The Most Important Games for Mainz are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mainz fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mainz Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||||
| Mainz (8‑4‑4) vs Bayer Leverkusen (10‑1‑5) |
30 | Mainz Wins | <1% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mainz (8‑4‑4) vs FC Union Berlin (4‑7‑5) |
27 | Mainz Wins | <1% | 7% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfL Bochum (1‑12‑3) vs RB Leipzig (9‑4‑3) |
6 | VfL Bochum Wins | <1% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayern Munich (12‑1‑3) vs VfL Wolfsburg (7‑6‑3) |
3 | Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | 5% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Holstein Kiel (2‑12‑2) vs Borussia Dortmund (7‑5‑4) |
3 | Holstein Kiel Wins | <1% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Augsburg (4‑8‑4) vs Werder Bremen (7‑5‑4) |
2 | FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (7‑4‑5) vs RB Leipzig (9‑4‑3) |
2 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | 5% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Heidenheim (4‑11‑1) vs Werder Bremen (7‑5‑4) |
2 | FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | 5% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (7‑5‑4) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (9‑4‑3) |
1 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Augsburg (4‑8‑4) vs FC Union Berlin (4‑7‑5) |
1 | FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | 5% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (3‑8‑5) vs Bayern Munich (12‑1‑3) |
1 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SC Freiburg (8‑5‑3) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (9‑4‑3) |
1 | SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | 6% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SC Freiburg (8‑5‑3) vs VfB Stuttgart (7‑4‑5) |
1 | SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | 5% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Pauli (4‑10‑2) vs FC Heidenheim (4‑11‑1) |
1 | St. Pauli Wins | <1% | 5% | 12% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Borussia (7‑6‑3) vs Bayer Leverkusen (10‑1‑5) |
0 | Borussia Wins | <1% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Pauli (4‑10‑2) vs VfL Bochum (1‑12‑3) |
0 | St. Pauli Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfL Bochum Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Borussia (7‑6‑3) vs VfL Wolfsburg (7‑6‑3) |
0 | Borussia Wins | <1% | 5% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | 5% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Holstein Kiel (2‑12‑2) vs TSG Hoffenheim (3‑8‑5) |
0 | Holstein Kiel Wins | <1% | 5% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | 5% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||