The Blue Jays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Blue Jays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 2 | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Standings | 4 | 2 | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 3 | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Blue Jays Sweeps | 7 | 2 | 10% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Standings | 4 | 2 | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| White Sox Sweeps | 4 | 5 | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 156 of 156 | 100% | 160 | 2 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 150 of 156 | 96% | 154 | 8 | >99% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 140 of 156 | 90% | 144 | 18 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 130 of 156 | 83% | 134 | 28 | 96% | 4% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 129 of 156 | 83% | 133 | 29 | 94% | 5% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 128 of 156 | 82% | 132 | 30 | 91% | 7% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 127 of 156 | 81% | 131 | 31 | 89% | 9% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 126 of 156 | 81% | 130 | 32 | 86% | 11% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 125 of 156 | 80% | 129 | 33 | 82% | 13% | 1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 124 of 156 | 79% | 128 | 34 | 78% | 17% | 1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 123 of 156 | 79% | 127 | 35 | 72% | 19% | 1% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 122 of 156 | 78% | 126 | 36 | 67% | 23% | 2% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 121 of 156 | 78% | 125 | 37 | 61% | 26% | 2% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 120 of 156 | 77% | 124 | 38 | 55% | 29% | 4% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 119 of 156 | 76% | 123 | 39 | 50% | 31% | 5% | 14% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 118 of 156 | 76% | 122 | 40 | 44% | 34% | 6% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 117 of 156 | 75% | 121 | 41 | 38% | 36% | 7% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 116 of 156 | 74% | 120 | 42 | 32% | 36% | 9% | 21% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 115 of 156 | 74% | 119 | 43 | 28% | 36% | 10% | 23% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 114 of 156 | 73% | 118 | 44 | 22% | 37% | 13% | 25% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 113 of 156 | 72% | 117 | 45 | 18% | 35% | 14% | 27% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| 112 of 156 | 72% | 116 | 46 | 15% | 33% | 15% | 30% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| 111 of 156 | 71% | 115 | 47 | 12% | 32% | 18% | 30% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| 110 of 156 | 71% | 114 | 48 | 8% | 30% | 19% | 31% | 10% | 1% | <1% |
| 109 of 156 | 70% | 113 | 49 | 7% | 27% | 20% | 32% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
| 108 of 156 | 69% | 112 | 50 | 5% | 25% | 22% | 31% | 15% | 2% | <1% |
| 107 of 156 | 69% | 111 | 51 | 4% | 22% | 22% | 31% | 18% | 3% | <1% |
| 106 of 156 | 68% | 110 | 52 | 3% | 19% | 23% | 30% | 20% | 4% | <1% |
| 105 of 156 | 67% | 109 | 53 | 2% | 17% | 22% | 30% | 22% | 6% | 1% |
| 104 of 156 | 67% | 108 | 54 | 1% | 15% | 22% | 29% | 24% | 8% | 1% |
| 103 of 156 | 66% | 107 | 55 | 1% | 13% | 23% | 26% | 27% | 10% | 1% |
| 102 of 156 | 65% | 106 | 56 | 1% | 11% | 22% | 23% | 29% | 12% | 2% |
| 101 of 156 | 65% | 105 | 57 | 1% | 9% | 21% | 22% | 30% | 15% | 3% |
| 100 of 156 | 64% | 104 | 58 | <1% | 7% | 22% | 19% | 31% | 17% | 4% |
| 99 of 156 | 63% | 103 | 59 | <1% | 6% | 20% | 17% | 31% | 19% | 6% |
| 98 of 156 | 63% | 102 | 60 | <1% | 6% | 19% | 15% | 31% | 22% | 7% |
| 97 of 156 | 62% | 101 | 61 | <1% | 4% | 18% | 13% | 31% | 23% | 10% |
| 96 of 156 | 62% | 100 | 62 | <1% | 4% | 18% | 11% | 29% | 26% | 12% |
| 95 of 156 | 61% | 99 | 63 | <1% | 3% | 17% | 10% | 27% | 28% | 15% |
| 94 of 156 | 60% | 98 | 64 | <1% | 2% | 16% | 8% | 26% | 29% | 19% |
| 93 of 156 | 60% | 97 | 65 | <1% | 2% | 15% | 7% | 24% | 30% | 23% |
| 92 of 156 | 59% | 96 | 66 | <1% | 1% | 14% | 6% | 22% | 31% | 26% |
| 91 of 156 | 58% | 95 | 67 | <1% | 1% | 12% | 5% | 20% | 30% | 31% |
| 90 of 156 | 58% | 94 | 68 | <1% | 1% | 11% | 4% | 19% | 31% | 35% |
| 89 of 156 | 57% | 93 | 69 | <1% | 1% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 30% | 39% |
| 88 of 156 | 56% | 92 | 70 | <1% | 1% | 10% | 3% | 14% | 29% | 44% |
| 87 of 156 | 56% | 91 | 71 | <1% | <1% | 9% | 2% | 12% | 28% | 49% |
| 86 of 156 | 55% | 90 | 72 | <1% | <1% | 9% | 2% | 11% | 26% | 53% |
| 85 of 156 | 54% | 89 | 73 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 1% | 9% | 24% | 58% |
| 84 of 156 | 54% | 88 | 74 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 22% | 62% |
| 83 of 156 | 53% | 87 | 75 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 20% | 66% |
| 82 of 156 | 53% | 86 | 76 | <1% | <1% | 6% | <1% | 5% | 19% | 69% |
| 81 of 156 | 52% | 85 | 77 | <1% | <1% | 5% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 74% |
| 80 of 156 | 51% | 84 | 78 | <1% | <1% | 5% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 77% |
| 79 of 156 | 51% | 83 | 79 | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 81% |
| 78 of 156 | 50% | 82 | 80 | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 83% |
| 77 of 156 | 49% | 81 | 81 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 85% |
| 76 of 156 | 49% | 80 | 82 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 88% |
| 75 of 156 | 48% | 79 | 83 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 90% |
| 74 of 156 | 47% | 78 | 84 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 92% |
| 73 of 156 | 47% | 77 | 85 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% |
| 72 of 156 | 46% | 76 | 86 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 94% |
| 70 of 156 | 45% | 74 | 88 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 96% |
| 60 of 156 | 38% | 64 | 98 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 50 of 156 | 32% | 54 | 108 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 40 of 156 | 26% | 44 | 118 | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 30 of 156 | 19% | 34 | 128 | X | X | <1% | X | X | X | >99% |
| 20 of 156 | 13% | 24 | 138 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 10 of 156 | 6% | 14 | 148 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 156 | 0% | 4 | 158 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |