The Most Important Games for Aston Villa are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Aston Villa fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Aston Villa Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Aston Villa (10‑7‑9) vs Chelsea (12‑6‑7) |
2 | Aston Villa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Chelsea Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Liverpool (18‑1‑7) vs Manchester City (13‑7‑5) |
0 | Liverpool Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester City Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| WolverhamptonWolves (5‑16‑4) vs BournemouthBournemoth (12‑6‑7) |
0 | WolverhamptonWolves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| BournemouthBournemoth Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nottingham (14‑6‑5) vs Newcastle (12‑8‑5) |
0 | Nottingham Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Newcastle Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arsenal (15‑2‑8) vs West Ham (7‑12‑6) |
0 | Arsenal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| West Ham Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Everton (7‑9‑9) vs Manchester United (8‑12‑5) |
0 | Everton Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brighton (9‑6‑10) vs SouthamptonSouthamptn (2‑20‑3) |
0 | Brighton Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SouthamptonSouthamptn Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Crystal Palace (7‑9‑9) vs Fulham (10‑6‑9) |
0 | Crystal Palace Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fulham Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur (9‑13‑3) vs Ipswich Town (3‑14‑8) |
0 | Tottenham Hotspur Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ipswich Town Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||