The Cardinals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cardinals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 15 | 13 | 2% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 67% |
| Current Standings | 14 | 13 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 68% |
| Lose Next Game | 14 | 14 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 68% |
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Cardinals Sweeps | 18 | 13 | 3% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 63% |
| Current Standings | 14 | 13 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 68% |
| Pirates Sweeps | 14 | 17 | 1% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 73% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 135 of 135 | 100% | 149 | 13 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 130 of 135 | 96% | 144 | 18 | >99% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 120 of 135 | 89% | 134 | 28 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 110 of 135 | 81% | 124 | 38 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 103 of 135 | 76% | 117 | 45 | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 102 of 135 | 76% | 116 | 46 | 91% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 101 of 135 | 75% | 115 | 47 | 89% | 11% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 100 of 135 | 74% | 114 | 48 | 85% | 14% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 99 of 135 | 73% | 113 | 49 | 81% | 17% | 1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 98 of 135 | 73% | 112 | 50 | 76% | 20% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 97 of 135 | 72% | 111 | 51 | 71% | 24% | 2% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 96 of 135 | 71% | 110 | 52 | 65% | 27% | 2% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 95 of 135 | 70% | 109 | 53 | 59% | 31% | 3% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 94 of 135 | 70% | 108 | 54 | 53% | 34% | 4% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 93 of 135 | 69% | 107 | 55 | 46% | 35% | 6% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 92 of 135 | 68% | 106 | 56 | 39% | 38% | 7% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 91 of 135 | 67% | 105 | 57 | 33% | 38% | 8% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 90 of 135 | 67% | 104 | 58 | 27% | 38% | 11% | 22% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 89 of 135 | 66% | 103 | 59 | 22% | 37% | 12% | 25% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 88 of 135 | 65% | 102 | 60 | 16% | 34% | 14% | 30% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| 87 of 135 | 64% | 101 | 61 | 12% | 32% | 14% | 33% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| 86 of 135 | 64% | 100 | 62 | 9% | 29% | 16% | 33% | 11% | 1% | <1% |
| 85 of 135 | 63% | 99 | 63 | 6% | 25% | 18% | 34% | 15% | 2% | <1% |
| 84 of 135 | 62% | 98 | 64 | 4% | 20% | 18% | 34% | 20% | 4% | <1% |
| 83 of 135 | 61% | 97 | 65 | 2% | 16% | 18% | 33% | 24% | 6% | 1% |
| 82 of 135 | 61% | 96 | 66 | 1% | 13% | 17% | 31% | 28% | 9% | 1% |
| 81 of 135 | 60% | 95 | 67 | 1% | 10% | 16% | 27% | 32% | 12% | 2% |
| 80 of 135 | 59% | 94 | 68 | <1% | 7% | 16% | 23% | 33% | 17% | 4% |
| 79 of 135 | 59% | 93 | 69 | <1% | 5% | 13% | 19% | 34% | 22% | 7% |
| 78 of 135 | 58% | 92 | 70 | <1% | 4% | 12% | 14% | 33% | 27% | 10% |
| 77 of 135 | 57% | 91 | 71 | <1% | 3% | 10% | 11% | 29% | 31% | 16% |
| 76 of 135 | 56% | 90 | 72 | <1% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 27% | 32% | 24% |
| 75 of 135 | 56% | 89 | 73 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 22% | 33% | 32% |
| 74 of 135 | 55% | 88 | 74 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 17% | 32% | 42% |
| 73 of 135 | 54% | 87 | 75 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 2% | 13% | 28% | 53% |
| 72 of 135 | 53% | 86 | 76 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 1% | 9% | 24% | 63% |
| 71 of 135 | 53% | 85 | 77 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 5% | 19% | 73% |
| 70 of 135 | 52% | 84 | 78 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 80% |
| 69 of 135 | 51% | 83 | 79 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 87% |
| 68 of 135 | 50% | 82 | 80 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 92% |
| 67 of 135 | 50% | 81 | 81 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 95% |
| 60 of 135 | 44% | 74 | 88 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 50 of 135 | 37% | 64 | 98 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 40 of 135 | 30% | 54 | 108 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 30 of 135 | 22% | 44 | 118 | X | X | <1% | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 20 of 135 | 15% | 34 | 128 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 10 of 135 | 7% | 24 | 138 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 135 | 0% | 14 | 148 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |