Are the Toledo Rockets going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Toledo standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| Western Michigan | 2i Western Michigan Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Illinois 0-38 Won Sat, Sep 20 vs Toledo 14-13 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Rhode Island 47-14 Won Sat, Oct 04 @ UMass 21-3 Sat, Oct 11 vs Ball State Sat, Oct 25 @ Miami OH Sat, Nov 01 vs C. Michigan Tue, Nov 11 vs Ohio |
0 | 2 | 26% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Buffalo | 2 Buffalo Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 13 @ Kent State 31-28 Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs Troy 17-21 Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs UConn 17-20 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs E. Michigan 31-30 Sat, Oct 18 @ UMass Sat, Oct 25 vs Akron Sat, Nov 01 @ Bowling Green Wed, Nov 12 @ C. Michigan |
0 | 2 | 15% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Ball State | 1 Ball State Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Auburn 3-42 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs New Hampshire 34-29 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ UConn 25-31 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Ohio 20-14 Sat, Oct 11 @ W. Michigan Sat, Oct 18 vs Akron Sat, Oct 25 @ N. Illinois Wed, Nov 05 vs Kent State |
0 | 1 | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Miami OH | 1 Miami OH Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Rutgers 17-45 Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs UNLV 38-41 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Lindenwood 38-0 Won Sat, Oct 04 @ N. Illinois 25-14 Sat, Oct 11 @ Akron Sat, Oct 18 vs E. Michigan Sat, Oct 25 vs W. Michigan Tue, Nov 04 @ Ohio |
0 | 1 | 11% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| Ohio | 1 Ohio Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Ohio St. 9-37 Won Sat, Sep 20 vs Gardner-Webb 52-35 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Bowling Green 35-20 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Ball State 14-20 Sat, Oct 18 vs N. Illinois Sat, Oct 25 @ E. Michigan Tue, Nov 04 vs Miami OH Tue, Nov 11 @ W. Michigan |
1 | 2 | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Toledo | 1 Toledo Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 06 vs W. Kentucky 45-21 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Morgan State 60-0 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ W. Michigan 13-14 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Akron 45-3 Sat, Oct 11 @ Bowling Green Sat, Oct 18 vs Kent State Sat, Oct 25 @ Wash. St. Wed, Nov 05 vs N. Illinois |
1 | 2 | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Akron | 1 Akron Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ UAB 28-31 Won Sat, Sep 20 vs Duquesne 51-7 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Toledo 3-45 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs C. Michigan 28-22 Sat, Oct 11 vs Miami OH Sat, Oct 18 @ Ball State Sat, Oct 25 @ Buffalo Tue, Nov 04 vs UMass |
1 | 2 | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
| Central Michigan | 1 Central Michigan Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Michigan 3-63 Won Sat, Sep 20 vs Wagner 49-10 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs E. Michigan 24-13 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Akron 22-28 Sat, Oct 18 @ Bowling Green Sat, Oct 25 vs UMass Sat, Nov 01 @ W. Michigan Wed, Nov 12 vs Buffalo |
1 | 2 | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| Bowling Green | 0 Bowling Green Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Cincinnati 20-34 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Liberty 23-13 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Louisville 17-40 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Ohio 20-35 Sat, Oct 11 vs Toledo Sat, Oct 18 vs C. Michigan Sat, Oct 25 @ Kent State Sat, Nov 01 vs Buffalo |
1 | 1 | 4% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| Kent State | 0 Kent State Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Texas Tech 14-62 Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Buffalo 28-31 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Florida St. 10-66 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Oklahoma 0-44 Sat, Oct 11 vs UMass Sat, Oct 18 @ Toledo Sat, Oct 25 vs Bowling Green Wed, Nov 05 @ Ball State |
1 | 1 | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% |
| Northern Illinois | 0 Northern Illinois Recent Games Lost Fri, Sep 05 @ Maryland 9-20 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Mississippi St. 10-38 Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs San Diego State 3-6 Lost Sat, Oct 04 vs Miami OH 14-25 Sat, Oct 11 @ E. Michigan Sat, Oct 18 @ Ohio Sat, Oct 25 vs Ball State Wed, Nov 05 @ Toledo |
1 | 1 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 15% |
| UMass | 0 UMass Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 06 vs Bryant 26-27 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Iowa 7-47 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Missouri 6-42 Lost Sat, Oct 04 vs W. Michigan 3-21 Sat, Oct 11 @ Kent State Sat, Oct 18 vs Buffalo Sat, Oct 25 @ C. Michigan Tue, Nov 04 @ Akron |
1 | 1 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 27% |
| Eastern Michigan | 0 Eastern Michigan Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Kentucky 23-48 Won Sat, Sep 20 vs UL Lafayette 34-31 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ C. Michigan 13-24 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Buffalo 30-31 Sat, Oct 11 vs N. Illinois Sat, Oct 18 @ Miami OH Sat, Oct 25 vs Ohio Sat, Nov 08 vs Bowling Green |
2 | 2 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 27% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)Western Michigan | 2 | 0 | 6% |
| (2)Buffalo | 2 | 0 | 3% |
| (5)Ohio | 1 | 1 | 3% |
| (3)Ball State | 1 | 0 | 2% |
| (4)Miami OH | 1 | 0 | 2% |
| (7)Akron | 1 | 1 | 1% |
| (8)Central Michigan | 1 | 1 | 1% |
| (9)Bowling Green | 0 | 1 | 1% |
| (11)Northern Illinois | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| (10)Kent State | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| (12)UMass | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| (13)Eastern Michigan | 0 | 2 | <1% |
| Elimination | 81% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Western Michigan (3‑3) |
13‑14 | Away | Sat Sep 20, 3:30 pm |
| 5 | Akron (2‑4) |
45‑3 | Home | Sat Sep 27, 3:30 pm |
| 7 | Bowling Green (2‑3) |
Away | Sat Oct 11, 12:00 pm | |
| 8 | Kent State (1‑4) |
Home | Sat Oct 18, TBD | |
| 11 | Northern Illinois (1‑4) |
Home | Wed Nov 5, TBD | |
| 12 | Miami OH (2‑3) |
Away | Wed Nov 12, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | Ball State (2‑3) |
Home | Sat Nov 22, TBD | |
| 14 | Central Michigan (3‑3) |
Away | Sat Nov 29, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kentucky (2‑3) |
SECSEC | 16‑24 | Away | Sat Aug 30, 12:45 pm |
| 2 | W. Kentucky (5‑1) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 45‑21 | Home | Sat Sep 6, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Morgan State | ‑‑ | 60‑0 | Home | Sat Sep 13, 3:30 pm |
| 9 | Washington St. (3‑2) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Away | Sat Oct 25, 3:30 pm |