The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (62‑47) vs Red Sox (59‑51) 3 Games Remaining |
39 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 25% | 27% | 27% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 19% | 32% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 15% | ||
| Rangers (57‑52) vs Mariners (57‑52) 4 Games Remaining |
7 | Rangers Sweeps 4 Games | 17% | 24% | 30% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 4 Games | 17% | 22% | 27% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Rays (54‑55) vs Yankees (59‑49) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 24% | 29% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Phillies (61‑47) vs Tigers (64‑46) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 20% | 24% | 26% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 22% | 35% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| White Sox (40‑69) vs Angels (53‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 18% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Athletics (48‑63) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (51‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 18% | 22% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Orioles (50‑59) vs Cubs (63‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Royals (54‑55) vs Blue Jays (64‑46) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 20% | 23% | 27% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 15% | 23% | 32% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Guardians (54‑54) vs Twins (51‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 18% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (62‑47) vs Red Sox (59‑51) |
13 | Astros Wins | 20% | 24% | 29% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 15% | 22% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 11% | ||
| Rays (54‑55) vs Yankees (59‑49) |
3 | Rays Wins | 18% | 24% | 29% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Rangers (57‑52) vs Mariners (57‑52) |
2 | Rangers Wins | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 18% | 23% | 29% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 9% | ||
| White Sox (40‑69) vs Angels (53‑56) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Angels Wins | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Cubs (63‑45) vs Orioles (50‑59) |
1 | Cubs Wins | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 17% | 22% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Royals (54‑55) vs Blue Jays (64‑46) |
0 | Royals Wins | 19% | 22% | 29% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Guardians (54‑54) vs Twins (51‑57) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Twins Wins | 17% | 23% | 29% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 9% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (51‑57) vs Athletics (48‑63) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 18% | 22% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Tigers (64‑46) vs Phillies (61‑47) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 17% | 22% | 31% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 23% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 18% | 23% | 29% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||