The Most Important Games for Arsenal are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Arsenal fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Arsenal Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Arsenal (3‑0‑1) vs Dortmund (3‑1) |
18 | Arsenal Wins | 49% | 22% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dortmund Wins | 7% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bodo (1‑2‑1) vs Lask Linz (2‑2) |
1 | Bodo Wins | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lask Linz Wins | 36% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| AEK Athens (1‑3) vs Como (3‑1) |
1 | AEK Athens Wins | 38% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Como Wins | 36% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Slovan (0‑4) vs Real Betis (3‑1) |
1 | Slovan Wins | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Betis Wins | 37% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lille (0‑3‑1) vs Bayern Munich (2‑0‑2) |
1 | Lille Wins | 38% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | 35% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| GalatasarayGalatasary (2‑2) vs Aston Villa (3‑1) |
1 | GalatasarayGalatasary Wins | 39% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Aston Villa Wins | 35% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sabah (1‑3) vs Barcelona (3‑1) |
1 | Sabah Wins | 42% | 21% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 36% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Napoli (1‑3) vs Manchester City (3‑1) |
1 | Napoli Wins | 38% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester City Wins | 37% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| PSV Eindhoven (1‑2‑1) vs Real Madrid (4‑0) |
1 | PSV Eindhoven Wins | 39% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Madrid Wins | 35% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sporting CP (3‑1) vs Manchester U. (2‑2) |
0 | Sporting CP Wins | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester U. Wins | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Inter Milan (2‑2) vs Stuttgart (2‑1‑1) |
0 | Inter Milan Wins | 37% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stuttgart Wins | 37% | 20% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Shakhtar (1‑2‑1) vs Fenerbahce (1‑1‑2) |
0 | Shakhtar Wins | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fenerbahce Wins | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Feyenoord (1‑3) vs Porto (1‑3) |
0 | Feyenoord Wins | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Porto Wins | 37% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Paris SG (4‑0) vs Roma (1‑2‑1) |
0 | Paris SG Wins | 29% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Roma Wins | 41% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Leipzig (1‑3) vs Lens (1‑3) |
0 | Leipzig Wins | 37% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lens Wins | 37% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Villarreal (1‑3) vs Slavia Prague (0‑3‑1) |
0 | Villarreal Wins | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Slavia Prague Wins | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Liverpool (3‑1) vs Club Brugge (3‑1) |
0 | Liverpool Wins | 37% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Club Brugge Wins | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atletico Madrid (1‑2‑1) vs Viking FK (1‑2‑1) |
0 | Atletico Madrid Wins | 37% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Viking FK Wins | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||