The Chelsea What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 14 | 12 | 9 | 51 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 22% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 13 | 12 | 9 | 48 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 13 | 13 | 9 | 48 | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 22% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Chelsea beats Nottingham |
Worst Case Scenario Nottingham beats Chelsea |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 17 | 12 | 9 | 60 | X | X | <1% | 1% | 27% | 64% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 16 | 13 | 9 | 57 | X | X | X | X | X | 40% | 45% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 15 | 14 | 9 | 54 | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 16% | 36% | 32% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 14 | 15 | 9 | 51 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 27% | 40% | 21% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 13 | 16 | 9 | 48 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 30% | 43% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ |