The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (45‑33) vs Phillies (47‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
27 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 22% | 27% | 31% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 12% | 22% | 34% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 17% | ||
| Twins (37‑40) vs Mariners (39‑37) 4 Games Remaining |
9 | Twins Sweeps 4 Games | 18% | 25% | 35% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 4 Games | 17% | 24% | 29% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 13% | ||
| Orioles (33‑44) vs Rangers (38‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 24% | 33% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 24% | 31% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 13% | ||
| Red Sox (40‑39) vs Angels (37‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 24% | 34% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 24% | 31% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Royals (38‑40) vs Rays (43‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 18% | 26% | 31% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 24% | 33% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 13% | ||
| Reds (39‑38) vs Yankees (45‑32) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 18% | 25% | 30% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 16% | 23% | 34% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 13% | ||
| Athletics (32‑48) vs Tigers (49‑30) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 20% | 24% | 30% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 24% | 33% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Blue Jays (41‑36) vs Guardians (39‑37) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 25% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (39‑37) vs White Sox (25‑53) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 25% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 25% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (45‑33) vs Phillies (47‑31) |
10 | Astros Wins | 19% | 26% | 31% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 15% | 23% | 33% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 14% | ||
| Twins (37‑40) vs Mariners (39‑37) |
3 | Twins Wins | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 17% | 24% | 31% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (39‑37) vs White Sox (25‑53) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 17% | 25% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Orioles (33‑44) vs Rangers (38‑40) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 17% | 24% | 33% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 18% | 25% | 31% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Rays (43‑35) vs Royals (38‑40) |
1 | Rays Wins | 18% | 25% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Royals Wins | 18% | 25% | 31% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 13% | ||
| Guardians (39‑37) vs Blue Jays (41‑36) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 17% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Angels (37‑40) vs Red Sox (40‑39) |
0 | Angels Wins | 17% | 25% | 31% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 17% | 25% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Athletics (32‑48) vs Tigers (49‑30) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 18% | 24% | 31% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 17% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Yankees (45‑32) vs Reds (39‑38) |
0 | Yankees Wins | 17% | 25% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 24% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Reds Wins | 18% | 25% | 31% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||