The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (37‑43) vs Blue Jays (39‑39) 2 Games Remaining |
14 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 6% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Pirates (39‑39) vs Mariners (40‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
6 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 82% | ||
| Giants (31‑46) vs Athletics (38‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
5 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 83% | ||
| Dodgers (50‑29) vs Twins (38‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 82% | ||
| Marlins (40‑39) vs Rangers (38‑40) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 82% | ||
| Angels (32‑48) vs Orioles (38‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 82% | ||
| Red Sox (31‑45) vs Rockies (31‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Royals (33‑46) vs Rays (43‑32) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 82% | ||
| White Sox (40‑37) vs Guardians (41‑38) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 82% | ||
| Tigers (34‑44) vs Yankees (46‑31) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (37‑43) vs Blue Jays (39‑39) |
7 | Astros Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 83% | ||
| Pirates (39‑39) vs Mariners (40‑39) |
2 | Pirates Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 82% | ||
| Marlins (40‑39) vs Rangers (38‑40) |
2 | Marlins Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 82% | ||
| Giants (31‑46) vs Athletics (38‑40) |
2 | Giants Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 81% | ||
| White Sox (40‑37) vs Guardians (41‑38) |
1 | White Sox Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 82% | ||
| Angels (32‑48) vs Orioles (38‑42) |
1 | Angels Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Yankees (46‑31) vs Tigers (34‑44) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Royals (33‑46) vs Rays (43‑32) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 82% | ||
| Rockies (31‑48) vs Red Sox (31‑45) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Dodgers (50‑29) vs Twins (38‑42) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 81% | ||