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Tue Oct 20 5:00 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 7 of 21

Barcelona What If?

The Barcelona What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Barcelona plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Barcelona What If?

Next Game - Aston Villa (2‑0)

  Resultant Record Qualifing Finish Elimination
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Win Next Game 3 1 0 9 20% 19% 14% 11% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 2 1 0 6 13% 15% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 2 2 0 6 1% 4% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Qualifing Finish Elimination
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
5 of 5 100% 7 1 0 21 75% 23% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 5 80% 6 2 0 18 11% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 5 60% 5 3 0 15 <1% <1% 1% 4% 11% 21% 25% 21% 12% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
2 of 5 40% 4 4 0 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 15% 22% 23% 16% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
1 of 5 20% 3 5 0 9 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 13% 21% 23% 34%
0 of 5 0% 2 6 0 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round