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Tue Dec 9 7:15 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 13 of 20

Dortmund Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Dortmund are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dortmund fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Dortmund Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Dortmund Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dortmund
(3‑1‑1)

vs
Bodo/Glimt
(0‑3‑2)
42 Dortmund Wins 1% 5% 8% 7% 6% 10% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 8% 10% 9% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bodo/Glimt Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 6% 4% 4% 6% 10% 12% 11% 7% 5% 5% 6% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Newcastle
(3‑2)

vs
Leverkusen
(2‑1‑2)
4 Newcastle Wins 1% 4% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 9% 7% 6% 7% 6% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 8% 10% 9% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leverkusen Wins 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 8% 10% 9% 7% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Athletic Bilbao
(1‑3‑1)

vs
Paris SG
(4‑1)
3 Athletic Bilbao Wins 2% 6% 6% 4% 6% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 8% 10% 9% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Paris SG Wins 1% 3% 5% 5% 5% 8% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Real Madrid
(4‑1)

vs
Manchester City
(3‑1‑1)
2 Real Madrid Wins 1% 3% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 9% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 8% 10% 9% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City Wins 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 8% 10% 9% 7% 6% 6% 7% 8% 6% 5% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Qarabag
(2‑2‑1)

vs
Ajax
(0‑5)
0 Qarabag Wins 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 9% 10% 9% 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 8% 10% 9% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ajax Wins 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 8% 10% 9% 7% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Juventus
(1‑1‑3)

vs
Pafos
(1‑1‑3)
0 Juventus Wins 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 8% 10% 9% 7% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 8% 10% 9% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pafos Wins 1% 3% 6% 5% 5% 8% 10% 9% 8% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal
(5‑0)

vs
Club Brugge
(1‑3‑1)
0 Arsenal Wins <1% 2% 6% 6% 6% 8% 10% 9% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 8% 10% 9% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Club Brugge Wins 1% 5% 6% 4% 5% 8% 10% 9% 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Villarreal
(0‑4‑1)

vs
Copenhagen
(1‑3‑1)
0 Villarreal Wins 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 9% 10% 9% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 8% 10% 9% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Copenhagen Wins 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 9% 10% 9% 8% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Benfica
(1‑4)

vs
Napoli
(2‑2‑1)
0 Benfica Wins 1% 3% 6% 5% 6% 8% 10% 9% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 8% 10% 9% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Napoli Wins 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 8% 10% 9% 7% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round