PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Jul 6 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Astros Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Astros Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Astros
(54‑35)

vs
Dodgers
(56‑34)

1 Game Remaining
4 Astros Sweeps 1 Game 39% 34% 18% 5% 2% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game 35% 33% 21% 5% 3% 2% 2%
Pirates
(38‑52)

vs
Mariners
(47‑42)

1 Game Remaining
1 Pirates Sweeps 1 Game 36% 34% 20% 4% 3% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Mariners Sweeps 1 Game 37% 33% 18% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Nationals
(37‑52)

vs
Red Sox
(45‑45)

1 Game Remaining
1 Nationals Sweeps 1 Game 36% 34% 19% 5% 3% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game 36% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 2%
Mets
(52‑38)

vs
Yankees
(48‑41)

1 Game Remaining
0 Mets Sweeps 1 Game 36% 34% 19% 5% 3% 1% 2%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Yankees Sweeps 1 Game 36% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 2%
Giants
(48‑42)

vs
Athletics
(37‑54)

1 Game Remaining
0 Giants Sweeps 1 Game 36% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Athletics Sweeps 1 Game 37% 33% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Padres
(47‑41)

vs
Rangers
(44‑45)

1 Game Remaining
0 Padres Sweeps 1 Game 37% 33% 19% 5% 3% 2% 2%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Rangers Sweeps 1 Game 37% 33% 19% 5% 3% 2% 2%
Braves
(39‑49)

vs
Orioles
(39‑49)

1 Game Remaining
0 Braves Sweeps 1 Game 36% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Orioles Sweeps 1 Game 37% 33% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Angels
(43‑45)

vs
Blue Jays
(51‑38)

1 Game Remaining
0 Angels Sweeps 1 Game 37% 35% 18% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game 36% 34% 20% 5% 3% 2% 2%
Guardians
(40‑47)

vs
Tigers
(56‑34)

1 Game Remaining
0 Guardians Sweeps 1 Game 38% 33% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Tigers Sweeps 1 Game 35% 35% 20% 5% 3% 1% 1%
White Sox
(30‑59)

vs
Rockies
(20‑69)

1 Game Remaining
0 White Sox Sweeps 1 Game 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Rockies Sweeps 1 Game 36% 35% 18% 5% 3% 2% 2%
Twins
(43‑46)

vs
Rays
(48‑41)

1 Game Remaining
0 Twins Sweeps 1 Game 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 1% 2%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Rays Sweeps 1 Game 36% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(44‑44)

vs
Royals
(42‑48)

1 Game Remaining
0 DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game 36% 34% 20% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Royals Sweeps 1 Game 36% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%


Astros Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Astros
(54‑35)

vs
Dodgers
(56‑34)
4 Astros Wins 39% 34% 18% 5% 2% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Dodgers Wins 35% 33% 21% 5% 3% 2% 2%
Pirates
(38‑52)

vs
Mariners
(47‑42)
1 Pirates Wins 36% 34% 20% 4% 3% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Mariners Wins 37% 33% 18% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Nationals
(37‑52)

vs
Red Sox
(45‑45)
1 Nationals Wins 36% 34% 19% 5% 3% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Red Sox Wins 36% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 2%
Mets
(52‑38)

vs
Yankees
(48‑41)
0 Mets Wins 36% 34% 19% 5% 3% 1% 2%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Yankees Wins 36% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 2%
Giants
(48‑42)

vs
Athletics
(37‑54)
0 Giants Wins 36% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Athletics Wins 37% 33% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Padres
(47‑41)

vs
Rangers
(44‑45)
0 Padres Wins 37% 33% 19% 5% 3% 2% 2%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Rangers Wins 37% 33% 19% 5% 3% 2% 2%
Braves
(39‑49)

vs
Orioles
(39‑49)
0 Braves Wins 36% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Orioles Wins 37% 33% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Angels
(43‑45)

vs
Blue Jays
(51‑38)
0 Angels Wins 37% 35% 18% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Blue Jays Wins 36% 34% 20% 5% 3% 2% 2%
Guardians
(40‑47)

vs
Tigers
(56‑34)
0 Guardians Wins 38% 33% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Tigers Wins 35% 35% 20% 5% 3% 1% 1%
White Sox
(30‑59)

vs
Rockies
(20‑69)
0 White Sox Wins 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Rockies Wins 36% 35% 18% 5% 3% 2% 2%
Twins
(43‑46)

vs
Rays
(48‑41)
0 Twins Wins 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 1% 2%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Rays Wins 36% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(44‑44)

vs
Royals
(42‑48)
0 DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins 36% 34% 20% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Royals Wins 36% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs