The Most Important Games for Chelsea are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chelsea fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chelsea Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Chelsea (2‑1) vs Qarabag (2‑1) |
41 | Chelsea Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Qarabag Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 5% | ||
| Slavia Prague (0‑1‑2) vs Arsenal (3‑0) |
3 | Slavia Prague Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Real Madrid (3‑0) vs Liverpool (2‑1) |
3 | Real Madrid Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Liverpool Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Kairat (0‑2‑1) vs Inter Milan (3‑0) |
2 | Kairat Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Inter Milan Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Benfica (0‑3) vs Leverkusen (0‑1‑2) |
2 | Benfica Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Leverkusen Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Club Brugge (1‑2) vs Barcelona (2‑1) |
2 | Club Brugge Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Marseille (1‑2) vs Atalanta (1‑1‑1) |
1 | Marseille Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Atalanta Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Copenhagen (0‑2‑1) vs Tottenham (1‑0‑2) |
1 | Copenhagen Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Tottenham Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Juventus (0‑1‑2) vs Sporting CP (2‑1) |
1 | Juventus Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Sporting CP Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Ajax (0‑3) vs GalatasarayGalatasary (2‑1) |
1 | Ajax Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| GalatasarayGalatasary Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose (1‑2) vs Atletico Madrid (1‑2) |
1 | St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Napoli (1‑2) vs Frankfurt (1‑2) |
1 | Napoli Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Frankfurt Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Villarreal (0‑2‑1) vs Pafos (0‑1‑2) |
1 | Villarreal Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Pafos Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Dortmund (2‑0‑1) vs Manchester City (2‑0‑1) |
1 | Dortmund Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Manchester City Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Olympiacos (0‑2‑1) vs PSV Eindhoven (1‑1‑1) |
0 | Olympiacos Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| PSV Eindhoven Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Monaco (0‑1‑2) vs Bodo/Glimt (0‑1‑2) |
0 | Monaco Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Bodo/Glimt Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Newcastle (2‑1) vs Athletic Bilbao (1‑2) |
0 | Newcastle Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Bayern Munich (3‑0) vs Paris SG (3‑0) |
0 | Bayern Munich Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Paris SG Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||