The Monaco What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Monaco plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Qualifing Finish | Elimination | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |
| Win Next Game | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 19% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 4% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 18% | 26% | 23% | 12% |
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 4% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 18% | 32% | 30% |
|
Best Case Scenario Monaco beats Aston Villa RS Belgrade beats PSV Eindhoven Arsenal beats Zagreb |
Worst Case Scenario Aston Villa beats Monaco PSV Eindhoven beats RS Belgrade Zagreb beats Arsenal |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 21% | 25% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 18% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 31% | 29% | 14% |