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Wed Dec 10 5:15 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 19 of 20

Benfica Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Benfica are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Benfica fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Benfica Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Benfica Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Benfica
(2‑4)

vs
Juventus
(2‑1‑3)
64 Benfica Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 10% 9% 6% 6% 7% 9% 11% 14% 11% 7%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
Juventus Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 10% 8% 72%
Chelsea
(3‑2‑1)

vs
Pafos
(1‑2‑3)
6 Chelsea Wins X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 11% 9% 38%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
Pafos Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 3% 2% 3% 5% 5% 7% 9% 9% 44%
Kairat
(0‑5‑1)

vs
Club Brugge
(1‑4‑1)
5 Kairat Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 3% 5% 6% 8% 10% 11% 8% 36%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
Club Brugge Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 6% 8% 10% 9% 41%
Bayern Munich
(5‑1)

vs
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose
(2‑4)
5 Bayern Munich Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 6% 9% 10% 9% 38%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 5% 4% 3% 3% 5% 6% 8% 10% 9% 43%
Atalanta
(4‑1‑1)

vs
Athletic Bilbao
(1‑3‑2)
4 Atalanta Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 9% 10% 9% 38%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
Athletic Bilbao Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 42%
Atletico Madrid
(4‑2)

vs
GalatasarayGalatasary
(3‑3)
4 Atletico Madrid Wins X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 4% 3% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10% 8% 37%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
GalatasarayGalatasary Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 4% 2% 2% 5% 6% 8% 11% 11% 41%
Leverkusen
(2‑1‑3)

vs
Olympiacos
(1‑3‑2)
4 Leverkusen Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 9% 10% 9% 38%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
Olympiacos Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 3% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 9% 9% 42%
Real Madrid
(4‑2)

vs
Monaco
(2‑1‑3)
3 Real Madrid Wins X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 9% 10% 9% 38%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
Monaco Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% 5% 6% 8% 11% 11% 41%
Napoli
(2‑3‑1)

vs
Copenhagen
(2‑3‑1)
3 Napoli Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 11% 9% 39%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
Copenhagen Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 3% 5% 5% 5% 7% 10% 10% 41%
Frankfurt
(1‑4‑1)

vs
Qarabag
(2‑3‑1)
3 Frankfurt Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 11% 9% 40%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
Qarabag Wins X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 5% 5% 7% 10% 10% 42%
Liverpool
(4‑2)

vs
Marseille
(3‑3)
2 Liverpool Wins X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 5% 4% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 38%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
Marseille Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 4% 3% 3% 5% 7% 8% 11% 10% 41%
Newcastle
(3‑2‑1)

vs
PSV Eindhoven
(2‑2‑2)
2 Newcastle Wins X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 5% 4% 6% 6% 7% 9% 10% 7% 38%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
PSV Eindhoven Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 3% 5% 7% 8% 10% 10% 40%
Villarreal
(0‑5‑1)

vs
Ajax
(1‑5)
1 Villarreal Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 4% 3% 5% 5% 7% 9% 10% 9% 38%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
Ajax Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 11% 8% 40%
Tottenham
(3‑1‑2)

vs
Dortmund
(3‑1‑2)
1 Tottenham Wins X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 38%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
Dortmund Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 10% 9% 40%
Manchester City
(4‑1‑1)

vs
Bodo/Glimt
(0‑3‑3)
1 Manchester City Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
Bodo/Glimt Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 6% 8% 10% 9% 40%
Sporting CP
(3‑2‑1)

vs
Paris SG
(4‑1‑1)
0 Sporting CP Wins X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 6% 9% 10% 9% 39%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
Paris SG Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 4% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6% 9% 10% 9% 39%
Arsenal
(6‑0)

vs
Inter Milan
(4‑2)
0 Arsenal Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 9% 10% 9% 39%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
Inter Milan Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 9% 10% 9% 39%
Slavia Prague
(0‑3‑3)

vs
Barcelona
(3‑2‑1)
0 Slavia Prague Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 10% 9% 39%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 39%
Barcelona Wins X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 9% 10% 9% 40%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round