The Most Important Games for Aston Villa are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Aston Villa fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Aston Villa Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Aston Villa (17‑9‑9) vs BournemouthBournemoth (14‑10‑11) |
27 | Aston Villa Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 7% | 15% | 30% | 47% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 67% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| BournemouthBournemoth Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 75% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Leicester City (5‑24‑6) vs Nottingham (18‑10‑7) |
8 | Leicester City Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 31% | 48% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 67% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nottingham Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 16% | 70% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| SouthamptonSouthamptn (2‑28‑5) vs Manchester City (19‑9‑7) |
4 | SouthamptonSouthamptn Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 17% | 65% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 67% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Manchester City Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 17% | 68% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Chelsea (18‑8‑9) vs Newcastle (19‑10‑6) |
1 | Chelsea Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 17% | 67% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 67% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Newcastle Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 66% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Brentford (15‑13‑7) vs Ipswich Town (4‑21‑10) |
1 | Brentford Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 65% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 67% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ipswich Town Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 69% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arsenal (18‑4‑13) vs Liverpool (25‑3‑7) |
0 | Arsenal Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 67% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 67% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Liverpool Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 67% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Everton (8‑12‑15) vs Fulham (14‑12‑9) |
0 | Everton Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 67% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 67% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fulham Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 67% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Brighton (13‑9‑13) vs WolverhamptonWolves (12‑18‑5) |
0 | Brighton Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 66% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 67% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| WolverhamptonWolves Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 67% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Manchester United (10‑16‑9) vs West Ham (9‑16‑10) |
0 | Manchester United Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 67% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 67% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| West Ham Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 67% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur (11‑19‑5) vs Crystal Palace (11‑11‑13) |
0 | Tottenham Hotspur Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 67% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 67% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Crystal Palace Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 67% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||