The Most Important Games for Dortmund are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dortmund fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Dortmund Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Dortmund (3‑1) vs Arsenal (3‑0‑1) |
49 | Dortmund Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Lille (0‑3‑1) vs Bayern Munich (2‑0‑2) |
4 | Lille Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| AEK Athens (1‑3) vs Como (3‑1) |
3 | AEK Athens Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Como Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Inter Milan (2‑2) vs Stuttgart (2‑1‑1) |
3 | Inter Milan Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Stuttgart Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Napoli (1‑3) vs Manchester City (3‑1) |
3 | Napoli Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Manchester City Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Sabah (1‑3) vs Barcelona (3‑1) |
2 | Sabah Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| PSV Eindhoven (1‑2‑1) vs Real Madrid (4‑0) |
2 | PSV Eindhoven Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Real Madrid Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| GalatasarayGalatasary (2‑2) vs Aston Villa (3‑1) |
2 | GalatasarayGalatasary Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Aston Villa Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Slovan (0‑4) vs Real Betis (3‑1) |
1 | Slovan Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Real Betis Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Bodo (1‑2‑1) vs Lask Linz (2‑2) |
1 | Bodo Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Lask Linz Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Club Brugge (3‑1) vs Liverpool (3‑1) |
1 | Club Brugge Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Liverpool Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Roma (1‑2‑1) vs Paris SG (4‑0) |
1 | Roma Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Paris SG Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Slavia Prague (0‑3‑1) vs Villarreal (1‑3) |
1 | Slavia Prague Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Villarreal Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Sporting CP (3‑1) vs Manchester U. (2‑2) |
1 | Sporting CP Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Manchester U. Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Lens (1‑3) vs Leipzig (1‑3) |
0 | Lens Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Leipzig Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Viking FK (1‑2‑1) vs Atletico Madrid (1‑2‑1) |
0 | Viking FK Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Shakhtar (1‑2‑1) vs Fenerbahce (1‑1‑2) |
0 | Shakhtar Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Fenerbahce Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Feyenoord (1‑3) vs Porto (1‑3) |
0 | Feyenoord Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Porto Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||