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Thu Jan 1 5:00 pm

English Premier League - Week 21 of 41

Manchester United Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Manchester United are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Manchester United fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Manchester United Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Manchester United Resultant Probabilities
Season Finish RelegationRel
1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Manchester United
(8‑5‑6)

vs
Leeds United
(5‑8‑6)
17 Manchester United Wins <1% <1% 5% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 9% 7% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Leeds United Wins <1% <1% 2% 7% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Manchester City
(13‑4‑2)

vs
Chelsea
(8‑5‑6)
3 Manchester City Wins <1% <1% 3% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Chelsea Wins <1% <1% 3% 8% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Fulham
(8‑8‑3)

vs
Liverpool
(10‑6‑3)
2 Fulham Wins <1% <1% 4% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Liverpool Wins <1% <1% 3% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Nottingham
(5‑11‑3)

vs
Aston Villa
(12‑4‑3)
2 Nottingham Wins <1% <1% 4% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Aston Villa Wins <1% <1% 3% 9% 10% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% <1% <1%
West Ham
(3‑11‑5)

vs
WolverhamptonWolves
(0‑16‑3)
1 West Ham Wins <1% <1% 4% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
WolverhamptonWolves Wins <1% <1% 3% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Tottenham Hotspur
(7‑7‑5)

vs
Sunderland
(7‑4‑8)
1 Tottenham Hotspur Wins <1% <1% 4% 9% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Sunderland Wins <1% <1% 3% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% <1% <1%
Burnley
(3‑13‑3)

vs
Brighton
(6‑6‑7)
1 Burnley Wins <1% <1% 3% 10% 10% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Brighton Wins <1% <1% 4% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Newcastle
(7‑7‑5)

vs
Crystal Palace
(7‑6‑6)
0 Newcastle Wins <1% <1% 3% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Crystal Palace Wins <1% <1% 3% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Brentford
(8‑8‑3)

vs
Everton
(8‑7‑4)
0 Brentford Wins <1% <1% 3% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Everton Wins <1% <1% 3% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Arsenal
(14‑2‑3)

vs
BournemouthBournemoth
(5‑6‑8)
0 Arsenal Wins <1% <1% 3% 9% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 3% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
BournemouthBournemoth Wins <1% <1% 3% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League