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Tue Jan 14 8:30 am

ECAC Hockey - Week 16 of 22

Rensselaer Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Rensselaer Engineers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Engineers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rensselaer Engineers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Rensselaer Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Rensselaer Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10 11 12
Rensselaer
(9‑10‑2)

vs
Harvard
(5‑7‑2)

1 Game Remaining
16 Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game <1% 1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 15% 16% 16% 14% 9% 3%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 10% 13% 15% 16% 16% 12% 5%
Harvard Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 10% 15% 18% 20% 16% 8%
Dartmouth
(8‑6‑2)

vs
Union
(12‑8‑1)

1 Game Remaining
2 Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 9% 13% 15% 16% 16% 12% 6%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 10% 13% 15% 16% 16% 12% 5%
Union Sweeps 1 Game <1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 13% 15% 17% 16% 13% 6%
Quinnipiac
(13‑7‑1)

vs
Colgate
(10‑8‑2)

1 Game Remaining
2 Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 9% 13% 15% 16% 16% 13% 5%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 10% 13% 15% 16% 16% 12% 5%
Colgate Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 10% 13% 16% 17% 17% 12% 5%
Clarkson
(12‑6‑2)

vs
Yale
(4‑10‑1)

1 Game Remaining
1 Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 10% 12% 15% 17% 16% 12% 5%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 10% 13% 15% 16% 16% 12% 5%
Yale Sweeps 1 Game <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 12% 15% 16% 17% 13% 6%
St. Lawrence
(6‑13‑1)

vs
Brown
(4‑9‑2)

1 Game Remaining
1 St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 10% 13% 16% 17% 16% 11% 6%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 10% 13% 15% 16% 16% 12% 5%
Brown Sweeps 1 Game <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 10% 13% 15% 16% 16% 13% 5%
Cornell
(6‑5‑4)

vs
Princeton
(6‑8‑1)

1 Game Remaining
0 Cornell Sweeps 1 Game <1% 1% 2% 3% 7% 9% 13% 16% 17% 16% 12% 5%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 10% 13% 15% 16% 16% 12% 5%
Princeton Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 9% 12% 15% 17% 16% 13% 6%


Rensselaer Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Rensselaer Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10 11 12
Rensselaer
(9‑10‑2)

vs
Harvard
(5‑7‑2)
16 Rensselaer Wins <1% 1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 15% 16% 16% 14% 9% 3%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 10% 13% 15% 16% 16% 12% 5%
Harvard Wins <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 10% 15% 18% 20% 16% 8%
Dartmouth
(8‑6‑2)

vs
Union
(12‑8‑1)
2 Dartmouth Wins <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 9% 13% 15% 16% 16% 12% 6%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 10% 13% 15% 16% 16% 12% 5%
Union Wins <1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 13% 15% 17% 16% 13% 6%
Quinnipiac
(13‑7‑1)

vs
Colgate
(10‑8‑2)
2 Quinnipiac Wins <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 9% 13% 15% 16% 16% 13% 5%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 10% 13% 15% 16% 16% 12% 5%
Colgate Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 10% 13% 16% 17% 17% 12% 5%
Clarkson
(12‑6‑2)

vs
Yale
(4‑10‑1)
1 Clarkson Wins <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 10% 12% 15% 17% 16% 12% 5%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 10% 13% 15% 16% 16% 12% 5%
Yale Wins <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 12% 15% 16% 17% 13% 6%
St. Lawrence
(6‑13‑1)

vs
Brown
(4‑9‑2)
1 St. Lawrence Wins <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 10% 13% 16% 17% 16% 11% 6%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 10% 13% 15% 16% 16% 12% 5%
Brown Wins <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 10% 13% 15% 16% 16% 13% 5%
Cornell
(6‑5‑4)

vs
Princeton
(6‑8‑1)
0 Cornell Wins <1% 1% 2% 3% 7% 9% 13% 16% 17% 16% 12% 5%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 10% 13% 15% 16% 16% 12% 5%
Princeton Wins <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 9% 12% 15% 17% 16% 13% 6%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament