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Tue Nov 10 3:00 am

NHL - Week 7 of 28

Oilers What If?

The Oilers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Oilers play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Oilers What If?

Next Game - Flyers (5‑10‑5)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 14 3 3 31 38% 22% 16% - - - 6% 5% 14%
Current Standings 13 3 3 29 37% 21% 16% - - - 6% 5% 15%
Lose Next Game 13 4 3 29 34% 21% 17% - - - 6% 5% 17%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 38% 22% 16% - - - 6% 5% 14%
Current Standings 37% 21% 16% - - - 6% 5% 15%
Worst Case Scenario 34% 21% 17% - - - 6% 5% 17%
Best Case Scenario
   Oilers beats Flyers
 Worst Case Scenario
   Flyers beats Oilers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
65 of 65 100% 78 3 3 159 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
60 of 65 92% 73 8 3 149 >99% <1% <1% - - - ^ ^ ^
50 of 65 77% 63 18 3 129 99% 1% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
48 of 65 74% 61 20 3 125 95% 5% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
47 of 65 72% 60 21 3 123 91% 8% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
46 of 65 71% 59 22 3 121 87% 12% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
45 of 65 69% 58 23 3 119 81% 18% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
44 of 65 68% 57 24 3 117 75% 23% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
43 of 65 66% 56 25 3 115 68% 29% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
42 of 65 65% 55 26 3 113 60% 34% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
41 of 65 63% 54 27 3 111 52% 39% 9% - - - <1% <1% <1%
40 of 65 62% 53 28 3 109 44% 43% 12% - - - 1% <1% <1%
39 of 65 60% 52 29 3 107 36% 45% 17% - - - 2% <1% <1%
38 of 65 58% 51 30 3 105 29% 46% 22% - - - 4% <1% <1%
37 of 65 57% 50 31 3 103 22% 45% 26% - - - 6% 1% <1%
36 of 65 55% 49 32 3 101 17% 42% 31% - - - 9% 1% <1%
35 of 65 54% 48 33 3 99 12% 37% 35% - - - 13% 2% <1%
34 of 65 52% 47 34 3 97 9% 33% 38% - - - 16% 5% 1%
33 of 65 51% 46 35 3 95 5% 27% 39% - - - 18% 8% 2%
32 of 65 49% 45 36 3 93 4% 21% 38% - - - 20% 13% 4%
31 of 65 48% 44 37 3 91 2% 16% 36% - - - 19% 17% 9%
30 of 65 46% 43 38 3 89 1% 11% 32% - - - 16% 22% 18%
29 of 65 45% 42 39 3 87 1% 8% 27% - - - 13% 23% 28%
28 of 65 43% 41 40 3 85 <1% 5% 22% - - - 9% 22% 43%
27 of 65 42% 40 41 3 83 <1% 3% 16% - - - 5% 17% 58%
26 of 65 40% 39 42 3 81 <1% 2% 12% - - - 2% 12% 72%
25 of 65 38% 38 43 3 79 <1% 1% 8% - - - 1% 7% 83%
24 of 65 37% 37 44 3 77 <1% <1% 5% - - - <1% 3% 91%
20 of 65 31% 33 48 3 69 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 65 15% 23 58 3 49 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
0 of 65 0% 13 68 3 29 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs