The Most Important Games for Mainz are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mainz fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mainz Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Mainz (1‑9‑4) vs St. Pauli (3‑9‑2) |
17 | Mainz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 41% | ||
| St. Pauli Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 52% | ||
| Bayern Munich (12‑0‑2) vs FC Heidenheim (3‑9‑2) |
2 | Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 41% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 44% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (7‑4‑3) vs Hamburg SV (4‑7‑3) |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 41% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 43% | ||
| Werder Bremen (4‑6‑4) vs FC Augsburg (4‑9‑1) |
1 | Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 41% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 42% | ||
| RB Leipzig (9‑3‑2) vs Bayer Leverkusen (8‑4‑2) |
1 | RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 41% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 42% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (8‑5‑1) vs TSG Hoffenheim (8‑4‑2) |
1 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 41% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 42% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (8‑1‑5) vs Borussia (4‑6‑4) |
0 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 41% | ||
| Borussia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 41% | ||
| FC Cologne (4‑6‑4) vs FC Union Berlin (5‑6‑3) |
0 | FC Cologne Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 41% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 42% | ||
| SC Freiburg (4‑5‑5) vs VfL Wolfsburg (4‑7‑3) |
0 | SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 41% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 42% | ||