The Mainz What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 12 | 7 | 5 | 41 | <1% | <1% | 9% | 27% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 11 | 7 | 5 | 38 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 11 | 8 | 5 | 38 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 6% | 23% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 5% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 5% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario FC Heidenheim beats RB Leipzig TSG Hoffenheim beats VfB Stuttgart |
Worst Case Scenario RB Leipzig beats FC Heidenheim VfB Stuttgart beats TSG Hoffenheim |
||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 11 of 11 | 100% | 22 | 7 | 5 | 71 | <1% | 42% | 56% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 11 | 91% | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68 | <1% | 15% | 71% | 14% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 11 | 82% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 65 | <1% | 3% | 56% | 40% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 11 | 73% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | <1% | <1% | 26% | 62% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 11 | 64% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 47% | 38% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 11 | 55% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 38% | 35% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 11 | 45% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 28% | 39% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 11 | 36% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 40% | 30% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 3 of 11 | 27% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 38% | 36% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 2 of 11 | 18% | 13 | 16 | 5 | 44 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 38% | 39% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 1 of 11 | 9% | 12 | 17 | 5 | 41 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 40% | 42% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 0 of 11 | 0% | 11 | 18 | 5 | 38 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 52% | 29% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |