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Tue Sep 22 2:15 am

MLB - Week 27 of 27

Astros Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Astros Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mets
(71‑85)
vs
Rangers
(78‑78)
3 Games Remaining		 145 Mets Sweeps 3 Games X 1% 75% X X <1% 24%
Current Probabilities X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Rangers Sweeps 3 Games X <1% 11% X X 3% 86%
Astros
(77‑79)
vs
Mariners
(73‑83)
2 Games Remaining		 107 Astros Sweeps 2 Games X 2% 60% X X 2% 35%
Current Probabilities X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Mariners Sweeps 2 Games X <1% 17% X X <1% 83%
Royals
(67‑89)
vs
White Sox
(80‑76)
3 Games Remaining		 3 Royals Sweeps 3 Games X 2% 35% X X 4% 59%
Current Probabilities X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
White Sox Sweeps 3 Games X <1% 38% X X <1% 62%
Blue Jays
(77‑80)
vs
Orioles
(76‑81)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Current Probabilities X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Orioles Sweeps 2 Games X 1% 37% X X 1% 62%
Red Sox
(84‑72)
vs
Guardians
(81‑75)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games X 1% 36% X X 2% 61%
Current Probabilities X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Guardians Sweeps 3 Games X X 38% X X 1% 62%
Giants
(65‑92)
vs
Twins
(73‑84)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Giants Sweeps 2 Games X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Current Probabilities X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Twins Sweeps 2 Games X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Nationals
(73‑84)
vs
Tigers
(74‑83)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Nationals Sweeps 2 Games X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Current Probabilities X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Tigers Sweeps 2 Games X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Yankees
(89‑66)
vs
Rays
(95‑60)
4 Games Remaining		 0 Yankees Sweeps 4 Games X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Current Probabilities X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Rays Sweeps 4 Games X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Athletics
(61‑95)
vs
Angels
(60‑96)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Athletics Sweeps 2 Games X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Current Probabilities X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Angels Sweeps 2 Games X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%


Astros Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Astros
(77‑79)
vs
Mariners
(73‑83)		 54 Astros Wins X 1% 48% X X 2% 49%
Current Probabilities X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Mariners Wins X <1% 26% X X 1% 73%
Mets
(71‑85)
vs
Rangers
(78‑78)		 50 Mets Wins X 1% 49% X X <1% 49%
Current Probabilities X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Rangers Wins X 1% 27% X X 1% 71%
Blue Jays
(77‑80)
vs
Orioles
(76‑81)		 1 Blue Jays Wins X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Current Probabilities X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Orioles Wins X 1% 37% X X 1% 62%
Nationals
(73‑84)
vs
Tigers
(74‑83)		 1 Nationals Wins X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Current Probabilities X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Tigers Wins X 1% 37% X X 1% 62%
Twins
(73‑84)
vs
Giants
(65‑92)		 1 Twins Wins X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Current Probabilities X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Giants Wins X 1% 37% X X 1% 62%
Guardians
(81‑75)
vs
Red Sox
(84‑72)		 1 Guardians Wins X <1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Current Probabilities X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Red Sox Wins X 1% 36% X X 1% 62%
Royals
(67‑89)
vs
White Sox
(80‑76)		 0 Royals Wins X 1% 37% X X 2% 61%
Current Probabilities X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
White Sox Wins X <1% 38% X X 1% 61%
Yankees
(89‑66)
vs
Rays
(95‑60)		 0 Yankees Wins X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Current Probabilities X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Rays Wins X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Athletics
(61‑95)
vs
Angels
(60‑96)		 0 Athletics Wins X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Current Probabilities X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
Angels Wins X 1% 37% X X 1% 61%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs