The Mainz What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 16% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 21% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 23% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 16% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 21% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 23% |
|
Best Case Scenario Mainz beats Bayer Leverkusen |
Worst Case Scenario Bayer Leverkusen beats Mainz |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 28 of 28 | 100% | 29 | 4 | 1 | 88 | 26% | 73% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 27 of 28 | 96% | 28 | 5 | 1 | 85 | 14% | 83% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 26 of 28 | 93% | 27 | 6 | 1 | 82 | 7% | 84% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 28 | 89% | 26 | 7 | 1 | 79 | 3% | 78% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 24 of 28 | 86% | 25 | 8 | 1 | 76 | 1% | 64% | 31% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 28 | 82% | 24 | 9 | 1 | 73 | <1% | 46% | 42% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 28 | 79% | 23 | 10 | 1 | 70 | <1% | 27% | 47% | 22% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 28 | 75% | 22 | 11 | 1 | 67 | <1% | 12% | 39% | 36% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 28 | 71% | 21 | 12 | 1 | 64 | <1% | 4% | 24% | 40% | 25% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 28 | 68% | 20 | 13 | 1 | 61 | <1% | 1% | 9% | 30% | 37% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 28 | 64% | 19 | 14 | 1 | 58 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 33% | 33% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 28 | 61% | 18 | 15 | 1 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 32% | 32% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 16 of 28 | 57% | 17 | 16 | 1 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 32% | 31% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 15 of 28 | 54% | 16 | 17 | 1 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 30% | 32% | 17% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 14 of 28 | 50% | 15 | 18 | 1 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 28% | 33% | 18% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 13 of 28 | 46% | 14 | 19 | 1 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 26% | 34% | 21% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 28 | 43% | 13 | 20 | 1 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 34% | 24% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 28 | 39% | 12 | 21 | 1 | 37 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 35% | 26% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| 10 of 28 | 36% | 11 | 22 | 1 | 34 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 37% | 26% | 8% | 1% |
| 9 of 28 | 32% | 10 | 23 | 1 | 31 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 24% | 38% | 25% | 6% |
| 8 of 28 | 29% | 9 | 24 | 1 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 29% | 41% | 22% |
| 7 of 28 | 25% | 8 | 25 | 1 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 38% | 50% |
| 6 of 28 | 21% | 7 | 26 | 1 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 20% | 78% |
| 5 of 28 | 18% | 6 | 27 | 1 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% |
| 0 of 28 | 0% | 1 | 32 | 1 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |