The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (7‑11) vs Rockies (6‑11) 2 Games Remaining |
6 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 75% | ||
| Padres (11‑6) vs Mariners (8‑10) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Rangers (9‑8) vs Athletics (9‑8) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| White Sox (6‑11) vs Rays (9‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Orioles (9‑8) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (10‑8) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Tigers (8‑9) vs Royals (7‑10) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 73% | ||
| Twins (11‑7) vs Red Sox (6‑11) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Blue Jays (7‑9) vs Brewers (8‑8) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Yankees (9‑8) vs Angels (9‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Cardinals (9‑8) vs Guardians (10‑8) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 73% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (7‑11) vs Rockies (6‑11) |
3 | Astros Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Tigers (8‑9) vs Royals (7‑10) |
1 | Tigers Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Royals Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 73% | ||
| Padres (11‑6) vs Mariners (8‑10) |
1 | Padres Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Yankees (9‑8) vs Angels (9‑9) |
1 | Yankees Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Angels Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Rays (9‑7) vs White Sox (6‑11) |
1 | Rays Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Athletics (9‑8) vs Rangers (9‑8) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 73% | ||
| Orioles (9‑8) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (10‑8) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Twins (11‑7) vs Red Sox (6‑11) |
0 | Twins Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Brewers (8‑8) vs Blue Jays (7‑9) |
0 | Brewers Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 73% | ||
| Cardinals (9‑8) vs Guardians (10‑8) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 73% | ||