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Wed Dec 10 5:15 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 19 of 20

Dortmund Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Dortmund are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dortmund fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Dortmund Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Dortmund Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dortmund
(3‑1‑2)

vs
Tottenham
(3‑1‑2)
43 Dortmund Wins X <1% 1% 4% 9% 13% 10% 6% 7% 10% 15% 13% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tottenham Wins X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 9% 11% 9% 7% 8% 12% 14% 14% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Athletic Bilbao
(1‑3‑2)

vs
Atalanta
(4‑1‑1)
4 Athletic Bilbao Wins X <1% 1% 3% 7% 7% 5% 5% 7% 10% 12% 10% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atalanta Wins X <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 6% 5% 6% 9% 12% 12% 9% 6% 5% 5% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
GalatasarayGalatasary
(3‑3)

vs
Atletico Madrid
(4‑2)
4 GalatasarayGalatasary Wins X <1% <1% 3% 6% 7% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 4% 5% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atletico Madrid Wins X <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 12% 9% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Marseille
(3‑3)

vs
Liverpool
(4‑2)
4 Marseille Wins X <1% 1% 3% 7% 7% 5% 5% 7% 8% 10% 10% 9% 6% 5% 5% 4% 5% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool Wins X <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 7% 6% 6% 9% 12% 12% 9% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Monaco
(2‑1‑3)

vs
Real Madrid
(4‑2)
4 Monaco Wins X <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 6% 5% 7% 9% 10% 10% 8% 5% 5% 4% 5% 5% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Real Madrid Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 6% 6% 5% 6% 8% 12% 12% 9% 6% 5% 5% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pafos
(1‑2‑3)

vs
Chelsea
(3‑2‑1)
3 Pafos Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 7% 6% 7% 11% 13% 10% 7% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chelsea Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 5% 4% 6% 9% 12% 12% 9% 6% 5% 5% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal
(6‑0)

vs
Inter Milan
(4‑2)
3 Arsenal Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 6% 7% 9% 11% 11% 7% 5% 6% 5% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Inter Milan Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 6% 5% 4% 6% 9% 11% 12% 9% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Slavia Prague
(0‑3‑3)

vs
Barcelona
(3‑2‑1)
3 Slavia Prague Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 6% 8% 11% 13% 10% 6% 4% 4% 5% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Barcelona Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 4% 5% 8% 12% 12% 9% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bodo/Glimt
(0‑3‑3)

vs
Manchester City
(4‑1‑1)
1 Bodo/Glimt Wins X <1% 1% 3% 7% 7% 3% 4% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City Wins X <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 7% 5% 6% 9% 12% 12% 9% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose
(2‑4)

vs
Bayern Munich
(5‑1)
1 St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins X <1% 1% 3% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 9% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bayern Munich Wins X X <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 12% 11% 9% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Copenhagen
(2‑3‑1)

vs
Napoli
(2‑3‑1)
1 Copenhagen Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 12% 11% 9% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Napoli Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 5% 5% 6% 9% 12% 11% 8% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Juventus
(2‑1‑3)

vs
Benfica
(2‑4)
1 Juventus Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 8% 10% 11% 10% 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Benfica Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 6% 6% 5% 6% 9% 13% 12% 8% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
PSV Eindhoven
(2‑2‑2)

vs
Newcastle
(3‑2‑1)
1 PSV Eindhoven Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 12% 8% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Newcastle Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 12% 11% 8% 5% 5% 6% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Paris SG
(4‑1‑1)

vs
Sporting CP
(3‑2‑1)
1 Paris SG Wins X <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 7% 6% 6% 9% 13% 12% 8% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sporting CP Wins X <1% 1% 4% 7% 6% 4% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 10% 7% 6% 5% 6% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leverkusen
(2‑1‑3)

vs
Olympiacos
(1‑3‑2)
0 Leverkusen Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 10% 6% 5% 6% 5% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Olympiacos Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 4% 7% 11% 14% 11% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Qarabag
(2‑3‑1)

vs
Frankfurt
(1‑4‑1)
0 Qarabag Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 5% 5% 6% 9% 12% 11% 9% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Frankfurt Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 12% 9% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Kairat
(0‑5‑1)

vs
Club Brugge
(1‑4‑1)
0 Kairat Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Club Brugge Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Villarreal
(0‑5‑1)

vs
Ajax
(1‑5)
0 Villarreal Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ajax Wins X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round