The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (55‑41) vs Giants (52‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
36 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 22% | 20% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 18% | ||
| Braves (42‑53) vs Yankees (53‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
12 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 21% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 18% | 17% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 12% | ||
| Cubs (57‑39) vs Red Sox (53‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
8 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 20% | 21% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 19% | 17% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 13% | ||
| Orioles (43‑52) vs Rays (50‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
5 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 12% | ||
| Athletics (41‑57) vs Guardians (46‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Marlins (44‑51) vs Royals (47‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 12% | ||
| Phillies (55‑41) vs Angels (47‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Rockies (22‑74) vs Twins (47‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Astros (56‑40) vs Mariners (51‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 12% | 19% | 22% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 21% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 12% | ||
| Tigers (59‑38) vs Rangers (48‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 21% | 21% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 16% | 19% | 17% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 12% | ||
| Pirates (39‑58) vs White Sox (32‑65) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 12% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 11% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (55‑41) vs Giants (52‑45) |
11 | Blue Jays Wins | 14% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Giants Wins | 11% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 13% | ||
| Braves (42‑53) vs Yankees (53‑43) |
4 | Braves Wins | 13% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 13% | 19% | 19% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 12% | ||
| Cubs (57‑39) vs Red Sox (53‑45) |
3 | Cubs Wins | 14% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 13% | 19% | 19% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Rockies (22‑74) vs Twins (47‑49) |
3 | Rockies Wins | 13% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Twins Wins | 13% | 20% | 19% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 12% | ||
| Orioles (43‑52) vs Rays (50‑47) |
2 | Orioles Wins | 13% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Rays Wins | 13% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Marlins (44‑51) vs Royals (47‑50) |
2 | Marlins Wins | 13% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Royals Wins | 12% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 12% | ||
| Athletics (41‑57) vs Guardians (46‑49) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 13% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 13% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 12% | ||
| Rangers (48‑49) vs Tigers (59‑38) |
1 | Rangers Wins | 14% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 12% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Mariners (51‑45) vs Astros (56‑40) |
0 | Mariners Wins | 14% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Astros Wins | 13% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Angels (47‑49) vs Phillies (55‑41) |
0 | Angels Wins | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Pirates (39‑58) vs White Sox (32‑65) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 13% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 13% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 12% | ||