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Sat Oct 10 3:45 am

NHL - Week 2 of 28

Oilers What If?

The Oilers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Oilers play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Oilers What If?

Next Game - Sharks (3‑1‑0)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 4 0 1 9 19% 15% 14% - - - 6% 6% 39%
Current Standings 3 0 1 7 19% 15% 13% - - - 6% 6% 40%
Lose Next Game 3 1 1 7 18% 15% 14% - - - 7% 6% 41%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 19% 15% 14% - - - 6% 6% 39%
Current Standings 19% 15% 13% - - - 6% 6% 40%
Worst Case Scenario 18% 15% 14% - - - 7% 6% 41%
Best Case Scenario
   Oilers beats Sharks
 Worst Case Scenario
   Sharks beats Oilers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
80 of 80 100% 83 0 1 167 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
70 of 80 88% 73 10 1 147 98% 2% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
68 of 80 85% 71 12 1 143 94% 6% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
67 of 80 84% 70 13 1 141 90% 10% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
66 of 80 83% 69 14 1 139 84% 15% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
65 of 80 81% 68 15 1 137 78% 20% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
64 of 80 80% 67 16 1 135 72% 26% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
63 of 80 79% 66 17 1 133 64% 31% 4% - - - <1% <1% <1%
62 of 80 78% 65 18 1 131 56% 37% 7% - - - <1% <1% <1%
61 of 80 76% 64 19 1 129 50% 40% 9% - - - 1% <1% <1%
60 of 80 75% 63 20 1 127 42% 43% 13% - - - 1% <1% <1%
59 of 80 74% 62 21 1 125 36% 44% 17% - - - 2% <1% <1%
58 of 80 73% 61 22 1 123 29% 46% 21% - - - 4% <1% <1%
57 of 80 71% 60 23 1 121 25% 45% 24% - - - 5% <1% <1%
56 of 80 70% 59 24 1 119 20% 44% 28% - - - 7% 1% <1%
55 of 80 69% 58 25 1 117 16% 41% 32% - - - 10% 1% <1%
54 of 80 68% 57 26 1 115 14% 38% 35% - - - 12% 2% <1%
53 of 80 66% 56 27 1 113 11% 35% 37% - - - 14% 3% <1%
52 of 80 65% 55 28 1 111 10% 31% 37% - - - 18% 5% <1%
51 of 80 64% 54 29 1 109 7% 28% 38% - - - 20% 6% 1%
50 of 80 63% 53 30 1 107 6% 25% 37% - - - 23% 8% 1%
49 of 80 61% 52 31 1 105 4% 22% 37% - - - 23% 11% 3%
48 of 80 60% 51 32 1 103 3% 18% 36% - - - 24% 14% 4%
47 of 80 59% 50 33 1 101 3% 16% 34% - - - 24% 16% 6%
46 of 80 58% 49 34 1 99 2% 14% 32% - - - 23% 19% 9%
45 of 80 56% 48 35 1 97 2% 12% 31% - - - 22% 21% 12%
44 of 80 55% 47 36 1 95 1% 10% 28% - - - 21% 23% 17%
43 of 80 54% 46 37 1 93 1% 8% 26% - - - 18% 24% 22%
42 of 80 53% 45 38 1 91 1% 7% 23% - - - 17% 25% 27%
41 of 80 51% 44 39 1 89 1% 6% 21% - - - 14% 25% 33%
40 of 80 50% 43 40 1 87 <1% 5% 19% - - - 12% 25% 40%
39 of 80 49% 42 41 1 85 <1% 4% 17% - - - 10% 23% 46%
38 of 80 48% 41 42 1 83 <1% 3% 14% - - - 8% 21% 54%
37 of 80 46% 40 43 1 81 <1% 2% 12% - - - 7% 18% 61%
36 of 80 45% 39 44 1 79 <1% 2% 10% - - - 4% 16% 67%
35 of 80 44% 38 45 1 77 <1% 1% 9% - - - 4% 14% 73%
34 of 80 43% 37 46 1 75 <1% 1% 7% - - - 2% 11% 79%
33 of 80 41% 36 47 1 73 <1% 1% 6% - - - 2% 9% 83%
32 of 80 40% 35 48 1 71 <1% 1% 4% - - - 1% 6% 88%
31 of 80 39% 34 49 1 69 <1% <1% 3% - - - 1% 5% 91%
30 of 80 38% 33 50 1 67 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 3% 94%
20 of 80 25% 23 60 1 47 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 80 13% 13 70 1 27 X <1% <1% - - - X X >99%
0 of 80 0% 3 80 1 7 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs