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Wed Jun 3 1:15 am

MLB - Week 11 of 27

Astros What If?

The Astros What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Astros play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Astros What If?

Next Game - Pirates (33‑28)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 28 35 <1% 2% 6% 1% 4% 6% 81%
Current Standings 27 35 <1% 2% 5% 1% 4% 6% 82%
Lose Next Game 27 36 <1% 1% 5% 1% 4% 6% 84%


Current Series - Pirates (33‑28) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Astros Sweeps 29 35 <1% 2% 6% 2% 4% 7% 79%
Current Standings 27 35 <1% 2% 5% 1% 4% 6% 82%
Pirates Sweeps 27 37 <1% 1% 4% 1% 3% 5% 86%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
100 of 100 100% 127 35 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
90 of 100 90% 117 45 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 100 80% 107 55 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 100 79% 106 56 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 100 78% 105 57 86% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 100 77% 104 58 81% 18% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 100 76% 103 59 76% 23% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 100 75% 102 60 69% 29% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 100 74% 101 61 62% 35% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 100 73% 100 62 54% 41% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 100 72% 99 63 47% 45% 5% 3% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 100 71% 98 64 38% 50% 7% 4% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 100 70% 97 65 31% 52% 10% 7% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 100 69% 96 66 24% 53% 13% 9% 1% <1% <1%
68 of 100 68% 95 67 18% 52% 17% 11% 2% <1% <1%
67 of 100 67% 94 68 12% 48% 22% 14% 3% <1% <1%
66 of 100 66% 93 69 9% 43% 26% 16% 6% <1% <1%
65 of 100 65% 92 70 5% 38% 30% 18% 9% 1% <1%
64 of 100 64% 91 71 3% 30% 32% 19% 13% 2% <1%
63 of 100 63% 90 72 1% 24% 33% 19% 18% 4% <1%
62 of 100 62% 89 73 1% 17% 33% 17% 24% 7% 1%
61 of 100 61% 88 74 <1% 12% 32% 15% 27% 12% 2%
60 of 100 60% 87 75 <1% 8% 29% 12% 28% 19% 5%
59 of 100 59% 86 76 <1% 5% 26% 8% 27% 24% 10%
58 of 100 58% 85 77 <1% 2% 22% 5% 24% 29% 19%
57 of 100 57% 84 78 <1% 1% 17% 3% 18% 31% 30%
56 of 100 56% 83 79 <1% 1% 13% 1% 12% 29% 43%
55 of 100 55% 82 80 <1% <1% 10% 1% 7% 24% 58%
54 of 100 54% 81 81 <1% <1% 7% <1% 4% 17% 72%
53 of 100 53% 80 82 <1% <1% 4% <1% 2% 11% 83%
52 of 100 52% 79 83 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 6% 91%
51 of 100 51% 78 84 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 3% 95%
50 of 100 50% 77 85 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
40 of 100 40% 67 95 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 100 30% 57 105 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 100 20% 47 115 X X <1% X X X >99%
10 of 100 10% 37 125 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 100 0% 27 135 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs