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Wed Oct 8 7:00 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 6 of 20

Arsenal Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Arsenal are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Arsenal fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Arsenal Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Arsenal Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Arsenal
(2‑0)

vs
Atletico Madrid
(1‑1)
43 Arsenal Wins 9% 11% 10% 10% 10% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Atletico Madrid Wins 1% 2% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3%
Olympiacos
(0‑1‑1)

vs
Barcelona
(1‑1)
3 Olympiacos Wins 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Barcelona Wins 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1%
Monaco
(0‑1‑1)

vs
Tottenham
(1‑0‑1)
2 Monaco Wins 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1%
Current Probabilities 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Tottenham Wins 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Villarreal
(0‑1‑1)

vs
Manchester City
(1‑0‑1)
2 Villarreal Wins 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Current Probabilities 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Manchester City Wins 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Ajax
(0‑2)

vs
Chelsea
(1‑1)
2 Ajax Wins 5% 6% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Chelsea Wins 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
GalatasarayGalatasary
(1‑1)

vs
Bodo/Glimt
(0‑0‑2)
2 GalatasarayGalatasary Wins 5% 6% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1%
Current Probabilities 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Bodo/Glimt Wins 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1%
Slavia Prague
(0‑1‑1)

vs
Atalanta
(1‑1)
1 Slavia Prague Wins 5% 7% 7% 8% 7% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Atalanta Wins 5% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
PSV Eindhoven
(0‑1‑1)

vs
Napoli
(1‑1)
1 PSV Eindhoven Wins 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1%
Current Probabilities 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Napoli Wins 5% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 7% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose
(1‑1)

vs
Inter Milan
(2‑0)
1 St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins 6% 7% 8% 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Inter Milan Wins 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Copenhagen
(0‑1‑1)

vs
Dortmund
(1‑0‑1)
1 Copenhagen Wins 5% 7% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 5% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Current Probabilities 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Dortmund Wins 6% 6% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Bayern Munich
(2‑0)

vs
Club Brugge
(1‑1)
1 Bayern Munich Wins 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 2%
Current Probabilities 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Club Brugge Wins 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Athletic Bilbao
(0‑2)

vs
Qarabag
(2‑0)
1 Athletic Bilbao Wins 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Qarabag Wins 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Paris SG
(2‑0)

vs
Leverkusen
(0‑0‑2)
1 Paris SG Wins 4% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 7% 6% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Leverkusen Wins 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 2%
Kairat
(0‑2)

vs
Pafos
(0‑1‑1)
1 Kairat Wins 5% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Pafos Wins 5% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Newcastle
(1‑1)

vs
Benfica
(0‑2)
0 Newcastle Wins 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Benfica Wins 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Real Madrid
(2‑0)

vs
Juventus
(0‑0‑2)
0 Real Madrid Wins 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Juventus Wins 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Frankfurt
(1‑1)

vs
Liverpool
(1‑1)
0 Frankfurt Wins 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Liverpool Wins 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Sporting CP
(1‑1)

vs
Marseille
(1‑1)
0 Sporting CP Wins 5% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Marseille Wins 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round