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Wed Dec 10 5:15 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 19 of 20

Barcelona Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Barcelona are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Barcelona fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Barcelona Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Barcelona Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Barcelona
(3‑2‑1)

vs
Slavia Prague
(0‑3‑3)
49 Barcelona Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 17% 21% 16% 9% 6% 6% 7% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Slavia Prague Wins X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 14% 21% 19% 10% 5% 5% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Marseille
(3‑3)

vs
Liverpool
(4‑2)
11 Marseille Wins X <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 14% 13% 7% 4% 7% 9% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 14% 12% 8% 8% 11% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Athletic Bilbao
(1‑3‑2)

vs
Atalanta
(4‑1‑1)
10 Athletic Bilbao Wins X <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 15% 13% 8% 6% 8% 10% 10% 6% 4% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atalanta Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 11% 13% 12% 7% 7% 10% 12% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
GalatasarayGalatasary
(3‑3)

vs
Atletico Madrid
(4‑2)
10 GalatasarayGalatasary Wins X <1% <1% <1% 3% 8% 14% 13% 9% 5% 7% 10% 10% 8% 4% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atletico Madrid Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 14% 12% 8% 8% 10% 11% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal
(6‑0)

vs
Inter Milan
(4‑2)
9 Arsenal Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 14% 14% 9% 7% 8% 11% 10% 6% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Inter Milan Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 14% 13% 7% 7% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Monaco
(2‑1‑3)

vs
Real Madrid
(4‑2)
9 Monaco Wins X <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 14% 14% 8% 5% 7% 10% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Real Madrid Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 10% 13% 11% 7% 7% 11% 12% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bodo/Glimt
(0‑3‑3)

vs
Manchester City
(4‑1‑1)
7 Bodo/Glimt Wins X <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 13% 12% 8% 6% 7% 11% 11% 7% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 10% 14% 12% 8% 8% 10% 11% 8% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pafos
(1‑2‑3)

vs
Chelsea
(3‑2‑1)
4 Pafos Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 12% 14% 10% 7% 10% 11% 9% 6% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chelsea Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 10% 13% 11% 7% 7% 10% 12% 9% 5% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose
(2‑4)

vs
Bayern Munich
(5‑1)
2 St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins X <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 12% 12% 9% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bayern Munich Wins X X <1% <1% 1% 5% 11% 15% 11% 7% 7% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tottenham
(3‑1‑2)

vs
Dortmund
(3‑1‑2)
2 Tottenham Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 11% 13% 11% 7% 7% 10% 11% 8% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Dortmund Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 10% 15% 12% 7% 7% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Benfica
(2‑4)

vs
Juventus
(2‑1‑3)
2 Benfica Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 12% 14% 11% 8% 8% 10% 11% 8% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Juventus Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 13% 11% 7% 6% 9% 11% 9% 6% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Paris SG
(4‑1‑1)

vs
Sporting CP
(3‑2‑1)
1 Paris SG Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 11% 14% 11% 8% 9% 12% 11% 7% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sporting CP Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 10% 13% 10% 7% 6% 9% 11% 9% 6% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Frankfurt
(1‑4‑1)

vs
Qarabag
(2‑3‑1)
1 Frankfurt Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 11% 14% 11% 7% 7% 11% 11% 7% 5% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Qarabag Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 13% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
PSV Eindhoven
(2‑2‑2)

vs
Newcastle
(3‑2‑1)
1 PSV Eindhoven Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 11% 14% 10% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Newcastle Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 8% 7% 10% 9% 8% 5% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Napoli
(2‑3‑1)

vs
Copenhagen
(2‑3‑1)
0 Napoli Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 7% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Copenhagen Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 11% 13% 12% 8% 7% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Club Brugge
(1‑4‑1)

vs
Kairat
(0‑5‑1)
0 Club Brugge Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 11% 14% 11% 7% 7% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Kairat Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 11% 14% 12% 8% 7% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Olympiacos
(1‑3‑2)

vs
Leverkusen
(2‑1‑3)
0 Olympiacos Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 11% 14% 11% 9% 9% 12% 10% 6% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leverkusen Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 12% 13% 11% 6% 6% 9% 11% 9% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Villarreal
(0‑5‑1)

vs
Ajax
(1‑5)
0 Villarreal Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ajax Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 14% 11% 7% 8% 10% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round