The Most Important Games for Mainz are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mainz fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mainz Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Mainz (8‑11‑9) vs SC Freiburg (10‑11‑7) |
0 | Mainz Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 29% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 4% | 24% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayern Munich (23‑1‑4) vs St. Pauli (6‑15‑7) |
0 | Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Pauli Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| RB Leipzig (16‑7‑5) vs Borussia (7‑12‑9) |
0 | RB Leipzig Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 27% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Borussia Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 14% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (16‑7‑5) vs Hamburg SV (7‑11‑10) |
0 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 27% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 14% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (10‑9‑9) vs VfL Wolfsburg (5‑17‑6) |
0 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 27% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 15% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (15‑8‑5) vs FC Augsburg (9‑14‑5) |
0 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 16% | 28% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 14% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (19‑2‑7) vs Bayer Leverkusen (14‑7‑7) |
0 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Union Berlin (8‑12‑8) vs FC Heidenheim (3‑18‑7) |
0 | FC Union Berlin Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 14% | 23% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 16% | 30% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Werder Bremen (7‑14‑7) vs FC Cologne (6‑13‑9) |
0 | Werder Bremen Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||