The Most Important Games for the Toledo Rockets are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rockets final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toledo Rockets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toledo Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |||
| Toledo (5‑2) vs Western Michigan (5‑2) |
28 | Toledo Wins | 20% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | 1% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bowling Green (2‑5) vs Buffalo (4‑3) |
4 | Bowling Green Wins | 15% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Buffalo Wins | 12% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Eastern Michigan (4‑4) vs Ohio (5‑2) |
2 | Eastern Michigan Wins | 14% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio Wins | 12% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Central Michigan (3‑4) vs Miami OH (4‑3) |
2 | Central Michigan Wins | 14% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Miami OH Wins | 12% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Akron (1‑6) vs Kent State (2‑5) |
1 | Akron Wins | 13% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Kent State Wins | 13% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sacramento St. (1‑6) vs Ball State (2‑5) |
1 | Sacramento St. Wins | 13% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Ball State Wins | 13% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||