The Most Important Games for the Union Dutchmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Dutchmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union Dutchmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Union Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Brown (0‑3‑1) vs Clarkson (8‑3‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Brown Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| St. Lawrence (4‑7) vs Yale (1‑4‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Yale Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Cornell (3‑1‑2) vs Quinnipiac (5‑5) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cornell Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Colgate (5‑5‑2) vs Princeton (1‑2‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Colgate Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Princeton Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Brown (0‑3‑1) vs Clarkson (8‑3‑1) |
4 | Brown Wins | 5% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Clarkson Wins | 4% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| St. Lawrence (4‑7) vs Yale (1‑4‑1) |
3 | St. Lawrence Wins | 5% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Yale Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Cornell (3‑1‑2) vs Quinnipiac (5‑5) |
0 | Cornell Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Quinnipiac Wins | 5% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Colgate (5‑5‑2) vs Princeton (1‑2‑1) |
0 | Colgate Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Princeton Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||