The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Royals (76‑76) vs Mariners (83‑69) 1 Game Remaining |
17 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 15% | 41% | 1% | 12% | 21% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 24% | 10% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 14% | 29% | 3% | 18% | 26% | 10% | ||
| Orioles (72‑80) vs Yankees (85‑67) 4 Games Remaining |
4 | Orioles Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 15% | 34% | 8% | 15% | 19% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 24% | 10% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 14% | 35% | <1% | 16% | 25% | 10% | ||
| Tigers (85‑67) vs Guardians (80‑71) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 11% | 37% | 2% | 16% | 25% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 24% | 10% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 19% | 30% | 2% | 15% | 22% | 12% | ||
| Athletics (71‑81) vs Red Sox (83‑69) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 15% | 34% | 2% | 19% | 20% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 24% | 10% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 14% | 35% | 2% | 13% | 26% | 10% | ||
| Rays (74‑78) vs Blue Jays (89‑63) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 23% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 24% | 10% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 24% | 10% | ||
| Brewers (93‑59) vs Angels (69‑83) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 24% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 24% | 10% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 24% | 10% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Royals (76‑76) vs Mariners (83‑69) |
17 | Royals Wins | <1% | 15% | 41% | 1% | 12% | 21% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 24% | 10% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | 14% | 29% | 3% | 18% | 26% | 10% | ||
| Tigers (85‑67) vs Guardians (80‑71) |
3 | Tigers Wins | <1% | 11% | 37% | 2% | 16% | 25% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 24% | 10% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | 19% | 30% | 2% | 15% | 22% | 12% | ||
| Athletics (71‑81) vs Red Sox (83‑69) |
2 | Athletics Wins | <1% | 15% | 34% | 2% | 19% | 20% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 24% | 10% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | 14% | 35% | 2% | 13% | 26% | 10% | ||
| Orioles (72‑80) vs Yankees (85‑67) |
1 | Orioles Wins | <1% | 14% | 35% | 3% | 15% | 23% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 24% | 10% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | 14% | 34% | 1% | 16% | 24% | 10% | ||
| Rays (74‑78) vs Blue Jays (89‑63) |
0 | Rays Wins | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 23% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 24% | 10% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 24% | 10% | ||
| Brewers (93‑59) vs Angels (69‑83) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 24% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 24% | 10% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | 15% | 35% | 2% | 15% | 24% | 10% | ||