The Most Important Games for the Army Black Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Army Black Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Army Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8 | 9 | 10 | ||||
| Army (7‑9‑5) vs Mercyhurst (0‑17‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
35 | Army Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 21% | 31% | 26% | <1% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 29% | 32% | 1% | |||
| Mercyhurst Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 30% | 46% | 6% | |||
| Bentley (10‑6‑2) vs Air Force (10‑8‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
7 | Bentley Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 18% | 29% | 31% | 1% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 29% | 32% | 1% | |||
| Air Force Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 31% | 32% | 1% | |||
| Niagara (7‑10) vs Sacred Heart (9‑7‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Niagara Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 30% | 33% | 1% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 29% | 32% | 1% | |||
| Sacred Heart Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 29% | 30% | 1% | |||
| Robert Morris (4‑12‑2) vs RIT (11‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Robert Morris Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 25% | 39% | 1% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 29% | 32% | 1% | |||
| RIT Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 20% | 31% | 29% | 1% | |||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Army Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Army (7‑9‑5) vs Mercyhurst (0‑17‑1) |
19 | Army Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 20% | 30% | 29% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 29% | 32% | 1% | ||
| Mercyhurst Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 31% | 39% | 3% | ||
| Bentley (10‑6‑2) vs Air Force (10‑8‑2) |
3 | Bentley Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 18% | 28% | 32% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 29% | 32% | 1% | ||
| Air Force Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 30% | 32% | 2% | ||
| Niagara (7‑10) vs Sacred Heart (9‑7‑2) |
1 | Niagara Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 30% | 33% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 29% | 32% | 1% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 19% | 30% | 31% | 1% | ||
| Robert Morris (4‑12‑2) vs RIT (11‑9) |
1 | Robert Morris Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 17% | 27% | 35% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 29% | 32% | 1% | ||
| RIT Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 19% | 30% | 31% | 1% | ||