PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Jun 23 3:30 am

MLB - Week 15 of 28

Astros What If?

The Astros What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Astros play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Astros What If?

Next Game - Phillies (47‑31)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 46 33 19% 26% 31% 4% 5% 5% 11%
Current Standings 45 33 18% 24% 32% 4% 5% 5% 12%
Lose Next Game 45 34 15% 23% 33% 4% 5% 6% 14%


Current Series - Phillies (47‑31) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Astros Sweeps 48 33 22% 27% 31% 4% 4% 4% 8%
Current Standings 45 33 18% 24% 32% 4% 5% 5% 12%
Phillies Sweeps 45 36 12% 22% 34% 4% 6% 6% 17%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
84 of 84 100% 129 33 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
80 of 84 95% 125 37 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 84 83% 115 47 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 84 74% 107 55 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 84 73% 106 56 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 84 71% 105 57 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 84 70% 104 58 84% 16% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 84 69% 103 59 80% 20% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 84 68% 102 60 73% 26% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 84 67% 101 61 66% 32% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 84 65% 100 62 59% 38% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 84 64% 99 63 49% 45% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 84 63% 98 64 41% 48% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 84 62% 97 65 33% 52% 14% 1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 84 61% 96 66 24% 54% 21% 1% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 84 60% 95 67 17% 51% 29% 2% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 84 58% 94 68 11% 47% 37% 4% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 84 57% 93 69 7% 40% 46% 5% 1% <1% <1%
47 of 84 56% 92 70 4% 32% 54% 8% 2% <1% <1%
46 of 84 55% 91 71 2% 24% 60% 9% 5% 1% <1%
45 of 84 54% 90 72 1% 16% 63% 9% 8% 2% <1%
44 of 84 52% 89 73 <1% 9% 63% 10% 12% 5% 1%
43 of 84 51% 88 74 <1% 5% 58% 8% 16% 10% 3%
42 of 84 50% 87 75 <1% 2% 52% 6% 17% 15% 8%
41 of 84 49% 86 76 <1% 1% 44% 4% 15% 20% 15%
40 of 84 48% 85 77 <1% <1% 36% 2% 12% 22% 28%
39 of 84 46% 84 78 <1% <1% 28% 1% 7% 20% 44%
38 of 84 45% 83 79 <1% <1% 20% <1% 4% 15% 61%
37 of 84 44% 82 80 <1% <1% 13% <1% 2% 9% 77%
36 of 84 43% 81 81 <1% <1% 8% <1% 1% 5% 87%
35 of 84 42% 80 82 <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% 2% 93%
30 of 84 36% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 84 24% 65 97 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 84 12% 55 107 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
0 of 84 0% 45 117 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs