The Most Important Games for the Union Dutchmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Dutchmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union Dutchmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Union Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Union (12‑5‑2) vs Quinnipiac (14‑4‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
30 | Union Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rensselaer (5‑14) vs Princeton (10‑4) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Princeton Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Dartmouth (12‑4) vs Harvard (7‑5‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Harvard Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| St. Lawrence (2‑16‑2) vs Yale (4‑10) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Yale Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Brown (3‑12) vs Clarkson (9‑11) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Brown Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Union (12‑5‑2) vs Quinnipiac (14‑4‑2) |
30 | Union Wins | 3% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Quinnipiac Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rensselaer (5‑14) vs Princeton (10‑4) |
3 | Rensselaer Wins | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Princeton Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Dartmouth (12‑4) vs Harvard (7‑5‑1) |
1 | Dartmouth Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Harvard Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| St. Lawrence (2‑16‑2) vs Yale (4‑10) |
0 | St. Lawrence Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Yale Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Brown (3‑12) vs Clarkson (9‑11) |
0 | Brown Wins | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Clarkson Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||