The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (33‑40) vs Tigers (29‑42) 3 Games Remaining |
15 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 89% | ||
| Orioles (34‑39) vs Mariners (37‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Pirates (36‑36) vs Athletics (35‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Twins (33‑40) vs Rangers (35‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Nationals (37‑35) vs Royals (29‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Red Sox (29‑40) vs Blue Jays (34‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Brewers (43‑26) vs Guardians (39‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 84% | ||
| Yankees (43‑27) vs White Sox (38‑32) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Rays (41‑27) vs Dodgers (45‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑35) vs Angels (29‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (33‑40) vs Tigers (29‑42) |
5 | Astros Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 85% | ||
| Orioles (34‑39) vs Mariners (37‑36) |
1 | Orioles Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Pirates (36‑36) vs Athletics (35‑36) |
1 | Pirates Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 83% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑35) vs Angels (29‑43) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Rays (41‑27) vs Dodgers (45‑27) |
1 | Rays Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Twins (33‑40) vs Rangers (35‑36) |
1 | Twins Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Yankees (43‑27) vs White Sox (38‑32) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Blue Jays (34‑38) vs Red Sox (29‑40) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Guardians (39‑33) vs Brewers (43‑26) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Royals (29‑43) vs Nationals (37‑35) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 83% | ||