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Tue Oct 13 4:00 am

English Premier League - Week 9 of 41

Chelsea Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Chelsea are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chelsea fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Chelsea Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Chelsea Resultant Probabilities
Season Finish RelegationRel
1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Chelsea
(3‑2‑1)

vs
Everton
(2‑0‑4)
18 Chelsea Wins 6% 11% 14% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1%
Current Probabilities 5% 10% 13% 13% 11% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Everton Wins 4% 9% 13% 13% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Ipswich Town
(3‑3)

vs
Manchester City
(6‑0)
3 Ipswich Town Wins 6% 11% 13% 13% 11% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 5% 10% 13% 13% 11% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Manchester City Wins 5% 10% 13% 13% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Crystal Palace
(2‑3‑1)

vs
Brighton
(4‑1‑1)
2 Crystal Palace Wins 6% 10% 13% 13% 11% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 5% 10% 13% 13% 11% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Brighton Wins 5% 11% 13% 13% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Nottingham
(1‑3‑2)

vs
Arsenal
(5‑1)
2 Nottingham Wins 5% 11% 14% 13% 12% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 5% 10% 13% 13% 11% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Arsenal Wins 5% 10% 13% 13% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Liverpool
(2‑1‑3)

vs
Brentford
(2‑0‑4)
1 Liverpool Wins 6% 10% 13% 13% 11% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 5% 10% 13% 13% 11% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Brentford Wins 5% 11% 13% 13% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Fulham
(0‑4‑2)

vs
Hull City
(2‑1‑3)
1 Fulham Wins 5% 10% 13% 13% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 5% 10% 13% 13% 11% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Hull City Wins 5% 10% 13% 13% 12% 10% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Newcastle
(2‑2‑2)

vs
Aston Villa
(1‑3‑2)
1 Newcastle Wins 6% 10% 13% 13% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 5% 10% 13% 13% 11% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Aston Villa Wins 5% 10% 13% 13% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
BournemouthBournemoth
(0‑3‑3)

vs
Sunderland
(1‑4‑1)
1 BournemouthBournemoth Wins 5% 11% 13% 13% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 5% 10% 13% 13% 11% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Sunderland Wins 5% 10% 13% 13% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Leeds United
(2‑1‑3)

vs
Manchester United
(1‑2‑3)
0 Leeds United Wins 5% 10% 13% 13% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 5% 10% 13% 13% 11% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Manchester United Wins 5% 11% 13% 13% 11% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round