The Most Important Games for Chelsea are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chelsea fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chelsea Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Chelsea (2‑1‑1) vs Barcelona (2‑1‑1) |
44 | Chelsea Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Villarreal (0‑3‑1) vs Dortmund (2‑1‑1) |
3 | Villarreal Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Dortmund Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| PSV Eindhoven (1‑1‑2) vs Liverpool (3‑1) |
3 | PSV Eindhoven Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Liverpool Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Olympiacos (0‑2‑2) vs Real Madrid (3‑1) |
2 | Olympiacos Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Real Madrid Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Bayern Munich (4‑0) vs Arsenal (4‑0) |
2 | Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Frankfurt (1‑2‑1) vs Atalanta (2‑1‑1) |
2 | Frankfurt Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Atalanta Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Inter Milan (4‑0) vs Atletico Madrid (2‑2) |
1 | Inter Milan Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Tottenham (2‑0‑2) vs Paris SG (3‑1) |
1 | Tottenham Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Paris SG Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Kairat (0‑3‑1) vs Copenhagen (0‑3‑1) |
1 | Kairat Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Copenhagen Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Club Brugge (1‑2‑1) vs Sporting CP (2‑1‑1) |
0 | Club Brugge Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Sporting CP Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose (1‑3) vs GalatasarayGalatasary (3‑1) |
0 | St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| GalatasarayGalatasary Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Marseille (1‑3) vs Newcastle (3‑1) |
0 | Marseille Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Newcastle Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Ajax (0‑4) vs Benfica (0‑4) |
0 | Ajax Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Benfica Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Bodo/Glimt (0‑2‑2) vs Juventus (0‑1‑3) |
0 | Bodo/Glimt Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Juventus Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Qarabag (2‑1‑1) vs Napoli (1‑2‑1) |
0 | Qarabag Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Napoli Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Manchester City (3‑0‑1) vs Leverkusen (1‑1‑2) |
0 | Manchester City Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Leverkusen Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao (1‑3) vs Slavia Prague (0‑2‑2) |
0 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Slavia Prague Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Monaco (1‑1‑2) vs Pafos (1‑1‑2) |
0 | Monaco Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Pafos Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||