The Most Important Games for the Toledo Rockets are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rockets final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toledo Rockets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toledo Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |||
| Toledo (3‑2) vs Bowling Green (2‑3) |
18 | Toledo Wins | 10% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | 2% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Ball State (2‑3) vs Western Michigan (3‑3) |
2 | Ball State Wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Akron (2‑4) vs Miami OH (2‑3) |
1 | Akron Wins | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Miami OH Wins | 7% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Eastern Michigan (1‑5) vs Northern Illinois (1‑4) |
0 | Eastern Michigan Wins | 8% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Northern Illinois Wins | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| UMass (0‑5) vs Kent State (1‑4) |
0 | UMass Wins | 7% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Kent State Wins | 7% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||