The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (74‑60) vs Angels (62‑71) 4 Games Remaining |
72 | Astros Sweeps 4 Games | 8% | 19% | 47% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 3% | 36% | 2% | 8% | 24% | 27% | ||
| Guardians (66‑66) vs Mariners (72‑62) 3 Games Remaining |
31 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 13% | 57% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 11% | 35% | 5% | 13% | 21% | 10% | ||
| Athletics (63‑72) vs Rangers (68‑67) 3 Games Remaining |
6 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 12% | 47% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 12% | 45% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 12% | ||
| Pirates (59‑76) vs Red Sox (75‑60) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 13% | 44% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 11% | 47% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 10% | ||
| White Sox (48‑86) vs Yankees (74‑60) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 13% | 45% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 12% | 46% | 2% | 7% | 18% | 10% | ||
| Tigers (78‑57) vs Royals (69‑65) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 10% | 50% | 3% | 9% | 18% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 16% | 41% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 12% | ||
| Nationals (53‑80) vs Rays (64‑69) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 11% | ||
| Twins (60‑73) vs Padres (75‑59) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Giants (66‑68) vs Orioles (60‑74) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Blue Jays (78‑56) vs Brewers (83‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 11% | 48% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 14% | 43% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (74‑60) vs Angels (62‑71) |
18 | Astros Wins | 5% | 13% | 47% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Angels Wins | 3% | 9% | 44% | 3% | 9% | 19% | 13% | ||
| Guardians (66‑66) vs Mariners (72‑62) |
11 | Guardians Wins | 4% | 12% | 50% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 4% | 12% | 42% | 3% | 10% | 18% | 10% | ||
| Tigers (78‑57) vs Royals (69‑65) |
2 | Tigers Wins | 4% | 11% | 47% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Royals Wins | 5% | 13% | 44% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 11% | ||
| Athletics (63‑72) vs Rangers (68‑67) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 4% | 13% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 11% | ||
| Nationals (53‑80) vs Rays (64‑69) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Rays Wins | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 10% | ||
| Padres (75‑59) vs Twins (60‑73) |
1 | Padres Wins | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Twins Wins | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 10% | ||
| Pirates (59‑76) vs Red Sox (75‑60) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 4% | 12% | 45% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 10% | ||
| Giants (66‑68) vs Orioles (60‑74) |
1 | Giants Wins | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 4% | 12% | 45% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Yankees (74‑60) vs White Sox (48‑86) |
0 | Yankees Wins | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 8% | 17% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 4% | 12% | 45% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Brewers (83‑52) vs Blue Jays (78‑56) |
0 | Brewers Wins | 4% | 13% | 45% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 12% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 4% | 12% | 47% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 10% | ||