The Most Important Games for Mainz are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mainz fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mainz Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| SC Freiburg (12‑12‑8) vs Hamburg SV (8‑14‑10) |
0 | SC Freiburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 24% | 61% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 61% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 24% | 59% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Augsburg (11‑14‑7) vs Borussia (8‑13‑11) |
0 | FC Augsburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 11% | 78% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 61% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Borussia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 42% | 30% | 16% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (11‑11‑10) vs Borussia Dortmund (20‑5‑7) |
0 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 25% | 62% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 61% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Borussia Dortmund Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 23% | 60% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (17‑8‑7) vs Werder Bremen (8‑16‑8) |
0 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 60% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 61% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 60% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Cologne (7‑14‑11) vs FC Heidenheim (5‑19‑8) |
0 | FC Cologne Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 24% | 59% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 61% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 60% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| RB Leipzig (19‑8‑5) vs St. Pauli (6‑18‑8) |
0 | RB Leipzig Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 61% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 61% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Pauli Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 61% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (17‑8‑7) vs Bayer Leverkusen (17‑8‑7) |
0 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 61% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 61% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 61% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg (6‑18‑8) vs Bayern Munich (26‑1‑5) |
0 | VfL Wolfsburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 61% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 61% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 61% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mainz (9‑13‑10) vs FC Union Berlin (8‑15‑9) |
0 | Mainz Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 35% | 56% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 61% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 55% | 28% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||