The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (70‑69) vs White Sox (73‑65) 2 Games Remaining |
59 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 13% | 52% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 41% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 57% | ||
| Athletics (53‑86) vs Rangers (69‑70) 1 Game Remaining |
15 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 7% | 52% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 45% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 45% | ||
| Red Sox (75‑64) vs Mariners (65‑74) 1 Game Remaining |
9 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 49% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 7% | 45% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 46% | ||
| Tigers (63‑75) vs Twins (67‑72) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 46% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 45% | ||
| Royals (62‑77) vs Marlins (70‑69) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 7% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Mets (62‑77) vs Rays (83‑55) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 45% | ||
| Yankees (79‑60) vs Angels (53‑86) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Orioles (69‑70) vs Rockies (53‑86) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 48% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Blue Jays (68‑71) vs Guardians (70‑68) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 7% | 46% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 6% | 48% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 44% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (70‑69) vs White Sox (73‑65) |
30 | Astros Wins | <1% | 10% | 50% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | 3% | 44% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 50% | ||
| Athletics (53‑86) vs Rangers (69‑70) |
15 | Athletics Wins | <1% | 7% | 52% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 6% | 45% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 45% | ||
| Red Sox (75‑64) vs Mariners (65‑74) |
9 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | 6% | 49% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | 7% | 45% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 46% | ||
| Tigers (63‑75) vs Twins (67‑72) |
2 | Tigers Wins | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | 6% | 46% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 45% | ||
| Mets (62‑77) vs Rays (83‑55) |
1 | Mets Wins | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 45% | ||
| Yankees (79‑60) vs Angels (53‑86) |
1 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Orioles (69‑70) vs Rockies (53‑86) |
1 | Orioles Wins | <1% | 6% | 48% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Blue Jays (68‑71) vs Guardians (70‑68) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 7% | 46% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 44% | ||
| Marlins (70‑69) vs Royals (62‑77) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | 7% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | ||