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Thu Dec 12 11:45 am

UEFA Champions League - Week 19 of 20

Dortmund Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Dortmund are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dortmund fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Dortmund Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Dortmund Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dortmund
(4‑2)
vs
Bologna
(0‑4‑2)		 69 Dortmund Wins <1% 4% 14% 21% 19% 11% 7% 6% 6% 6% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bologna Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 16% 16% 12% 6% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 6% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Club Brugge
(3‑2‑1)
vs
Juventus
(3‑1‑2)		 5 Club Brugge Wins <1% 3% 10% 16% 15% 11% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Juventus Wins <1% 3% 10% 15% 14% 9% 8% 7% 8% 8% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Liverpool
(6‑0)
vs
Lille
(4‑1‑1)		 5 Liverpool Wins X 3% 10% 16% 14% 11% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lille Wins <1% 3% 9% 14% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Monaco
(3‑2‑1)
vs
Aston Villa
(4‑1‑1)		 4 Monaco Wins <1% 3% 12% 17% 15% 10% 8% 7% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Aston Villa Wins <1% 2% 8% 14% 15% 12% 9% 8% 8% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Girona
(1‑5)
vs
AC Milan
(4‑2)		 4 Girona Wins <1% 3% 10% 17% 14% 11% 9% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
AC Milan Wins <1% 3% 11% 15% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Zagreb
(2‑2‑2)
vs
Arsenal
(4‑1‑1)		 4 Zagreb Wins <1% 4% 14% 18% 13% 9% 7% 6% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal Wins <1% 1% 8% 15% 16% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
RB Leipzig
(0‑6)
vs
Sporting CP
(3‑2‑1)		 3 RB Leipzig Wins <1% 2% 11% 16% 15% 10% 9% 7% 7% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sporting CP Wins <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 6% 6% 6% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sparta Prague
(1‑4‑1)
vs
Inter Milan
(4‑1‑1)		 3 Sparta Prague Wins <1% 6% 16% 17% 12% 9% 6% 6% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Inter Milan Wins <1% 1% 8% 16% 16% 11% 9% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Shakhtar
(1‑4‑1)
vs
Brest
(4‑1‑1)		 3 Shakhtar Wins <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 8% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brest Wins <1% 3% 10% 15% 14% 10% 7% 6% 6% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Feyenoord
(3‑2‑1)
vs
Bayern Munich
(4‑2)		 3 Feyenoord Wins <1% 3% 13% 18% 15% 10% 7% 6% 6% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bayern Munich Wins <1% 2% 9% 15% 15% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sturm Graz
(1‑5)
vs
Atalanta
(3‑1‑2)		 3 Sturm Graz Wins <1% 3% 10% 16% 15% 11% 8% 8% 8% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atalanta Wins <1% 3% 11% 15% 14% 11% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Young Boys
(0‑6)
vs
Celtic
(2‑1‑3)		 1 Young Boys Wins <1% 3% 11% 16% 14% 10% 8% 8% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Celtic Wins <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 8% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leverkusen
(4‑1‑1)
vs
Atletico Madrid
(4‑2)		 1 Leverkusen Wins <1% 1% 6% 14% 17% 13% 10% 8% 8% 7% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atletico Madrid Wins <1% 4% 13% 17% 13% 9% 7% 6% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
RS Belgrade
(1‑5)
vs
PSV Eindhoven
(2‑2‑2)		 1 RS Belgrade Wins <1% 3% 10% 16% 15% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
PSV Eindhoven Wins <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 11% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Benfica
(3‑2‑1)
vs
Barcelona
(5‑1)		 0 Benfica Wins <1% 4% 13% 16% 12% 10% 8% 6% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Barcelona Wins <1% 1% 7% 16% 16% 11% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Slovan
(0‑6)
vs
Stuttgart
(2‑3‑1)		 0 Slovan Wins <1% 3% 10% 16% 15% 11% 8% 7% 7% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Stuttgart Wins <1% 3% 11% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Salzburg
(1‑5)
vs
Real Madrid
(3‑3)		 0 Salzburg Wins <1% 3% 10% 16% 15% 10% 8% 7% 8% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Real Madrid Wins <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 11% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City
(2‑2‑2)
vs
Paris SG
(2‑3‑1)		 0 Manchester City Wins <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Paris SG Wins <1% 3% 11% 16% 15% 10% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round