The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (64‑67) vs Yankees (73‑56) 1 Game Remaining |
9 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 29% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 23% | 73% | ||
| Padres (70‑60) vs Twins (63‑67) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 24% | 71% | ||
| Rockies (50‑79) vs Guardians (64‑66) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Giants (52‑77) vs Red Sox (70‑59) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 25% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Athletics (50‑80) vs Astros (65‑65) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Rays (76‑53) vs Orioles (63‑67) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Mets (59‑71) vs White Sox (67‑62) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Royals (57‑74) vs Tigers (61‑68) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Angels (52‑78) vs Rangers (64‑66) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Cubs (74‑56) vs Mariners (62‑68) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (64‑67) vs Yankees (73‑56) |
9 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 29% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 23% | 73% | ||
| Padres (70‑60) vs Twins (63‑67) |
2 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 24% | 71% | ||
| Rockies (50‑79) vs Guardians (64‑66) |
1 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Giants (52‑77) vs Red Sox (70‑59) |
1 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 25% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Athletics (50‑80) vs Astros (65‑65) |
1 | Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Rays (76‑53) vs Orioles (63‑67) |
1 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Mets (59‑71) vs White Sox (67‑62) |
1 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Royals (57‑74) vs Tigers (61‑68) |
1 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Angels (52‑78) vs Rangers (64‑66) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Cubs (74‑56) vs Mariners (62‑68) |
0 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 70% | ||