Are the Toledo Rockets going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Toledo standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| Miami OH | 4i Miami OH Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 04 @ N. Illinois 25-14 Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Akron 20-7 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs E. Michigan 44-30 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs W. Michigan 26-17 Tue, Nov 04 @ Ohio Wed, Nov 12 vs Toledo Wed, Nov 19 @ Buffalo Sat, Nov 29 vs Ball State |
0 | 4 | 41% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Ohio | 3 Ohio Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Bowling Green 35-20 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Ball State 14-20 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs N. Illinois 48-21 Won Sat, Oct 25 @ E. Michigan 28-21 Tue, Nov 04 vs Miami OH Tue, Nov 11 @ W. Michigan Tue, Nov 18 vs UMass Fri, Nov 28 @ Buffalo |
1 | 4 | 22% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Central Michigan | 3 Central Michigan Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 27 vs E. Michigan 24-13 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Akron 22-28 Won Sat, Oct 18 @ Bowling Green 27-6 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs UMass 38-13 Sat, Nov 01 @ W. Michigan Wed, Nov 12 vs Buffalo Wed, Nov 19 @ Kent State Sat, Nov 29 vs Toledo |
1 | 4 | 14% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Western Michigan | 3 Western Michigan Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Rhode Island 47-14 Won Sat, Oct 04 @ UMass 21-3 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs Ball State 42-0 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Miami OH 17-26 Sat, Nov 01 vs C. Michigan Tue, Nov 11 vs Ohio Tue, Nov 18 @ N. Illinois Tue, Nov 25 @ E. Michigan |
1 | 4 | 11% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Buffalo | 3 Buffalo Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs UConn 17-20 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs E. Michigan 31-30 Won Sat, Oct 18 @ UMass 28-21 Lost Sat, Oct 25 vs Akron 16-24 Sat, Nov 01 @ Bowling Green Wed, Nov 12 @ C. Michigan Wed, Nov 19 vs Miami OH Fri, Nov 28 vs Ohio |
1 | 4 | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Toledo | 2 Toledo Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Akron 45-3 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ Bowling Green 23-28 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Kent State 45-10 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Wash. St. 7-28 Wed, Nov 05 vs N. Illinois Wed, Nov 12 @ Miami OH Sat, Nov 22 vs Ball State Sat, Nov 29 @ C. Michigan |
2 | 4 | 2% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | <1% |
| Ball State | 2 Ball State Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Ohio 20-14 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ W. Michigan 0-42 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Akron 42-28 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ N. Illinois 7-21 Wed, Nov 05 vs Kent State Sat, Nov 15 vs E. Michigan Sat, Nov 22 @ Toledo Sat, Nov 29 @ Miami OH |
2 | 4 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 1% |
| Kent State | 2 Kent State Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Oklahoma 0-44 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs UMass 42-6 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Toledo 10-45 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs Bowling Green 24-21 Wed, Nov 05 @ Ball State Tue, Nov 11 @ Akron Wed, Nov 19 vs C. Michigan Fri, Nov 28 @ N. Illinois |
2 | 4 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 5% | <1% |
| Akron | 2 Akron Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 04 vs C. Michigan 28-22 Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs Miami OH 7-20 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Ball State 28-42 Won Sat, Oct 25 @ Buffalo 24-16 Tue, Nov 04 vs UMass Tue, Nov 11 vs Kent State Tue, Nov 18 @ Bowling Green |
3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 5% | 2% |
| Bowling Green | 1 Bowling Green Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Ohio 20-35 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs Toledo 28-23 Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs C. Michigan 6-27 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Kent State 21-24 Sat, Nov 01 vs Buffalo Sat, Nov 08 @ E. Michigan Tue, Nov 18 vs Akron Tue, Nov 25 @ UMass |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% |
| Northern Illinois | 1 Northern Illinois Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 04 vs Miami OH 14-25 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ E. Michigan 10-16 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Ohio 21-48 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs Ball State 21-7 Wed, Nov 05 @ Toledo Wed, Nov 12 @ UMass Tue, Nov 18 vs W. Michigan Fri, Nov 28 vs Kent State |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 18% | 14% | 15% |
| Eastern Michigan | 1 Eastern Michigan Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Buffalo 30-31 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs N. Illinois 16-10 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Miami OH 30-44 Lost Sat, Oct 25 vs Ohio 21-28 Sat, Nov 08 vs Bowling Green Sat, Nov 15 @ Ball State Tue, Nov 25 vs W. Michigan |
4 | 5 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 21% | 37% | 13% |
| UMass | 0 UMass Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 04 vs W. Michigan 3-21 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ Kent State 6-42 Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs Buffalo 21-28 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ C. Michigan 13-38 Tue, Nov 04 @ Akron Wed, Nov 12 vs N. Illinois Tue, Nov 18 @ Ohio Tue, Nov 25 vs Bowling Green |
4 | 4 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 20% | 63% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (2)Ohio | 3 | 1 | 3% |
| (1)Miami OH | 4 | 0 | 2% |
| (4)Western Michigan | 3 | 1 | 2% |
| (3)Central Michigan | 3 | 1 | 1% |
| (5)Buffalo | 3 | 1 | 1% |
| (8)Kent State | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (7)Ball State | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (10)Bowling Green | 1 | 3 | <1% |
| (9)Akron | 2 | 3 | <1% |
| (11)Northern Illinois | 1 | 3 | <1% |
| Elimination | 92% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Western Michigan (4‑4) |
13‑14 | Away | Sat Sep 20, 3:30 pm |
| 5 | Akron (3‑6) |
45‑3 | Home | Sat Sep 27, 3:30 pm |
| 7 | Bowling Green (3‑5) |
23‑28 | Away | Sat Oct 11, 12:00 pm |
| 8 | Kent State (3‑5) |
45‑10 | Home | Sat Oct 18, 2:00 pm |
| 11 | Northern Illinois (2‑6) |
Home | Wed Nov 5, TBD | |
| 12 | Miami OH (5‑3) |
Away | Wed Nov 12, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | Ball State (3‑5) |
Home | Sat Nov 22, TBD | |
| 14 | Central Michigan (5‑3) |
Away | Sat Nov 29, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kentucky (2‑5) |
SECSEC | 16‑24 | Away | Sat Aug 30, 12:45 pm |
| 2 | W. Kentucky (6‑2) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 45‑21 | Home | Sat Sep 6, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Morgan State | ‑‑ | 60‑0 | Home | Sat Sep 13, 3:30 pm |
| 9 | Washington St. (4‑4) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 7‑28 | Away | Sat Oct 25, 3:30 pm |