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Wed Jun 3 1:15 am

MLB - Week 11 of 27

Cardinals Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Cardinals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Cardinals Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Cardinals Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cardinals
(31‑28)
vs
Rangers
(30‑31)
1 Game Remaining		 6 Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game 1% 3% 5% 10% 11% 10% 59%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Rangers Sweeps 1 Game 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 62%
Astros
(27‑35)
vs
Pirates
(33‑28)
2 Games Remaining		 3 Astros Sweeps 2 Games 1% 3% 5% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Pirates Sweeps 2 Games 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 61%
Giants
(23‑38)
vs
Brewers
(37‑21)
2 Games Remaining		 3 Giants Sweeps 2 Games 1% 3% 5% 9% 10% 10% 61%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Brewers Sweeps 2 Games 1% 3% 4% 10% 11% 10% 61%
Athletics
(29‑31)
vs
Cubs
(32‑29)
2 Games Remaining		 2 Athletics Sweeps 2 Games 1% 3% 5% 11% 10% 10% 60%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Cubs Sweeps 2 Games 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 61%
Blue Jays
(29‑32)
vs
Braves
(41‑20)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games 1% 3% 4% 11% 10% 10% 60%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Braves Sweeps 2 Games 1% 3% 5% 10% 10% 10% 61%
Dodgers
(39‑22)
vs
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(32‑28)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games 1% 3% 4% 10% 11% 10% 60%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 61%
Royals
(23‑38)
vs
Reds
(31‑29)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Royals Sweeps 1 Game 1% 3% 4% 11% 11% 10% 60%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Reds Sweeps 1 Game 1% 3% 5% 11% 10% 10% 60%
Phillies
(31‑29)
vs
Padres
(32‑27)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Phillies Sweeps 2 Games 1% 3% 4% 11% 10% 10% 61%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Padres Sweeps 2 Games 1% 3% 4% 10% 11% 10% 61%
Mariners
(33‑29)
vs
Mets
(26‑35)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Mariners Sweeps 1 Game 1% 3% 4% 11% 10% 10% 60%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Mets Sweeps 1 Game 1% 3% 4% 10% 11% 10% 61%
Rockies
(24‑38)
vs
Angels
(23‑39)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Rockies Sweeps 1 Game 1% 3% 5% 10% 11% 10% 60%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Angels Sweeps 1 Game 1% 3% 4% 10% 11% 11% 60%
Nationals
(31‑31)
vs
Marlins
(28‑34)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Nationals Sweeps 1 Game 1% 3% 4% 10% 11% 10% 60%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Marlins Sweeps 1 Game 1% 3% 5% 10% 11% 10% 60%


Cardinals Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Cardinals Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cardinals
(31‑28)
vs
Rangers
(30‑31)		 6 Cardinals Wins 1% 3% 5% 10% 11% 10% 59%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Rangers Wins 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 62%
Astros
(27‑35)
vs
Pirates
(33‑28)		 1 Astros Wins 1% 3% 4% 10% 11% 11% 60%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Pirates Wins 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 61%
Cubs
(32‑29)
vs
Athletics
(29‑31)		 1 Cubs Wins 1% 3% 4% 11% 10% 10% 60%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Athletics Wins 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 61%
Phillies
(31‑29)
vs
Padres
(32‑27)		 1 Phillies Wins 1% 3% 4% 11% 11% 10% 60%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Padres Wins 1% 3% 4% 10% 11% 10% 60%
Giants
(23‑38)
vs
Brewers
(37‑21)		 1 Giants Wins 1% 3% 5% 10% 10% 10% 61%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Brewers Wins 1% 3% 4% 10% 11% 10% 60%
Dodgers
(39‑22)
vs
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(32‑28)		 0 Dodgers Wins 1% 3% 4% 10% 11% 10% 60%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins 1% 3% 4% 10% 11% 10% 61%
Blue Jays
(29‑32)
vs
Braves
(41‑20)		 0 Blue Jays Wins 1% 3% 4% 11% 11% 10% 60%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Braves Wins 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 61%
Royals
(23‑38)
vs
Reds
(31‑29)		 0 Royals Wins 1% 3% 4% 11% 11% 10% 60%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Reds Wins 1% 3% 5% 11% 10% 10% 60%
Mariners
(33‑29)
vs
Mets
(26‑35)		 0 Mariners Wins 1% 3% 4% 11% 10% 10% 60%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Mets Wins 1% 3% 4% 10% 11% 10% 61%
Rockies
(24‑38)
vs
Angels
(23‑39)		 0 Rockies Wins 1% 3% 5% 10% 11% 10% 60%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Angels Wins 1% 3% 4% 10% 11% 11% 60%
Nationals
(31‑31)
vs
Marlins
(28‑34)		 0 Nationals Wins 1% 3% 4% 10% 11% 10% 60%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 4% 10% 10% 10% 60%
Marlins Wins 1% 3% 5% 10% 11% 10% 60%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs