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Sun Nov 30 6:30 pm

English Premier League - Week 17 of 41

Manchester City Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Manchester City are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Manchester City fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Manchester City Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Manchester City Resultant Probabilities
Season Finish RelegationRel
1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Manchester City
(8‑4‑1)

vs
Sunderland
(6‑3‑4)
28 Manchester City Wins 16% 36% 19% 11% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sunderland Wins 11% 30% 19% 12% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City
(8‑4‑1)

vs
Fulham
(5‑6‑2)
26 Manchester City Wins 17% 36% 19% 11% 6% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Fulham Wins 11% 32% 20% 13% 8% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brentford
(6‑6‑1)

vs
Arsenal
(9‑1‑3)
9 Brentford Wins 19% 31% 18% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal Wins 14% 35% 19% 11% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Aston Villa
(7‑3‑3)

vs
Arsenal
(9‑1‑3)
8 Aston Villa Wins 18% 31% 18% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal Wins 13% 36% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leeds United
(3‑8‑2)

vs
Chelsea
(7‑3‑3)
3 Leeds United Wins 16% 37% 17% 10% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chelsea Wins 15% 34% 19% 11% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
BournemouthBournemoth
(5‑4‑4)

vs
Chelsea
(7‑3‑3)
2 BournemouthBournemoth Wins 16% 36% 18% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chelsea Wins 15% 33% 19% 11% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
West Ham
(3‑8‑2)

vs
Manchester United
(6‑4‑3)
2 West Ham Wins 15% 35% 19% 10% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester United Wins 15% 34% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Burnley
(3‑9‑1)

vs
Crystal Palace
(5‑3‑5)
2 Burnley Wins 15% 34% 19% 11% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Crystal Palace Wins 15% 34% 18% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
West Ham
(3‑8‑2)

vs
Brighton
(6‑3‑4)
2 West Ham Wins 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brighton Wins 15% 34% 18% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brighton
(6‑3‑4)

vs
Aston Villa
(7‑3‑3)
1 Brighton Wins 16% 34% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Aston Villa Wins 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Newcastle
(5‑5‑3)

vs
Tottenham Hotspur
(5‑5‑3)
1 Newcastle Wins 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tottenham Hotspur Wins 15% 35% 18% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Fulham
(5‑6‑2)

vs
Crystal Palace
(5‑3‑5)
1 Fulham Wins 15% 35% 18% 11% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Crystal Palace Wins 15% 34% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Everton
(5‑5‑3)

vs
Nottingham
(3‑7‑3)
1 Everton Wins 16% 34% 19% 11% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nottingham Wins 15% 34% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
WolverhamptonWolves
(0‑11‑2)

vs
Nottingham
(3‑7‑3)
1 WolverhamptonWolves Wins 15% 35% 18% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nottingham Wins 15% 34% 19% 11% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sunderland
(6‑3‑4)

vs
Liverpool
(7‑6)
1 Sunderland Wins 15% 34% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool Wins 15% 34% 19% 11% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tottenham Hotspur
(5‑5‑3)

vs
Brentford
(6‑6‑1)
1 Tottenham Hotspur Wins 15% 35% 18% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brentford Wins 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Burnley
(3‑9‑1)

vs
Newcastle
(5‑5‑3)
0 Burnley Wins 15% 35% 18% 11% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Newcastle Wins 15% 34% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
WolverhamptonWolves
(0‑11‑2)

vs
Manchester United
(6‑4‑3)
0 WolverhamptonWolves Wins 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester United Wins 15% 34% 18% 11% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leeds United
(3‑8‑2)

vs
Liverpool
(7‑6)
0 Leeds United Wins 15% 35% 18% 11% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool Wins 15% 34% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Everton
(5‑5‑3)

vs
BournemouthBournemoth
(5‑4‑4)
0 Everton Wins 15% 35% 18% 11% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 15% 35% 19% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
BournemouthBournemoth Wins 16% 34% 18% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League