The Most Important Games for Manchester City are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Manchester City fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Manchester City Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Manchester City (8‑4‑1) vs Sunderland (6‑3‑4) |
28 | Manchester City Wins | 16% | 36% | 19% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sunderland Wins | 11% | 30% | 19% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester City (8‑4‑1) vs Fulham (5‑6‑2) |
26 | Manchester City Wins | 17% | 36% | 19% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fulham Wins | 11% | 32% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brentford (6‑6‑1) vs Arsenal (9‑1‑3) |
9 | Brentford Wins | 19% | 31% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | 14% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Aston Villa (7‑3‑3) vs Arsenal (9‑1‑3) |
8 | Aston Villa Wins | 18% | 31% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | 13% | 36% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Leeds United (3‑8‑2) vs Chelsea (7‑3‑3) |
3 | Leeds United Wins | 16% | 37% | 17% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Chelsea Wins | 15% | 34% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| BournemouthBournemoth (5‑4‑4) vs Chelsea (7‑3‑3) |
2 | BournemouthBournemoth Wins | 16% | 36% | 18% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Chelsea Wins | 15% | 33% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| West Ham (3‑8‑2) vs Manchester United (6‑4‑3) |
2 | West Ham Wins | 15% | 35% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester United Wins | 15% | 34% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Burnley (3‑9‑1) vs Crystal Palace (5‑3‑5) |
2 | Burnley Wins | 15% | 34% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Crystal Palace Wins | 15% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| West Ham (3‑8‑2) vs Brighton (6‑3‑4) |
2 | West Ham Wins | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brighton Wins | 15% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brighton (6‑3‑4) vs Aston Villa (7‑3‑3) |
1 | Brighton Wins | 16% | 34% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Aston Villa Wins | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Newcastle (5‑5‑3) vs Tottenham Hotspur (5‑5‑3) |
1 | Newcastle Wins | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur Wins | 15% | 35% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fulham (5‑6‑2) vs Crystal Palace (5‑3‑5) |
1 | Fulham Wins | 15% | 35% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Crystal Palace Wins | 15% | 34% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Everton (5‑5‑3) vs Nottingham (3‑7‑3) |
1 | Everton Wins | 16% | 34% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nottingham Wins | 15% | 34% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| WolverhamptonWolves (0‑11‑2) vs Nottingham (3‑7‑3) |
1 | WolverhamptonWolves Wins | 15% | 35% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nottingham Wins | 15% | 34% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sunderland (6‑3‑4) vs Liverpool (7‑6) |
1 | Sunderland Wins | 15% | 34% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Liverpool Wins | 15% | 34% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur (5‑5‑3) vs Brentford (6‑6‑1) |
1 | Tottenham Hotspur Wins | 15% | 35% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brentford Wins | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Burnley (3‑9‑1) vs Newcastle (5‑5‑3) |
0 | Burnley Wins | 15% | 35% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Newcastle Wins | 15% | 34% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| WolverhamptonWolves (0‑11‑2) vs Manchester United (6‑4‑3) |
0 | WolverhamptonWolves Wins | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester United Wins | 15% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Leeds United (3‑8‑2) vs Liverpool (7‑6) |
0 | Leeds United Wins | 15% | 35% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Liverpool Wins | 15% | 34% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Everton (5‑5‑3) vs BournemouthBournemoth (5‑4‑4) |
0 | Everton Wins | 15% | 35% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 35% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| BournemouthBournemoth Wins | 16% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||