The Most Important Games for Mainz are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mainz fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mainz Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Mainz (2‑1‑1) vs Bayer Leverkusen (2‑1‑1) |
8 | Mainz Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 6% | ||
| SC Paderborn (1‑2‑1) vs VfB Stuttgart (1‑3) |
1 | SC Paderborn Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | ||
| SC Freiburg (3‑0‑1) vs Schalke (1‑1‑2) |
1 | SC Freiburg Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Schalke Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (1‑1‑2) vs RB Leipzig (2‑2) |
1 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Borussia (0‑4) vs FC Cologne (1‑2‑1) |
1 | Borussia Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (1‑3) vs Hamburg SV (1‑3) |
0 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 6% | ||
| FC Augsburg (2‑1‑1) vs Bayern Munich (3‑0‑1) |
0 | FC Augsburg Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | ||
| FC Union Berlin (0‑3‑1) vs SV Elversberg (2‑1‑1) |
0 | FC Union Berlin Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | ||
| SV Elversberg Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||