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Mon Jun 16 3:30 am

MLB - Week 14 of 28

Astros What If?

The Astros What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Astros play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Astros What If?

Next Game - Athletics (29‑44)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 42 30 15% 23% 32% 4% 5% 6% 15%
Current Standings 41 30 14% 22% 32% 4% 5% 6% 16%
Lose Next Game 41 31 13% 21% 33% 4% 6% 6% 17%


Current Series - Athletics (29‑44) - 4 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Astros Sweeps 45 30 19% 25% 31% 4% 5% 5% 11%
Current Standings 41 30 14% 22% 32% 4% 5% 6% 16%
Athletics Sweeps 41 34 9% 18% 34% 4% 6% 7% 22%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
91 of 91 100% 132 30 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 91 99% 131 31 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
80 of 91 88% 121 41 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
70 of 91 77% 111 51 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 91 75% 109 53 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 91 74% 108 54 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 91 73% 107 55 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 91 71% 106 56 86% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 91 70% 105 57 81% 18% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 91 69% 104 58 76% 23% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 91 68% 103 59 70% 29% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 91 67% 102 60 62% 35% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 91 66% 101 61 55% 40% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 91 65% 100 62 46% 45% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 91 64% 99 63 38% 49% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 91 63% 98 64 30% 52% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 91 62% 97 65 24% 51% 23% 2% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 91 60% 96 66 16% 50% 30% 3% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 91 59% 95 67 11% 47% 38% 4% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 91 58% 94 68 7% 39% 47% 6% 1% <1% <1%
52 of 91 57% 93 69 4% 33% 54% 7% 2% <1% <1%
51 of 91 56% 92 70 2% 25% 59% 9% 4% 1% <1%
50 of 91 55% 91 71 1% 17% 62% 10% 8% 2% <1%
49 of 91 54% 90 72 <1% 11% 64% 10% 11% 4% 1%
48 of 91 53% 89 73 <1% 6% 60% 10% 14% 8% 2%
47 of 91 52% 88 74 <1% 3% 54% 8% 18% 12% 5%
46 of 91 51% 87 75 <1% 2% 48% 5% 17% 18% 10%
45 of 91 49% 86 76 <1% 1% 40% 4% 15% 22% 19%
44 of 91 48% 85 77 <1% <1% 31% 2% 10% 24% 33%
43 of 91 47% 84 78 <1% <1% 24% 1% 7% 21% 47%
42 of 91 46% 83 79 <1% <1% 18% <1% 4% 15% 63%
41 of 91 45% 82 80 <1% <1% 12% <1% 2% 10% 77%
40 of 91 44% 81 81 <1% <1% 8% <1% 1% 6% 86%
39 of 91 43% 80 82 <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% 2% 93%
30 of 91 33% 71 91 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 91 22% 61 101 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 91 11% 51 111 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 91 0% 41 121 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs