The Most Important Games for Chelsea are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chelsea fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chelsea Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Chelsea (12‑6‑7) vs Aston Villa (10‑7‑9) |
35 | Chelsea Wins | <1% | 2% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Aston Villa Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 19% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| WolverhamptonWolves (5‑16‑4) vs BournemouthBournemoth (12‑6‑7) |
9 | WolverhamptonWolves Wins | <1% | 1% | 12% | 18% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| BournemouthBournemoth Wins | <1% | 1% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Liverpool (18‑1‑7) vs Manchester City (13‑7‑5) |
8 | Liverpool Wins | <1% | 1% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester City Wins | <1% | 1% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Newcastle (12‑8‑5) vs Nottingham (14‑6‑5) |
4 | Newcastle Wins | <1% | 1% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nottingham Wins | <1% | 1% | 9% | 16% | 22% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Crystal Palace (7‑9‑9) vs Fulham (10‑6‑9) |
1 | Crystal Palace Wins | <1% | 1% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fulham Wins | <1% | 1% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SouthamptonSouthamptn (2‑20‑3) vs Brighton (9‑6‑10) |
1 | SouthamptonSouthamptn Wins | <1% | 1% | 10% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brighton Wins | <1% | 1% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| West Ham (7‑12‑6) vs Arsenal (15‑2‑8) |
1 | West Ham Wins | <1% | 2% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | <1% | 1% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ipswich Town (3‑14‑8) vs Tottenham Hotspur (9‑13‑3) |
0 | Ipswich Town Wins | <1% | 1% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur Wins | <1% | 1% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester United (8‑12‑5) vs Everton (7‑9‑9) |
0 | Manchester United Wins | <1% | 1% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Everton Wins | <1% | 1% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||