The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (13‑16) vs Red Sox (12‑18) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 71% | ||
| Tigers (15‑15) vs Braves (21‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 71% | ||
| Rays (18‑11) vs Guardians (15‑16) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Yankees (20‑10) vs Rangers (14‑16) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Royals (12‑17) vs Athletics (15‑14) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 71% | ||
| Orioles (14‑15) vs Astros (11‑19) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 71% | ||
| Angels (12‑19) vs White Sox (13‑17) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 71% | ||
| Mariners (15‑16) vs Twins (13‑17) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (13‑16) vs Red Sox (12‑18) |
4 | Blue Jays Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 71% | ||
| Rays (18‑11) vs Guardians (15‑16) |
1 | Rays Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Yankees (20‑10) vs Rangers (14‑16) |
1 | Yankees Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Braves (21‑9) vs Tigers (15‑15) |
1 | Braves Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 71% | ||
| Astros (11‑19) vs Orioles (14‑15) |
0 | Astros Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Athletics (15‑14) vs Royals (12‑17) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Royals Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Angels (12‑19) vs White Sox (13‑17) |
0 | Angels Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 71% | ||
| Mariners (15‑16) vs Twins (13‑17) |
0 | Mariners Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Twins Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 70% | ||