The Most Important Games for the Army Black Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Army Black Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Army Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Army (7‑16) vs Air Force (12‑12‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
8 | Army Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 33% | 31% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 26% | 50% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Air Force Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 23% | 59% | 9% | <1% | ||
| Bentley (12‑8‑2) vs Holy Cross (9‑12‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Bentley Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 26% | 50% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 26% | 50% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Holy Cross Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 50% | 6% | <1% | ||
| American Int'l (7‑13‑1) vs Sacred Heart (12‑8‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | American Int'l Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 25% | 53% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 26% | 50% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Sacred Heart Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 26% | 48% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Canisius (7‑11‑2) vs Robert Morris (8‑10‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Canisius Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 21% | 55% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 26% | 50% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Robert Morris Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 28% | 48% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Mercyhurst (2‑19‑3) vs Niagara (11‑9‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mercyhurst Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 26% | 49% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 26% | 50% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Niagara Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 26% | 50% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Army Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Army (7‑16) vs Air Force (12‑12‑1) |
3 | Army Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 31% | 41% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 26% | 50% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Air Force Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 24% | 55% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Canisius (7‑11‑2) vs Robert Morris (8‑10‑3) |
0 | Canisius Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 21% | 55% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 26% | 50% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Robert Morris Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 28% | 48% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Mercyhurst (2‑19‑3) vs Niagara (11‑9‑3) |
0 | Mercyhurst Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 26% | 49% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 26% | 50% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Niagara Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 26% | 50% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Bentley (12‑8‑2) vs Holy Cross (9‑12‑2) |
0 | Bentley Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 51% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 26% | 50% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 27% | 50% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Sacred Heart (12‑8‑4) vs American Int'l (7‑13‑1) |
0 | Sacred Heart Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 26% | 50% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 26% | 50% | 6% | <1% | ||
| American Int'l Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 25% | 54% | 6% | <1% | ||