The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (54‑35) vs Dodgers (56‑34) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 39% | 34% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | 35% | 33% | 21% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Pirates (38‑52) vs Mariners (47‑42) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | 36% | 34% | 20% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 37% | 33% | 18% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Nationals (37‑52) vs Red Sox (45‑45) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 36% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 36% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Mets (52‑38) vs Yankees (48‑41) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 36% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 36% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Giants (48‑42) vs Athletics (37‑54) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 36% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 37% | 33% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Padres (47‑41) vs Rangers (44‑45) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | 37% | 33% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 37% | 33% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Braves (39‑49) vs Orioles (39‑49) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 1 Game | 36% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 37% | 33% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Angels (43‑45) vs Blue Jays (51‑38) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 37% | 35% | 18% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 36% | 34% | 20% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Guardians (40‑47) vs Tigers (56‑34) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 38% | 33% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 35% | 35% | 20% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| White Sox (30‑59) vs Rockies (20‑69) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 36% | 35% | 18% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Twins (43‑46) vs Rays (48‑41) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 36% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (44‑44) vs Royals (42‑48) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 36% | 34% | 20% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 36% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (54‑35) vs Dodgers (56‑34) |
4 | Astros Wins | 39% | 34% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 35% | 33% | 21% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Pirates (38‑52) vs Mariners (47‑42) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 36% | 34% | 20% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 37% | 33% | 18% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Nationals (37‑52) vs Red Sox (45‑45) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 36% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 36% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Mets (52‑38) vs Yankees (48‑41) |
0 | Mets Wins | 36% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 36% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Giants (48‑42) vs Athletics (37‑54) |
0 | Giants Wins | 36% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 37% | 33% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Padres (47‑41) vs Rangers (44‑45) |
0 | Padres Wins | 37% | 33% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 37% | 33% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Braves (39‑49) vs Orioles (39‑49) |
0 | Braves Wins | 36% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 37% | 33% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Angels (43‑45) vs Blue Jays (51‑38) |
0 | Angels Wins | 37% | 35% | 18% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 36% | 34% | 20% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Guardians (40‑47) vs Tigers (56‑34) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 38% | 33% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 35% | 35% | 20% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| White Sox (30‑59) vs Rockies (20‑69) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 36% | 35% | 18% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Twins (43‑46) vs Rays (48‑41) |
0 | Twins Wins | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Rays Wins | 36% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (44‑44) vs Royals (42‑48) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 36% | 34% | 20% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Royals Wins | 36% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||