The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (90‑66) vs Red Sox (85‑71) 3 Games Remaining |
59 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 99% | X | X | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 51% | 5% | <1% | 42% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| White Sox (58‑98) vs Yankees (88‑68) 3 Games Remaining |
27 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 97% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 79% | 1% | X | 20% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Astros (84‑72) vs Athletics (73‑83) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 88% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 87% | 1% | <1% | 12% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rockies (43‑113) vs Mariners (87‑69) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 89% | <1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 87% | 2% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Tigers (85‑71) vs Guardians (84‑72) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 88% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 88% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Orioles (73‑83) vs Rays (76‑80) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Rangers (79‑77) vs Twins (67‑89) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Angels (70‑86) vs Royals (78‑78) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (90‑66) vs Red Sox (85‑71) |
17 | Blue Jays Wins | 94% | 1% | X | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 80% | 2% | <1% | 18% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| White Sox (58‑98) vs Yankees (88‑68) |
13 | White Sox Wins | 94% | 2% | <1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Yankees Wins | 86% | 1% | <1% | 13% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Guardians (84‑72) vs Tigers (85‑71) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Tigers Wins | 88% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Rockies (43‑113) vs Mariners (87‑69) |
0 | Rockies Wins | 89% | <1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Mariners Wins | 87% | 2% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Astros (84‑72) vs Athletics (73‑83) |
0 | Astros Wins | 88% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Athletics Wins | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Orioles (73‑83) vs Rays (76‑80) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Rays Wins | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Rangers (79‑77) vs Twins (67‑89) |
0 | Rangers Wins | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Twins Wins | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Angels (70‑86) vs Royals (78‑78) |
0 | Angels Wins | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Royals Wins | 87% | 1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||