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Wed Dec 10 5:15 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 19 of 20

Monaco Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Monaco are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Monaco fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Monaco Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Monaco Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Monaco
(2‑1‑3)

vs
Real Madrid
(4‑2)
19 Monaco Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 6% 8% 13% 14% 12% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
Real Madrid Wins X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 9% 10% 7% 3% 4% 6% 10% 12% 14% 18%
Kairat
(0‑5‑1)

vs
Club Brugge
(1‑4‑1)
8 Kairat Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 6% 9% 10% 7% 5% 6% 8% 10% 12% 11% 10%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
Club Brugge Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 9% 10% 7% 4% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 18%
Chelsea
(3‑2‑1)

vs
Pafos
(1‑2‑3)
8 Chelsea Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 14%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
Pafos Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 9% 6% 3% 4% 5% 7% 10% 11% 22%
Juventus
(2‑1‑3)

vs
Benfica
(2‑4)
7 Juventus Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 10% 9% 6% 6% 8% 10% 11% 11% 12%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
Benfica Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 10% 7% 4% 4% 6% 8% 10% 11% 19%
Newcastle
(3‑2‑1)

vs
PSV Eindhoven
(2‑2‑2)
5 Newcastle Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 11% 10% 7% 6% 8% 10% 11% 11% 11%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
PSV Eindhoven Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 10% 6% 4% 4% 7% 9% 11% 13% 16%
Atalanta
(4‑1‑1)

vs
Athletic Bilbao
(1‑3‑2)
5 Atalanta Wins X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 14%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
Athletic Bilbao Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 8% 4% 5% 6% 8% 10% 12% 19%
Bayern Munich
(5‑1)

vs
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose
(2‑4)
5 Bayern Munich Wins X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 10% 7% 4% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 6% 9% 9% 7% 4% 5% 7% 8% 9% 11% 20%
Leverkusen
(2‑1‑3)

vs
Olympiacos
(1‑3‑2)
5 Leverkusen Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 11% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 14%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
Olympiacos Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 7% 9% 9% 6% 4% 4% 6% 8% 10% 11% 19%
Atletico Madrid
(4‑2)

vs
GalatasarayGalatasary
(3‑3)
4 Atletico Madrid Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 10% 7% 5% 5% 8% 9% 11% 11% 14%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
GalatasarayGalatasary Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 9% 9% 6% 4% 6% 9% 11% 13% 18%
Frankfurt
(1‑4‑1)

vs
Qarabag
(2‑3‑1)
3 Frankfurt Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 8% 10% 7% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 16%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
Qarabag Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 8% 10% 8% 4% 4% 6% 7% 10% 13% 19%
Napoli
(2‑3‑1)

vs
Copenhagen
(2‑3‑1)
3 Napoli Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 8% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 12% 12% 15%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
Copenhagen Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 6% 9% 10% 7% 5% 5% 7% 8% 10% 12% 18%
Barcelona
(3‑2‑1)

vs
Slavia Prague
(0‑3‑3)
2 Barcelona Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 7% 5% 5% 7% 9% 12% 12% 15%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
Slavia Prague Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 10% 6% 4% 5% 7% 8% 10% 11% 17%
Manchester City
(4‑1‑1)

vs
Bodo/Glimt
(0‑3‑3)
2 Manchester City Wins X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 9% 7% 4% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
Bodo/Glimt Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 8% 10% 11% 17%
Liverpool
(4‑2)

vs
Marseille
(3‑3)
1 Liverpool Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 10% 7% 4% 6% 7% 9% 11% 11% 15%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
Marseille Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 10% 6% 5% 7% 9% 12% 12% 16%
Villarreal
(0‑5‑1)

vs
Ajax
(1‑5)
1 Villarreal Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 9% 10% 7% 5% 5% 7% 10% 10% 12% 15%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
Ajax Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 9% 10% 7% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 11% 16%
Paris SG
(4‑1‑1)

vs
Sporting CP
(3‑2‑1)
1 Paris SG Wins X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 10% 7% 4% 5% 7% 9% 10% 12% 15%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
Sporting CP Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 8% 5% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 16%
Tottenham
(3‑1‑2)

vs
Dortmund
(3‑1‑2)
0 Tottenham Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 6% 9% 10% 7% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 11% 15%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
Dortmund Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 9% 7% 4% 5% 7% 9% 11% 13% 15%
Arsenal
(6‑0)

vs
Inter Milan
(4‑2)
0 Arsenal Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 9% 10% 7% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 11% 16%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15%
Inter Milan Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 6% 9% 10% 7% 4% 5% 6% 9% 11% 12% 16%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round