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Sun Oct 11 8:45 am

NHL - Week 2 of 28

Sharks What If?

The Sharks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sharks play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sharks What If?

Next Game - Bruins (4‑2‑0)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 4 2 0 8 12% 14% 14% - - - 7% 6% 47%
Current Standings 3 2 0 6 12% 14% 13% - - - 7% 6% 48%
Lose Next Game 3 3 0 6 11% 14% 14% - - - 7% 6% 49%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 12% 14% 14% - - - 7% 6% 47%
Current Standings 12% 14% 13% - - - 7% 6% 48%
Worst Case Scenario 11% 14% 14% - - - 7% 6% 49%
Best Case Scenario
   Sharks beats Bruins
 Worst Case Scenario
   Bruins beats Sharks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
79 of 79 100% 82 2 0 164 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
70 of 79 89% 73 11 0 146 97% 3% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
69 of 79 87% 72 12 0 144 94% 5% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
68 of 79 86% 71 13 0 142 91% 8% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
67 of 79 85% 70 14 0 140 86% 13% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
66 of 79 84% 69 15 0 138 81% 18% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
65 of 79 82% 68 16 0 136 74% 24% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
64 of 79 81% 67 17 0 134 68% 29% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
63 of 79 80% 66 18 0 132 60% 34% 6% - - - <1% <1% <1%
62 of 79 78% 65 19 0 130 53% 39% 8% - - - <1% <1% <1%
61 of 79 77% 64 20 0 128 46% 42% 11% - - - 1% <1% <1%
60 of 79 76% 63 21 0 126 40% 44% 15% - - - 2% <1% <1%
59 of 79 75% 62 22 0 124 33% 46% 19% - - - 3% <1% <1%
58 of 79 73% 61 23 0 122 29% 45% 22% - - - 4% <1% <1%
57 of 79 72% 60 24 0 120 23% 45% 26% - - - 6% <1% <1%
56 of 79 71% 59 25 0 118 19% 43% 29% - - - 8% 1% <1%
55 of 79 70% 58 26 0 116 16% 40% 32% - - - 10% 1% <1%
54 of 79 68% 57 27 0 114 13% 37% 34% - - - 13% 2% <1%
53 of 79 67% 56 28 0 112 11% 34% 37% - - - 15% 3% <1%
52 of 79 66% 55 29 0 110 9% 31% 38% - - - 18% 4% 1%
51 of 79 65% 54 30 0 108 7% 27% 38% - - - 21% 7% 1%
50 of 79 63% 53 31 0 106 5% 24% 37% - - - 23% 9% 2%
49 of 79 62% 52 32 0 104 4% 21% 38% - - - 24% 12% 3%
48 of 79 61% 51 33 0 102 3% 18% 36% - - - 24% 15% 5%
47 of 79 59% 50 34 0 100 2% 15% 34% - - - 24% 18% 7%
46 of 79 58% 49 35 0 98 2% 13% 32% - - - 22% 21% 10%
45 of 79 57% 48 36 0 96 1% 11% 29% - - - 22% 22% 14%
44 of 79 56% 47 37 0 94 1% 9% 26% - - - 20% 25% 19%
43 of 79 54% 46 38 0 92 1% 7% 24% - - - 18% 25% 25%
42 of 79 53% 45 39 0 90 1% 6% 20% - - - 15% 26% 31%
41 of 79 52% 44 40 0 88 1% 5% 19% - - - 13% 25% 38%
40 of 79 51% 43 41 0 86 <1% 3% 16% - - - 11% 24% 45%
39 of 79 49% 42 42 0 84 <1% 3% 14% - - - 8% 22% 53%
38 of 79 48% 41 43 0 82 <1% 2% 11% - - - 6% 19% 60%
37 of 79 47% 40 44 0 80 <1% 2% 10% - - - 5% 16% 68%
36 of 79 46% 39 45 0 78 <1% 1% 8% - - - 4% 13% 74%
35 of 79 44% 38 46 0 76 <1% 1% 6% - - - 2% 10% 80%
34 of 79 43% 37 47 0 74 <1% 1% 5% - - - 1% 8% 85%
33 of 79 42% 36 48 0 72 <1% <1% 4% - - - 1% 6% 90%
32 of 79 41% 35 49 0 70 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 3% 93%
31 of 79 39% 34 50 0 68 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 3% 95%
30 of 79 38% 33 51 0 66 <1% <1% 1% - - - <1% 1% 97%
20 of 79 25% 23 61 0 46 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 79 13% 13 71 0 26 X X <1% - - - X X >99%
0 of 79 0% 3 81 0 6 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs