The Most Important Games for Mainz are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mainz fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mainz Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Mainz (2‑9‑6) vs FC Cologne (4‑8‑5) |
17 | Mainz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 34% | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 38% | ||
| SC Freiburg (6‑6‑5) vs FC Augsburg (4‑10‑2) |
4 | SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 34% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 36% | ||
| FC Union Berlin (6‑6‑4) vs FC Augsburg (4‑10‑2) |
4 | FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 34% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 36% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (10‑1‑6) vs St. Pauli (3‑10‑3) |
3 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 34% | ||
| St. Pauli Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 37% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (7‑5‑5) vs Werder Bremen (4‑7‑5) |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 34% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 36% | ||
| Borussia (5‑8‑4) vs Hamburg SV (4‑8‑4) |
2 | Borussia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 34% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 35% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg (5‑9‑3) vs FC Heidenheim (3‑11‑3) |
2 | VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 34% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 36% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (10‑5‑2) vs FC Union Berlin (6‑6‑4) |
0 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 34% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 34% | ||
| Bayern Munich (15‑0‑2) vs RB Leipzig (10‑4‑2) |
0 | Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 34% | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 34% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (9‑5‑2) vs TSG Hoffenheim (9‑4‑3) |
0 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 34% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 34% | ||