The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (78‑56) vs Brewers (83‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
38 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 64% | 18% | 3% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 31% | 22% | 7% | 24% | 11% | 3% | 1% | ||
| White Sox (48‑86) vs Yankees (74‑60) 3 Games Remaining |
14 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 51% | 23% | 6% | 15% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 46% | 19% | 4% | 21% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Pirates (59‑76) vs Red Sox (75‑60) 3 Games Remaining |
13 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 50% | 24% | 7% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 48% | 19% | 4% | 20% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Royals (69‑65) vs Tigers (78‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 57% | 14% | 4% | 18% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 39% | 29% | 6% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Padres (75‑59) vs Twins (60‑73) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 49% | 21% | 5% | 17% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Angels (62‑71) vs Astros (74‑60) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 4 Games | 51% | 22% | 2% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 4 Games | 47% | 21% | 8% | 17% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Nationals (53‑80) vs Rays (64‑69) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Guardians (66‑66) vs Mariners (72‑62) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 49% | 21% | 5% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 48% | 21% | 6% | 17% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Orioles (60‑74) vs Giants (66‑68) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 48% | 22% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 49% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Athletics (63‑72) vs Rangers (68‑67) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 48% | 22% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (78‑56) vs Brewers (83‑52) |
12 | Blue Jays Wins | 53% | 20% | 5% | 16% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 43% | 21% | 6% | 20% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| White Sox (48‑86) vs Yankees (74‑60) |
5 | White Sox Wins | 50% | 22% | 6% | 16% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 48% | 20% | 5% | 18% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Pirates (59‑76) vs Red Sox (75‑60) |
5 | Pirates Wins | 49% | 22% | 6% | 17% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 48% | 20% | 5% | 19% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Rangers (68‑67) vs Athletics (63‑72) |
1 | Rangers Wins | 49% | 21% | 5% | 17% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Giants (66‑68) vs Orioles (60‑74) |
1 | Giants Wins | 49% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 47% | 22% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Royals (69‑65) vs Tigers (78‑57) |
1 | Royals Wins | 52% | 18% | 4% | 18% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 45% | 24% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Mariners (72‑62) vs Guardians (66‑66) |
0 | Mariners Wins | 49% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 49% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Rays (64‑69) vs Nationals (53‑80) |
0 | Rays Wins | 49% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Angels (62‑71) vs Astros (74‑60) |
0 | Angels Wins | 49% | 21% | 4% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Astros Wins | 48% | 21% | 6% | 18% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Twins (60‑73) vs Padres (75‑59) |
0 | Twins Wins | 49% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 21% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Padres Wins | 49% | 20% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||