The Aston Villa What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 16 | 8 | 6 | 54 | <1% | 3% | 42% | 28% | 16% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 15 | 8 | 6 | 51 | <1% | 1% | 25% | 26% | 22% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 15 | 9 | 6 | 51 | <1% | 1% | 14% | 26% | 26% | 19% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 3% | 51% | 26% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 25% | 26% | 22% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 13% | 23% | 26% | 22% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Newcastle beats Chelsea Tottenham Hotspur beats Liverpool Aston Villa beats Manchester United |
Worst Case Scenario Chelsea beats Newcastle Liverpool beats Tottenham Hotspur Manchester United beats Aston Villa |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 9 of 9 | 100% | 24 | 8 | 6 | 78 | <1% | 70% | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 9 | 89% | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75 | <1% | 37% | 62% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 9 | 78% | 22 | 10 | 6 | 72 | <1% | 12% | 82% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 9 | 67% | 21 | 11 | 6 | 69 | <1% | 2% | 65% | 30% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 9 | 56% | 20 | 12 | 6 | 66 | <1% | <1% | 25% | 51% | 22% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 9 | 44% | 19 | 13 | 6 | 63 | X | <1% | 3% | 24% | 48% | 23% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 9 | 33% | 18 | 14 | 6 | 60 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 20% | 48% | 26% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 9 | 22% | 17 | 15 | 6 | 57 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 40% | 33% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 9 | 11% | 16 | 16 | 6 | 54 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 35% | 27% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 0 of 9 | 0% | 15 | 17 | 6 | 51 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 18% | 35% | 30% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |