The Most Important Games for the Army Black Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Army Black Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Army Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8 | 9 | 10 | ||||
| Army (3‑5‑3) vs Air Force (5‑6‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
51 | Army Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 3% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 24% | 8% | |||
| Air Force Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 23% | 31% | 10% | |||
| Mercyhurst (0‑11) vs Canisius (5‑6‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
5 | Mercyhurst Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 12% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 24% | 8% | |||
| Canisius Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 26% | 8% | |||
| RIT (9‑2) vs Niagara (5‑6) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | RIT Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 8% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 24% | 8% | |||
| Niagara Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 8% | |||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Army Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Army (3‑5‑3) vs Air Force (5‑6‑1) |
24 | Army Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 24% | 8% | ||
| Air Force Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 27% | 10% | ||
| RIT (9‑2) vs Niagara (5‑6) |
4 | RIT Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 24% | 8% | ||
| Niagara Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 8% | ||
| Mercyhurst (0‑11) vs Canisius (5‑6‑1) |
3 | Mercyhurst Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 22% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 24% | 8% | ||
| Canisius Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 7% | ||