%
Ducks Western 7 10 3   <1% 1% 2% 7% 19%
Wild Western 7 12 2   <1% 1% 2% 5% 14%
Hurricanes Eastern 4 12 5   <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Maple Leafs Eastern 3 11 6   <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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