The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (14‑22) vs Dodgers (22‑13) 2 Games Remaining |
6 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 86% | ||
| Phillies (15‑20) vs Athletics (18‑16) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Braves (25‑11) vs Mariners (17‑19) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Yankees (24‑11) vs Rangers (16‑18) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Guardians (18‑18) vs Royals (16‑19) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Marlins (16‑19) vs Orioles (15‑20) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Blue Jays (16‑19) vs Rays (22‑12) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Twins (15‑20) vs Nationals (16‑19) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| White Sox (17‑18) vs Angels (13‑23) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Red Sox (14‑21) vs Tigers (18‑18) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (14‑22) vs Dodgers (22‑13) |
4 | Astros Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Rays (22‑12) vs Blue Jays (16‑19) |
1 | Rays Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Tigers (18‑18) vs Red Sox (14‑21) |
1 | Tigers Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Orioles (15‑20) vs Marlins (16‑19) |
1 | Orioles Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Phillies (15‑20) vs Athletics (18‑16) |
1 | Phillies Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Yankees (24‑11) vs Rangers (16‑18) |
1 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Guardians (18‑18) vs Royals (16‑19) |
1 | Guardians Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Twins (15‑20) vs Nationals (16‑19) |
0 | Twins Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Angels (13‑23) vs White Sox (17‑18) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Braves (25‑11) vs Mariners (17‑19) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||