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Mon Jul 14 3:30 am

MLB - Week 18 of 28

Blue Jays What If?

The Blue Jays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Blue Jays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Blue Jays What If?

Next Game - Giants (52‑45)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 56 41 14% 21% 20% 17% 11% 7% 10%
Current Standings 55 41 13% 20% 19% 17% 11% 7% 12%
Lose Next Game 55 42 11% 19% 20% 17% 12% 8% 13%


Current Series - Giants (52‑45) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Blue Jays Sweeps 58 41 17% 22% 20% 17% 10% 6% 7%
Current Standings 55 41 13% 20% 19% 17% 11% 7% 12%
Giants Sweeps 55 44 8% 16% 19% 17% 13% 10% 18%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
66 of 66 100% 121 41 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 66 91% 115 47 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
50 of 66 76% 105 57 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 66 74% 104 58 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 66 73% 103 59 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 66 71% 102 60 86% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 66 70% 101 61 79% 20% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 66 68% 100 62 70% 27% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 66 67% 99 63 61% 34% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 66 65% 98 64 49% 42% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 66 64% 97 65 39% 47% 10% 4% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 66 62% 96 66 29% 49% 16% 6% <1% <1% <1%
40 of 66 61% 95 67 20% 47% 23% 11% <1% <1% <1%
39 of 66 59% 94 68 12% 42% 29% 16% 1% <1% <1%
38 of 66 58% 93 69 6% 34% 35% 22% 2% <1% <1%
37 of 66 56% 92 70 3% 24% 38% 29% 5% <1% <1%
36 of 66 55% 91 71 1% 16% 39% 33% 10% 1% <1%
35 of 66 53% 90 72 <1% 9% 35% 35% 18% 3% <1%
34 of 66 52% 89 73 <1% 4% 28% 32% 27% 8% 1%
33 of 66 50% 88 74 <1% 1% 20% 26% 34% 15% 3%
32 of 66 48% 87 75 <1% <1% 14% 17% 35% 25% 9%
31 of 66 47% 86 76 <1% <1% 8% 9% 29% 32% 21%
30 of 66 45% 85 77 <1% <1% 4% 4% 20% 33% 38%
29 of 66 44% 84 78 <1% <1% 2% 1% 11% 27% 59%
28 of 66 42% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 4% 17% 78%
27 of 66 41% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 91%
20 of 66 30% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 66 15% 65 97 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 66 0% 55 107 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs