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Wed Oct 8 7:00 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 6 of 20

Dortmund Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Dortmund are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dortmund fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Dortmund Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Dortmund Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dortmund
(1‑0‑1)

vs
Copenhagen
(0‑1‑1)
43 Dortmund Wins 5% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 1%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Copenhagen Wins <1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 4% 5% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 9%
Slavia Prague
(0‑1‑1)

vs
Atalanta
(1‑1)
3 Slavia Prague Wins 3% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Atalanta Wins 3% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 4%
Athletic Bilbao
(0‑2)

vs
Qarabag
(2‑0)
2 Athletic Bilbao Wins 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 4%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Qarabag Wins 3% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 4%
Kairat
(0‑2)

vs
Pafos
(0‑1‑1)
2 Kairat Wins 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Pafos Wins 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 4%
Villarreal
(0‑1‑1)

vs
Manchester City
(1‑0‑1)
2 Villarreal Wins 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 4%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Manchester City Wins 3% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3%
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose
(1‑1)

vs
Inter Milan
(2‑0)
2 St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins 3% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Inter Milan Wins 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
PSV Eindhoven
(0‑1‑1)

vs
Napoli
(1‑1)
2 PSV Eindhoven Wins 3% 4% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Napoli Wins 3% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 4%
Bayern Munich
(2‑0)

vs
Club Brugge
(1‑1)
2 Bayern Munich Wins 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Club Brugge Wins 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Arsenal
(2‑0)

vs
Atletico Madrid
(1‑1)
1 Arsenal Wins 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Atletico Madrid Wins 3% 5% 6% 5% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Juventus
(0‑0‑2)

vs
Real Madrid
(2‑0)
1 Juventus Wins 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 4%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Real Madrid Wins 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Liverpool
(1‑1)

vs
Frankfurt
(1‑1)
1 Liverpool Wins 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Frankfurt Wins 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 5% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 4%
Olympiacos
(0‑1‑1)

vs
Barcelona
(1‑1)
1 Olympiacos Wins 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 4%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Barcelona Wins 3% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Leverkusen
(0‑0‑2)

vs
Paris SG
(2‑0)
1 Leverkusen Wins 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Paris SG Wins 2% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Ajax
(0‑2)

vs
Chelsea
(1‑1)
1 Ajax Wins 3% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 4%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Chelsea Wins 3% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
GalatasarayGalatasary
(1‑1)

vs
Bodo/Glimt
(0‑0‑2)
1 GalatasarayGalatasary Wins 3% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Bodo/Glimt Wins 3% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Newcastle
(1‑1)

vs
Benfica
(0‑2)
1 Newcastle Wins 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Benfica Wins 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Tottenham
(1‑0‑1)

vs
Monaco
(0‑1‑1)
0 Tottenham Wins 3% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Monaco Wins 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 4%
Sporting CP
(1‑1)

vs
Marseille
(1‑1)
0 Sporting CP Wins 3% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Marseille Wins 3% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round