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Wed Jul 22 9:30 am

MLB - Week 18 of 27

Astros Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Astros Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Astros
(49‑54)
vs
Marlins
(52‑50)
1 Game Remaining		 11 Astros Sweeps 1 Game <1% 3% 14% 1% 3% 5% 75%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Marlins Sweeps 1 Game <1% 1% 11% <1% 2% 4% 81%
Reds
(46‑54)
vs
Mariners
(51‑51)
1 Game Remaining		 4 Reds Sweeps 1 Game <1% 2% 13% <1% 2% 5% 76%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Mariners Sweeps 1 Game <1% 2% 12% 1% 2% 6% 78%
Cardinals
(51‑49)
vs
Angels
(41‑61)
1 Game Remaining		 2 Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game <1% 3% 13% <1% 2% 5% 77%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Angels Sweeps 1 Game <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
White Sox
(53‑47)
vs
Rangers
(51‑50)
1 Game Remaining		 2 White Sox Sweeps 1 Game <1% 2% 13% <1% 2% 5% 77%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Rangers Sweeps 1 Game <1% 2% 12% <1% 3% 6% 77%
Athletics
(43‑58)
vs
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(52‑49)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Athletics Sweeps 1 Game <1% 2% 13% <1% 2% 5% 77%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game <1% 2% 12% 1% 2% 5% 77%
Yankees
(56‑44)
vs
Pirates
(52‑49)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Yankees Sweeps 2 Games <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Pirates Sweeps 2 Games <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Tigers
(47‑54)
vs
Cubs
(57‑44)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Tigers Sweeps 1 Game <1% 3% 12% <1% 2% 5% 77%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Cubs Sweeps 1 Game <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Royals
(42‑60)
vs
Giants
(42‑59)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Royals Sweeps 1 Game <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Giants Sweeps 1 Game <1% 2% 12% 1% 2% 5% 78%
Rays
(58‑42)
vs
Blue Jays
(46‑55)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Rays Sweeps 2 Games <1% 2% 13% 1% 2% 5% 77%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games <1% 2% 12% 1% 2% 5% 77%
Guardians
(54‑48)
vs
Twins
(49‑53)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Guardians Sweeps 2 Games <1% 2% 13% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Twins Sweeps 2 Games <1% 3% 12% 1% 2% 5% 78%
Orioles
(49‑52)
vs
Red Sox
(51‑48)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Orioles Sweeps 2 Games <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%


Astros Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Astros
(49‑54)
vs
Marlins
(52‑50)		 11 Astros Wins <1% 3% 14% 1% 3% 5% 75%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Marlins Wins <1% 1% 11% <1% 2% 4% 81%
Reds
(46‑54)
vs
Mariners
(51‑51)		 4 Reds Wins <1% 2% 13% <1% 2% 5% 76%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Mariners Wins <1% 2% 12% 1% 2% 6% 78%
Blue Jays
(46‑55)
vs
Rays
(58‑42)		 2 Blue Jays Wins <1% 2% 13% 1% 2% 5% 78%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Rays Wins <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Cardinals
(51‑49)
vs
Angels
(41‑61)		 2 Cardinals Wins <1% 3% 13% <1% 2% 5% 77%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Angels Wins <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
White Sox
(53‑47)
vs
Rangers
(51‑50)		 2 White Sox Wins <1% 2% 13% <1% 2% 5% 77%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Rangers Wins <1% 2% 12% <1% 3% 6% 77%
Athletics
(43‑58)
vs
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(52‑49)		 1 Athletics Wins <1% 2% 13% <1% 2% 5% 77%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins <1% 2% 12% 1% 2% 5% 77%
Orioles
(49‑52)
vs
Red Sox
(51‑48)		 1 Orioles Wins <1% 2% 13% 1% 2% 5% 77%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Red Sox Wins <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Pirates
(52‑49)
vs
Yankees
(56‑44)		 1 Pirates Wins <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 77%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Yankees Wins <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Tigers
(47‑54)
vs
Cubs
(57‑44)		 1 Tigers Wins <1% 3% 12% <1% 2% 5% 77%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Cubs Wins <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Guardians
(54‑48)
vs
Twins
(49‑53)		 1 Guardians Wins <1% 2% 12% 1% 2% 5% 77%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Twins Wins <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Royals
(42‑60)
vs
Giants
(42‑59)		 1 Royals Wins <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Current Probabilities <1% 2% 12% <1% 2% 5% 78%
Giants Wins <1% 2% 12% 1% 2% 5% 78%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs