The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (38‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
26 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 9% | 6% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 5% | 5% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 48% | ||
| Angels (33‑37) vs Yankees (42‑28) 4 Games Remaining |
8 | Angels Sweeps 4 Games | 5% | 9% | 8% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 4 Games | 4% | 6% | 5% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 40% | ||
| Orioles (30‑40) vs Rays (39‑32) 4 Games Remaining |
6 | Orioles Sweeps 4 Games | 4% | 8% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 4 Games | 4% | 7% | 5% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Athletics (29‑44) vs Astros (41‑30) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Athletics Sweeps 4 Games | 4% | 8% | 5% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 4 Games | 4% | 6% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Mariners (36‑34) vs Red Sox (37‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 6% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 5% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Royals (34‑38) vs Rangers (36‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 6% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Reds (36‑35) vs Twins (36‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 6% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 8% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Giants (41‑31) vs Guardians (35‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 6% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 8% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 42% | ||
| Pirates (29‑44) vs Tigers (46‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 5% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Cardinals (37‑35) vs White Sox (23‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 6% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (38‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑34) |
9 | Blue Jays Wins | 4% | 8% | 6% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 3% | 7% | 5% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 43% | ||
| Rangers (36‑36) vs Royals (34‑38) |
2 | Rangers Wins | 4% | 8% | 6% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Royals Wins | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Orioles (30‑40) vs Rays (39‑32) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 4% | 7% | 6% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Rays Wins | 4% | 7% | 6% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Angels (33‑37) vs Yankees (42‑28) |
1 | Angels Wins | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Mariners (36‑34) vs Red Sox (37‑36) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 40% | ||
| Giants (41‑31) vs Guardians (35‑35) |
1 | Giants Wins | 4% | 7% | 6% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Reds (36‑35) vs Twins (36‑35) |
1 | Reds Wins | 4% | 7% | 6% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Twins Wins | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| White Sox (23‑49) vs Cardinals (37‑35) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 4% | 8% | 6% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 4% | 7% | 6% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Pirates (29‑44) vs Tigers (46‑27) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Athletics (29‑44) vs Astros (41‑30) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||
| Astros Wins | 4% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 41% | ||