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Wed Jan 21 5:45 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 20 of 20

Dortmund Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Dortmund are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dortmund fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Dortmund Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Dortmund Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
GalatasarayGalatasary
(3‑3‑1)

vs
Manchester City
(4‑2‑1)
3 GalatasarayGalatasary Wins X X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 12% 11% 5% 1% <1% X 6% 17% 18% 13% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City Wins X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 12% 11% 6% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Dortmund
(3‑2‑2)

vs
Inter Milan
(4‑3)
3 Dortmund Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 9% 20% 29% 25% 12% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Inter Milan Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 13% 41% 34% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Copenhagen
(2‑3‑2)

vs
Barcelona
(4‑2‑1)
2 Copenhagen Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 7% 12% 11% 6% 2% <1% 5% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Barcelona Wins X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 11% 11% 6% 2% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bodo/Glimt
(1‑3‑3)

vs
Atletico Madrid
(4‑2‑1)
2 Bodo/Glimt Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 11% 11% 6% 2% <1% 6% 17% 18% 13% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atletico Madrid Wins X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 11% 12% 6% 2% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Athletic Bilbao
(2‑3‑2)

vs
Sporting CP
(4‑2‑1)
2 Athletic Bilbao Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 11% 12% 7% 2% <1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sporting CP Wins X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 11% 12% 7% 2% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Napoli
(2‑3‑2)

vs
Chelsea
(4‑2‑1)
2 Napoli Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 11% 12% 7% 2% <1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chelsea Wins X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 11% 12% 7% 2% 6% 17% 18% 14% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose
(2‑5)

vs
Atalanta
(4‑2‑1)
2 St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 11% 12% 7% 2% <1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atalanta Wins X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 11% 12% 7% 2% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Monaco
(2‑2‑3)

vs
Juventus
(3‑1‑3)
2 Monaco Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 10% 12% 8% 2% <1% 17% 2% 8% 22% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Juventus Wins X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 10% 12% 8% 2% <1% 25% 23% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Frankfurt
(1‑5‑1)

vs
Tottenham
(4‑1‑2)
1 Frankfurt Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 11% 9% 4% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tottenham Wins X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 12% 12% 7% 2% 6% 17% 18% 14% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Newcastle
(4‑2‑1)

vs
Paris SG
(4‑2‑1)
0 Newcastle Wins X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 16% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Paris SG Wins X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 12% 10% 4% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Olympiacos
(2‑3‑2)

vs
Ajax
(2‑5)
0 Olympiacos Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 11% 10% 5% 1% 6% 16% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ajax Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 16% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Qarabag
(3‑3‑1)

vs
Liverpool
(5‑2)
0 Qarabag Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 11% 10% 5% 1% <1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 11% 10% 5% 1% 6% 18% 18% 14% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Villarreal
(0‑6‑1)

vs
Leverkusen
(2‑2‑3)
0 Villarreal Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 11% 10% 5% 1% 6% 28% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leverkusen Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 12% 18% 17% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Marseille
(3‑4)

vs
Club Brugge
(2‑4‑1)
0 Marseille Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 11% 8% 19% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Club Brugge Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 18% 20% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bayern Munich
(6‑1)

vs
PSV Eindhoven
(2‑3‑2)
0 Bayern Munich Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 11% 10% 5% 1% 6% 18% 20% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
PSV Eindhoven Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 14% 13% 16% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal
(7‑0)

vs
Kairat
(0‑6‑1)
0 Arsenal Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Kairat Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Benfica
(2‑5)

vs
Real Madrid
(5‑2)
0 Benfica Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Real Madrid Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pafos
(1‑3‑3)

vs
Slavia Prague
(0‑4‑3)
0 Pafos Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Slavia Prague Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 18% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round