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Sun Jul 6 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Astros What If?

The Astros What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Astros play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Astros What If?

Next Game - Dodgers (56‑34)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 55 35 39% 34% 18% 5% 2% 1% 1%
Current Standings 54 35 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Lose Next Game 54 36 35% 33% 21% 5% 3% 2% 2%


Current Series - Dodgers (56‑34) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Astros Sweeps 55 35 39% 34% 18% 5% 2% 1% 1%
Current Standings 54 35 37% 34% 19% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Dodgers Sweeps 54 36 35% 33% 21% 5% 3% 2% 2%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
73 of 73 100% 127 35 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 73 96% 124 38 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 73 82% 114 48 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
52 of 73 71% 106 56 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 73 70% 105 57 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 73 68% 104 58 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 73 67% 103 59 82% 18% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 73 66% 102 60 77% 23% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 73 64% 101 61 69% 30% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 73 63% 100 62 61% 37% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 73 62% 99 63 52% 45% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 73 60% 98 64 44% 50% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 73 59% 97 65 34% 55% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 73 58% 96 66 26% 57% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 73 56% 95 67 19% 56% 21% 4% <1% <1% <1%
40 of 73 55% 94 68 12% 53% 30% 5% <1% <1% <1%
39 of 73 53% 93 69 7% 45% 40% 8% 1% <1% <1%
38 of 73 52% 92 70 4% 36% 47% 11% 2% <1% <1%
37 of 73 51% 91 71 2% 26% 53% 14% 4% <1% <1%
36 of 73 49% 90 72 1% 17% 56% 18% 8% 1% <1%
35 of 73 48% 89 73 <1% 9% 56% 18% 13% 3% <1%
34 of 73 47% 88 74 <1% 5% 50% 16% 20% 8% 1%
33 of 73 45% 87 75 <1% 2% 42% 13% 24% 15% 4%
32 of 73 44% 86 76 <1% 1% 33% 8% 23% 23% 12%
31 of 73 42% 85 77 <1% <1% 23% 4% 19% 29% 24%
30 of 73 41% 84 78 <1% <1% 16% 1% 12% 29% 42%
29 of 73 40% 83 79 <1% <1% 10% 1% 6% 21% 63%
28 of 73 38% 82 80 <1% <1% 5% <1% 2% 13% 80%
27 of 73 37% 81 81 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 6% 91%
20 of 73 27% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 73 14% 64 98 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 73 0% 54 108 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs