The Most Important Games for Mainz are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mainz fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mainz Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Mainz (13‑10‑9) vs VfL Bochum (5‑20‑7) |
19 | Mainz Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 14% | 32% | 46% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 43% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfL Bochum Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 37% | 36% | 18% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Holstein Kiel (6‑19‑7) vs SC Freiburg (15‑10‑7) |
9 | Holstein Kiel Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 13% | 21% | 39% | 18% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 43% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | X | X | X | X | 5% | 25% | 46% | 18% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Werder Bremen (13‑11‑8) vs RB Leipzig (13‑8‑11) |
7 | Werder Bremen Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 10% | 26% | 26% | 28% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 43% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 14% | 64% | 12% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (19‑2‑11) vs Borussia Dortmund (15‑11‑6) |
6 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 42% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 43% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Borussia Dortmund Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 24% | 45% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (12‑12‑8) vs FC Augsburg (11‑11‑10) |
0 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 42% | 18% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 43% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 45% | 19% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Borussia (13‑13‑6) vs Bayern Munich (23‑2‑7) |
0 | Borussia Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 39% | 16% | 10% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 43% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 44% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg (10‑13‑9) vs TSG Hoffenheim (7‑15‑10) |
0 | VfL Wolfsburg Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 43% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 43% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 43% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Union Berlin (9‑13‑10) vs FC Heidenheim (7‑20‑5) |
0 | FC Union Berlin Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 43% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 43% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 43% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (16‑8‑8) vs St. Pauli (8‑17‑7) |
0 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 43% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 43% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Pauli Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 43% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||