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Sun Jun 28 11:00 pm

MLB - Week 15 of 27

Astros What If?

The Astros What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Astros play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Astros What If?

Next Game - Twins (40‑45)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 43 44 1% 6% 14% 2% 8% 10% 60%
Current Standings 42 44 1% 6% 13% 2% 7% 10% 62%
Lose Next Game 42 45 1% 5% 12% 2% 6% 9% 65%


Current Series - Twins (40‑45) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Astros Sweeps 45 44 1% 8% 15% 2% 9% 11% 54%
Current Standings 42 44 1% 6% 13% 2% 7% 10% 62%
Twins Sweeps 42 47 <1% 3% 10% 1% 5% 8% 72%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
76 of 76 100% 118 44 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 76 92% 112 50 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
60 of 76 79% 102 60 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 76 78% 101 61 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 76 76% 100 62 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 76 75% 99 63 79% 21% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 76 74% 98 64 72% 28% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 76 72% 97 65 62% 36% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 76 71% 96 66 53% 44% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 76 70% 95 67 43% 51% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 76 68% 94 68 35% 56% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 76 67% 93 69 25% 60% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 76 66% 92 70 17% 61% 18% 4% 1% <1% <1%
49 of 76 64% 91 71 11% 58% 25% 5% 2% <1% <1%
48 of 76 63% 90 72 6% 51% 32% 7% 4% <1% <1%
47 of 76 62% 89 73 3% 43% 38% 9% 7% 1% <1%
46 of 76 61% 88 74 1% 32% 43% 10% 12% 2% <1%
45 of 76 59% 87 75 <1% 23% 45% 10% 17% 4% <1%
44 of 76 58% 86 76 <1% 14% 44% 9% 24% 9% 1%
43 of 76 57% 85 77 <1% 8% 39% 7% 27% 15% 3%
42 of 76 55% 84 78 <1% 4% 34% 4% 26% 24% 8%
41 of 76 54% 83 79 <1% 2% 27% 2% 21% 29% 19%
40 of 76 53% 82 80 <1% 1% 19% 1% 15% 32% 33%
39 of 76 51% 81 81 <1% <1% 12% <1% 8% 27% 52%
38 of 76 50% 80 82 <1% <1% 7% <1% 3% 19% 71%
37 of 76 49% 79 83 <1% <1% 4% <1% 1% 10% 85%
36 of 76 47% 78 84 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 4% 94%
30 of 76 39% 72 90 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 76 26% 62 100 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 76 13% 52 110 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 76 0% 42 120 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs