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Thu Jul 31 3:30 am

MLB - Week 20 of 28

Astros What If?

The Astros What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Astros play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Astros What If?

Next Game - Red Sox (59‑51)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 63 47 20% 24% 29% 6% 7% 6% 7%
Current Standings 62 47 17% 23% 30% 6% 8% 7% 10%
Lose Next Game 62 48 15% 22% 30% 6% 8% 8% 11%


Current Series - Red Sox (59‑51) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Astros Sweeps 65 47 25% 27% 27% 7% 7% 4% 4%
Current Standings 62 47 17% 23% 30% 6% 8% 7% 10%
Red Sox Sweeps 62 50 11% 19% 32% 6% 9% 9% 15%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
53 of 53 100% 115 47 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
50 of 53 94% 112 50 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
40 of 53 75% 102 60 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
38 of 53 72% 100 62 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
37 of 53 70% 99 63 88% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
36 of 53 68% 98 64 81% 18% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
35 of 53 66% 97 65 70% 27% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
34 of 53 64% 96 66 59% 35% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
33 of 53 62% 95 67 45% 44% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1%
32 of 53 60% 94 68 32% 48% 17% 3% <1% <1% <1%
31 of 53 58% 93 69 21% 48% 26% 5% <1% <1% <1%
30 of 53 57% 92 70 11% 42% 37% 8% 2% <1% <1%
29 of 53 55% 91 71 5% 33% 46% 11% 4% <1% <1%
28 of 53 53% 90 72 2% 22% 52% 14% 9% 1% <1%
27 of 53 51% 89 73 <1% 13% 52% 14% 16% 4% <1%
26 of 53 49% 88 74 <1% 6% 46% 12% 22% 11% 2%
25 of 53 47% 87 75 <1% 2% 37% 7% 25% 22% 7%
24 of 53 45% 86 76 <1% 1% 27% 4% 20% 30% 18%
23 of 53 43% 85 77 <1% <1% 17% 1% 13% 31% 38%
22 of 53 42% 84 78 <1% <1% 10% <1% 5% 24% 61%
21 of 53 40% 83 79 <1% <1% 4% <1% 2% 12% 82%
20 of 53 38% 82 80 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 4% 94%
10 of 53 19% 72 90 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 53 0% 62 100 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs