The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (48‑58) vs Nationals (54‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
5 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Athletics (44‑61) vs Red Sox (54‑50) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Royals (45‑62) vs Twins (53‑54) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Reds (49‑55) vs Guardians (54‑53) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Yankees (59‑46) vs White Sox (55‑49) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Angels (42‑64) vs Astros (52‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Tigers (50‑56) vs Orioles (51‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% | ||
| Rangers (53‑52) vs Mariners (52‑54) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (48‑58) vs Nationals (54‑52) |
2 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Yankees (59‑46) vs White Sox (55‑49) |
1 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Athletics (44‑61) vs Red Sox (54‑50) |
0 | Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Royals (45‑62) vs Twins (53‑54) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Rangers (53‑52) vs Mariners (52‑54) |
0 | Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% | ||
| Angels (42‑64) vs Astros (52‑55) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% | ||
| Tigers (50‑56) vs Orioles (51‑55) |
0 | Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% | ||
| Reds (49‑55) vs Guardians (54‑53) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% | ||