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Sun Jul 26 10:45 pm

MLB - Week 19 of 27

Blue Jays What If?

The Blue Jays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Blue Jays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Blue Jays What If?

Next Game - Nationals (54‑52)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 49 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 95%
Current Standings 48 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
Lose Next Game 48 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%


Current Series - Nationals (54‑52) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Blue Jays Sweeps 51 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 4% 93%
Current Standings 48 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
Nationals Sweeps 48 61 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
56 of 56 100% 104 58 99% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 56 95% 101 61 95% <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 56 93% 100 62 91% <1% <1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 56 91% 99 63 87% <1% <1% 13% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 56 89% 98 64 80% <1% <1% 20% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 56 88% 97 65 72% 1% <1% 27% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 56 86% 96 66 62% 1% <1% 36% 1% <1% <1%
47 of 56 84% 95 67 52% 2% <1% 44% 2% <1% <1%
46 of 56 82% 94 68 40% 3% <1% 53% 4% <1% <1%
45 of 56 80% 93 69 29% 3% <1% 60% 8% <1% <1%
44 of 56 79% 92 70 20% 3% <1% 62% 14% <1% <1%
43 of 56 77% 91 71 12% 3% <1% 61% 23% <1% <1%
42 of 56 75% 90 72 6% 3% <1% 56% 33% 2% <1%
41 of 56 73% 89 73 3% 2% <1% 48% 43% 4% <1%
40 of 56 71% 88 74 1% 1% <1% 37% 52% 8% <1%
39 of 56 70% 87 75 <1% 1% <1% 25% 57% 16% 1%
38 of 56 68% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% 15% 54% 27% 4%
37 of 56 66% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% 8% 45% 37% 10%
36 of 56 64% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 3% 30% 44% 23%
35 of 56 63% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% 1% 18% 40% 42%
34 of 56 61% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 29% 64%
33 of 56 59% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 82%
32 of 56 57% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
30 of 56 54% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 56 36% 68 94 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 56 18% 58 104 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 56 0% 48 114 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs