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Wed Dec 10 5:15 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 19 of 20

Chelsea Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Chelsea are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chelsea fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Chelsea Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Chelsea Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chelsea
(3‑2‑1)
vs
Pafos
(1‑2‑3)		 33 Chelsea Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 11% 12% 9% 7% 10% 14% 14% 9% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pafos Wins X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 14% 11% 6% 4% 8% 11% 12% 10% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Marseille
(3‑3)
vs
Liverpool
(4‑2)		 8 Marseille Wins X <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 11% 9% 4% 4% 9% 13% 12% 10% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 11% 9% 7% 9% 13% 14% 9% 4% 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
GalatasarayGalatasary
(3‑3)
vs
Atletico Madrid
(4‑2)		 7 GalatasarayGalatasary Wins X <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 11% 10% 5% 6% 10% 13% 12% 8% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atletico Madrid Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 10% 8% 6% 9% 13% 14% 9% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bodo/Glimt
(0‑3‑3)
vs
Manchester City
(4‑1‑1)		 6 Bodo/Glimt Wins X <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 11% 7% 5% 5% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 11% 7% 6% 9% 14% 14% 10% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Athletic Bilbao
(1‑3‑2)
vs
Atalanta
(4‑1‑1)		 6 Athletic Bilbao Wins X <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 11% 9% 5% 6% 10% 14% 12% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atalanta Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 9% 11% 8% 6% 9% 14% 14% 9% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Monaco
(2‑1‑3)
vs
Real Madrid
(4‑2)		 5 Monaco Wins X <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 12% 9% 5% 5% 9% 12% 12% 9% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Real Madrid Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 14% 14% 10% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Slavia Prague
(0‑3‑3)
vs
Barcelona
(3‑2‑1)		 4 Slavia Prague Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 10% 11% 7% 8% 13% 14% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Barcelona Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 8% 14% 14% 10% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal
(6‑0)
vs
Inter Milan
(4‑2)		 3 Arsenal Wins X <1% <1% <1% 3% 7% 11% 9% 6% 7% 11% 14% 12% 7% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Inter Milan Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 9% 11% 8% 5% 8% 14% 14% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose
(2‑4)
vs
Bayern Munich
(5‑1)		 3 St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins X <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 10% 9% 6% 6% 9% 14% 13% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bayern Munich Wins X X <1% <1% 2% 6% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 14% 9% 5% 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tottenham
(3‑1‑2)
vs
Dortmund
(3‑1‑2)		 2 Tottenham Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 12% 14% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Dortmund Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 11% 8% 6% 9% 13% 14% 9% 5% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Paris SG
(4‑1‑1)
vs
Sporting CP
(3‑2‑1)		 1 Paris SG Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 10% 11% 8% 7% 10% 15% 12% 8% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sporting CP Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 9% 9% 6% 5% 7% 11% 14% 12% 6% 3% 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Napoli
(2‑3‑1)
vs
Copenhagen
(2‑3‑1)		 1 Napoli Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Copenhagen Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 10% 10% 7% 6% 10% 13% 13% 9% 5% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Newcastle
(3‑2‑1)
vs
PSV Eindhoven
(2‑2‑2)		 0 Newcastle Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 9% 10% 8% 6% 9% 12% 13% 9% 5% 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
PSV Eindhoven Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 10% 13% 14% 9% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Frankfurt
(1‑4‑1)
vs
Qarabag
(2‑3‑1)		 0 Frankfurt Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 10% 10% 7% 6% 9% 12% 13% 9% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Qarabag Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 9% 10% 7% 5% 9% 13% 14% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Club Brugge
(1‑4‑1)
vs
Kairat
(0‑5‑1)		 0 Club Brugge Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 14% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Kairat Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 10% 10% 7% 6% 10% 13% 13% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Juventus
(2‑1‑3)
vs
Benfica
(2‑4)		 0 Juventus Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 5% 7% 12% 13% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Benfica Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 6% 9% 14% 14% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Olympiacos
(1‑3‑2)
vs
Leverkusen
(2‑1‑3)		 0 Olympiacos Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 10% 10% 8% 8% 12% 15% 12% 6% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leverkusen Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 5% 8% 12% 14% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Villarreal
(0‑5‑1)
vs
Ajax
(1‑5)		 0 Villarreal Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ajax Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 6% 9% 13% 13% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round