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Wed Nov 5 5:15 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 11 of 20

Arsenal Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Arsenal are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Arsenal fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Arsenal Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Arsenal Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Arsenal
(4‑0)
vs
Bayern Munich
(4‑0)		 25 Arsenal Wins 30% 18% 16% 13% 10% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bayern Munich Wins 1% 6% 8% 12% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 7% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Villarreal
(0‑3‑1)
vs
Dortmund
(2‑1‑1)		 3 Villarreal Wins 12% 12% 12% 13% 12% 10% 8% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Dortmund Wins 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Olympiacos
(0‑2‑2)
vs
Real Madrid
(3‑1)		 3 Olympiacos Wins 13% 12% 13% 13% 12% 9% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Real Madrid Wins 12% 11% 11% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
PSV Eindhoven
(1‑1‑2)
vs
Liverpool
(3‑1)		 3 PSV Eindhoven Wins 13% 12% 13% 13% 12% 9% 8% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool Wins 12% 11% 11% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Frankfurt
(1‑2‑1)
vs
Atalanta
(2‑1‑1)		 2 Frankfurt Wins 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atalanta Wins 12% 11% 11% 12% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose
(1‑3)
vs
GalatasarayGalatasary
(3‑1)		 2 St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
GalatasarayGalatasary Wins 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Inter Milan
(4‑0)
vs
Atletico Madrid
(2‑2)		 1 Inter Milan Wins 11% 10% 12% 13% 13% 11% 9% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atletico Madrid Wins 14% 12% 12% 12% 11% 9% 7% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bodo/Glimt
(0‑2‑2)
vs
Juventus
(0‑1‑3)		 1 Bodo/Glimt Wins 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Juventus Wins 12% 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sporting CP
(2‑1‑1)
vs
Club Brugge
(1‑2‑1)		 1 Sporting CP Wins 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Club Brugge Wins 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Marseille
(1‑3)
vs
Newcastle
(3‑1)		 0 Marseille Wins 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Newcastle Wins 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Barcelona
(2‑1‑1)
vs
Chelsea
(2‑1‑1)		 0 Barcelona Wins 12% 11% 11% 12% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chelsea Wins 12% 11% 12% 13% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Copenhagen
(0‑3‑1)
vs
Kairat
(0‑3‑1)		 0 Copenhagen Wins 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Kairat Wins 12% 11% 12% 13% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Slavia Prague
(0‑2‑2)
vs
Athletic Bilbao
(1‑3)		 0 Slavia Prague Wins 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Athletic Bilbao Wins 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Benfica
(0‑4)
vs
Ajax
(0‑4)		 0 Benfica Wins 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ajax Wins 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City
(3‑0‑1)
vs
Leverkusen
(1‑1‑2)		 0 Manchester City Wins 12% 10% 11% 12% 12% 11% 9% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leverkusen Wins 13% 12% 13% 13% 12% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Paris SG
(3‑1)
vs
Tottenham
(2‑0‑2)		 0 Paris SG Wins 11% 11% 11% 12% 13% 11% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tottenham Wins 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pafos
(1‑1‑2)
vs
Monaco
(1‑1‑2)		 0 Pafos Wins 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Monaco Wins 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Qarabag
(2‑1‑1)
vs
Napoli
(1‑2‑1)		 0 Qarabag Wins 13% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Napoli Wins 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round