The Most Important Games for Chelsea are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chelsea fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chelsea Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Chelsea (5‑3‑1) vs Sunderland (1‑6‑2) |
20 | Chelsea Wins | 4% | 11% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 10% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sunderland Wins | 3% | 8% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Crystal Palace (2‑6‑1) vs Liverpool (4‑2‑3) |
5 | Crystal Palace Wins | 4% | 11% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 10% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Liverpool Wins | 4% | 11% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nottingham (1‑5‑3) vs Manchester City (7‑2) |
3 | Nottingham Wins | 5% | 11% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 10% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester City Wins | 4% | 10% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ipswich Town (3‑4‑2) vs BournemouthBournemoth (3‑3‑3) |
3 | Ipswich Town Wins | 4% | 11% | 17% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 10% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| BournemouthBournemoth Wins | 4% | 10% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hull City (2‑2‑5) vs Arsenal (8‑1) |
1 | Hull City Wins | 5% | 12% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 10% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | 4% | 11% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur (3‑3‑3) vs Leeds United (2‑2‑5) |
1 | Tottenham Hotspur Wins | 4% | 11% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 10% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Leeds United Wins | 4% | 11% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fulham (2‑4‑3) vs Newcastle (3‑4‑2) |
1 | Fulham Wins | 4% | 11% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 10% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Newcastle Wins | 4% | 11% | 17% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Coventry City (3‑6) vs Everton (3‑2‑4) |
1 | Coventry City Wins | 4% | 11% | 17% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 10% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Everton Wins | 4% | 11% | 17% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brentford (3‑1‑5) vs Brighton (6‑2‑1) |
1 | Brentford Wins | 5% | 10% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 10% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brighton Wins | 4% | 10% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester United (1‑4‑4) vs Aston Villa (3‑3‑3) |
0 | Manchester United Wins | 4% | 11% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 10% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Aston Villa Wins | 4% | 11% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||