The Manchester United What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 9 | 5 | 8 | 35 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 5 | 8 | 32 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 6 | 8 | 32 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Manchester United beats Manchester City |
Worst Case Scenario Manchester City beats Manchester United |
|||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 17 of 17 | 100% | 25 | 5 | 8 | 83 | 31% | 57% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 17 | 94% | 24 | 6 | 8 | 80 | 12% | 55% | 31% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 17 | 88% | 23 | 7 | 8 | 77 | 3% | 35% | 51% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 17 | 82% | 22 | 8 | 8 | 74 | <1% | 14% | 55% | 29% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 17 | 76% | 21 | 9 | 8 | 71 | <1% | 4% | 39% | 51% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 17 | 71% | 20 | 10 | 8 | 68 | <1% | <1% | 16% | 56% | 24% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 17 | 65% | 19 | 11 | 8 | 65 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 33% | 43% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 17 | 59% | 18 | 12 | 8 | 62 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 29% | 37% | 20% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 17 | 53% | 17 | 13 | 8 | 59 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 34% | 27% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 8 of 17 | 47% | 16 | 14 | 8 | 56 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 33% | 22% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 17 | 41% | 15 | 15 | 8 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 28% | 32% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 17 | 35% | 14 | 16 | 8 | 50 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 32% | 31% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 17 | 29% | 13 | 17 | 8 | 47 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 27% | 38% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 17 | 24% | 12 | 18 | 8 | 44 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 43% | 24% | 2% | <1% |
| 3 of 17 | 18% | 11 | 19 | 8 | 41 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 31% | 49% | 15% | <1% |
| 2 of 17 | 12% | 10 | 20 | 8 | 38 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 47% | 41% | 3% |
| 1 of 17 | 6% | 9 | 21 | 8 | 35 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 24% | 61% | 14% |
| 0 of 17 | 0% | 8 | 22 | 8 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 56% | 38% |