The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (4‑2) vs White Sox (1‑5) 3 Games Remaining |
7 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Marlins (5‑1) vs Yankees (5‑1) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Twins (2‑4) vs Rays (2‑4) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Guardians (4‑3) vs Cubs (3‑3) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Cardinals (4‑2) vs Tigers (2‑4) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Mariners (3‑4) vs Angels (3‑4) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Athletics (1‑5) vs Astros (5‑2) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Pirates (3‑3) vs Orioles (3‑3) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Royals (3‑3) vs Brewers (5‑1) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Padres (2‑4) vs Red Sox (1‑5) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Reds (3‑3) vs Rangers (4‑2) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 55% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (1‑5) vs Padres (2‑4) |
3 | Red Sox Wins | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Padres Wins | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Pirates (3‑3) vs Orioles (3‑3) |
2 | Pirates Wins | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Blue Jays (4‑2) vs White Sox (1‑5) |
2 | Blue Jays Wins | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Angels (3‑4) vs Mariners (3‑4) |
1 | Angels Wins | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Athletics (1‑5) vs Astros (5‑2) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Astros Wins | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Yankees (5‑1) vs Marlins (5‑1) |
1 | Yankees Wins | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 10% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Reds (3‑3) vs Rangers (4‑2) |
0 | Reds Wins | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Cardinals (4‑2) vs Tigers (2‑4) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Cubs (3‑3) vs Guardians (4‑3) |
0 | Cubs Wins | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Brewers (5‑1) vs Royals (3‑3) |
0 | Brewers Wins | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Royals Wins | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Rays (2‑4) vs Twins (2‑4) |
0 | Rays Wins | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Twins Wins | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||