The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (42‑49) vs Giants (38‑52) 2 Games Remaining |
8 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Marlins (49‑42) vs Mariners (47‑44) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Angels (36‑55) vs Rangers (45‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Nationals (47‑45) vs Astros (45‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Cubs (50‑40) vs Orioles (42‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Rays (52‑36) vs Yankees (50‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 86% | ||
| White Sox (47‑42) vs Red Sox (40‑48) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Tigers (40‑50) vs Athletics (41‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Royals (37‑54) vs Mets (38‑53) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Twins (44‑47) vs Guardians (47‑44) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 85% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (42‑49) vs Giants (38‑52) |
4 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 87% | ||
| Cubs (50‑40) vs Orioles (42‑49) |
1 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 86% | ||
| Mets (38‑53) vs Royals (37‑54) |
1 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Angels (36‑55) vs Rangers (45‑45) |
1 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Red Sox (40‑48) vs White Sox (47‑42) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Nationals (47‑45) vs Astros (45‑48) |
1 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Yankees (50‑40) vs Rays (52‑36) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Marlins (49‑42) vs Mariners (47‑44) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Athletics (41‑49) vs Tigers (40‑50) |
0 | Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Guardians (47‑44) vs Twins (44‑47) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||