PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Sep 21 10:45 pm

MLB - Week 28 of 28

Blue Jays What If?

The Blue Jays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Blue Jays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Blue Jays What If?

Next Game - Red Sox (85‑71)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 91 66 94% 1% X 6% ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 90 66 87% 1% <1% 11% <1% <1% ^
Lose Next Game 90 67 80% 2% <1% 18% <1% <1% ^


Current Series - Red Sox (85‑71) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Blue Jays Sweeps 93 66 99% X X 1% ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 90 66 87% 1% <1% 11% <1% <1% ^
Red Sox Sweeps 90 69 51% 5% <1% 42% 1% <1% ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 98% 1% X 2% ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 87% 1% <1% 11% <1% <1% ^
Worst Case Scenario 76% 2% <1% 22% <1% <1% ^
Best Case Scenario
   White Sox beats Yankees
   Blue Jays beats Red Sox
Worst Case Scenario
   Yankees beats White Sox
   Red Sox beats Blue Jays
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
6 of 6 100% 96 66 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 6 83% 95 67 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 6 67% 94 68 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 6 50% 93 69 89% X X 11% ^ ^ ^
2 of 6 33% 92 70 53% 6% X 41% ^ ^ ^
1 of 6 17% 91 71 17% 11% X 72% ^ ^ ^
0 of 6 0% 90 72 2% 5% <1% 75% 17% 1% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs