The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (21‑27) vs Yankees (30‑19) 2 Games Remaining |
8 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Tigers (20‑29) vs Guardians (28‑22) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Red Sox (21‑27) vs Royals (20‑29) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 77% | ||
| Astros (20‑30) vs Twins (22‑27) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Rangers (23‑25) vs Rockies (19‑30) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Angels (17‑32) vs Athletics (24‑24) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| White Sox (25‑23) vs Mariners (23‑27) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 77% | ||
| Rays (32‑15) vs Orioles (21‑28) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (21‑27) vs Yankees (30‑19) |
4 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 78% | ||
| Red Sox (21‑27) vs Royals (20‑29) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 77% | ||
| Astros (20‑30) vs Twins (22‑27) |
1 | Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Rangers (23‑25) vs Rockies (19‑30) |
0 | Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| White Sox (25‑23) vs Mariners (23‑27) |
0 | White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 77% | ||
| Angels (17‑32) vs Athletics (24‑24) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 77% | ||
| Rays (32‑15) vs Orioles (21‑28) |
0 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Guardians (28‑22) vs Tigers (20‑29) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 77% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 77% | ||