The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (17‑15) vs White Sox (9‑24) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 51% | ||
| Marlins (13‑19) vs Athletics (18‑16) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Orioles (13‑19) vs Royals (18‑16) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Guardians (19‑14) vs Blue Jays (16‑17) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Rangers (16‑18) vs Mariners (20‑12) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Tigers (21‑13) vs Angels (13‑19) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Red Sox (18‑17) vs Twins (14‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Rays (15‑18) vs Yankees (19‑14) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (17‑15) vs White Sox (9‑24) |
4 | Astros Wins | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 7% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 51% | ||
| Marlins (13‑19) vs Athletics (18‑16) |
2 | Marlins Wins | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Orioles (13‑19) vs Royals (18‑16) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Royals Wins | 8% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Guardians (19‑14) vs Blue Jays (16‑17) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Rangers (16‑18) vs Mariners (20‑12) |
0 | Rangers Wins | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Tigers (21‑13) vs Angels (13‑19) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Angels Wins | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Red Sox (18‑17) vs Twins (14‑20) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Twins Wins | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Rays (15‑18) vs Yankees (19‑14) |
0 | Rays Wins | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||