The Most Important Games for Monaco are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Monaco fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Monaco Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Monaco (2‑2‑3) vs Juventus (3‑1‑3) |
61 | Monaco Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 10% | 38% | 40% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Juventus Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 23% | 61% | ||
| Sporting CP (4‑2‑1) vs Athletic Bilbao (2‑3‑2) |
13 | Sporting CP Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 36% | ||
| Chelsea (4‑2‑1) vs Napoli (2‑3‑2) |
13 | Chelsea Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Napoli Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 35% | ||
| Barcelona (4‑2‑1) vs Copenhagen (2‑3‑2) |
13 | Barcelona Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Copenhagen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 4% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 38% | ||
| Bayern Munich (6‑1) vs PSV Eindhoven (2‑3‑2) |
13 | Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| PSV Eindhoven Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 36% | ||
| Marseille (3‑4) vs Club Brugge (2‑4‑1) |
13 | Marseille Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 14% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Club Brugge Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 15% | 14% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 33% | ||
| Slavia Prague (0‑4‑3) vs Pafos (1‑3‑3) |
12 | Slavia Prague Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Pafos Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 35% | ||
| Atletico Madrid (4‑2‑1) vs Bodo/Glimt (1‑3‑3) |
12 | Atletico Madrid Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Bodo/Glimt Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 38% | ||
| Real Madrid (5‑2) vs Benfica (2‑5) |
11 | Real Madrid Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Benfica Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Ajax (2‑5) vs Olympiacos (2‑3‑2) |
11 | Ajax Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Olympiacos Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 34% | ||
| Atalanta (4‑2‑1) vs St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose (2‑5) |
5 | Atalanta Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 32% | ||
| Villarreal (0‑6‑1) vs Leverkusen (2‑2‑3) |
1 | Villarreal Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 10% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Leverkusen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 10% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 29% | ||
| Inter Milan (4‑3) vs Dortmund (3‑2‑2) |
0 | Inter Milan Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 8% | 20% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Dortmund Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 9% | 19% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 29% | ||
| GalatasarayGalatasary (3‑3‑1) vs Manchester City (4‑2‑1) |
0 | GalatasarayGalatasary Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Manchester City Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 29% | ||
| Qarabag (3‑3‑1) vs Liverpool (5‑2) |
0 | Qarabag Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Liverpool Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Arsenal (7‑0) vs Kairat (0‑6‑1) |
0 | Arsenal Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Kairat Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Frankfurt (1‑5‑1) vs Tottenham (4‑1‑2) |
0 | Frankfurt Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Tottenham Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Paris SG (4‑2‑1) vs Newcastle (4‑2‑1) |
0 | Paris SG Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||
| Newcastle Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 28% | ||