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Sat Jan 31 10:45 pm

ECAC Hockey - Week 19 of 22

Dartmouth Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Dartmouth Big Green are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Big Green final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dartmouth Big Green fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Dartmouth Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Dartmouth Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Dartmouth
(16‑6‑1)
vs
Harvard
(12‑8‑1)
1 Game Remaining		 12 Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game 30% 35% 30% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 21% 28% 28% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Harvard Sweeps 1 Game 9% 21% 31% 32% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Yale
(7‑15)
vs
Princeton
(12‑9‑1)
1 Game Remaining		 4 Yale Sweeps 1 Game 21% 28% 29% 19% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 21% 28% 28% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Princeton Sweeps 1 Game 20% 28% 28% 19% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Brown
(4‑17‑1)
vs
Quinnipiac
(20‑5‑3)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Brown Sweeps 1 Game 26% 30% 25% 16% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 21% 28% 28% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game 20% 28% 28% 19% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Union
(15‑9‑2)
vs
St. Lawrence
(4‑21‑3)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Union Sweeps 1 Game 20% 28% 29% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 21% 28% 28% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game 20% 28% 29% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Cornell
(16‑5)
vs
Colgate
(10‑13‑3)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Cornell Sweeps 1 Game 18% 27% 30% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 21% 28% 28% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Colgate Sweeps 1 Game 26% 29% 24% 17% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Rensselaer
(6‑20)
vs
Clarkson
(11‑14‑3)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game 20% 28% 29% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 21% 28% 28% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game 20% 28% 28% 19% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^


Dartmouth Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Dartmouth Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Dartmouth
(16‑6‑1)
vs
Harvard
(12‑8‑1)		 12 Dartmouth Wins 30% 35% 30% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 21% 28% 28% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Harvard Wins 9% 21% 31% 32% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Yale
(7‑15)
vs
Princeton
(12‑9‑1)		 4 Yale Wins 21% 28% 29% 19% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 21% 28% 28% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Princeton Wins 20% 28% 28% 19% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Brown
(4‑17‑1)
vs
Quinnipiac
(20‑5‑3)		 1 Brown Wins 26% 30% 25% 16% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 21% 28% 28% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Quinnipiac Wins 20% 28% 28% 19% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Union
(15‑9‑2)
vs
St. Lawrence
(4‑21‑3)		 0 Union Wins 20% 28% 29% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 21% 28% 28% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
St. Lawrence Wins 20% 28% 29% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Cornell
(16‑5)
vs
Colgate
(10‑13‑3)		 0 Cornell Wins 18% 27% 30% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 21% 28% 28% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Colgate Wins 26% 29% 24% 17% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Rensselaer
(6‑20)
vs
Clarkson
(11‑14‑3)		 0 Rensselaer Wins 20% 28% 29% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 21% 28% 28% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Clarkson Wins 20% 28% 28% 19% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament