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Tue Jul 1 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Cardinals What If?

The Cardinals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cardinals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cardinals What If?

Next Game - Pirates (36‑50)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 48 39 5% 9% 8% 15% 14% 13% 36%
Current Standings 47 39 4% 8% 8% 14% 14% 13% 38%
Lose Next Game 47 40 4% 7% 8% 13% 14% 13% 41%


Current Series - Pirates (36‑50) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Cardinals Sweeps 49 39 5% 9% 9% 15% 15% 13% 34%
Current Standings 47 39 4% 8% 8% 14% 14% 13% 38%
Pirates Sweeps 47 41 3% 6% 8% 12% 14% 13% 44%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
76 of 76 100% 123 39 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 76 92% 117 45 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
60 of 76 79% 107 55 96% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 76 78% 106 56 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 76 76% 105 57 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 76 75% 104 58 84% 15% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 76 74% 103 59 78% 19% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 76 72% 102 60 70% 26% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 76 71% 101 61 63% 30% 3% 5% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 76 70% 100 62 52% 36% 5% 7% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 76 68% 99 63 43% 39% 7% 11% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 76 67% 98 64 31% 42% 11% 15% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 76 66% 97 65 23% 42% 14% 20% 1% <1% <1%
49 of 76 64% 96 66 15% 37% 19% 27% 2% <1% <1%
48 of 76 63% 95 67 9% 32% 22% 32% 5% <1% <1%
47 of 76 62% 94 68 5% 25% 24% 36% 9% 1% <1%
46 of 76 61% 93 69 2% 18% 24% 37% 17% 2% <1%
45 of 76 59% 92 70 1% 11% 23% 35% 25% 5% <1%
44 of 76 58% 91 71 <1% 6% 20% 30% 32% 11% 1%
43 of 76 57% 90 72 <1% 3% 15% 21% 37% 19% 4%
42 of 76 55% 89 73 <1% 1% 10% 15% 36% 28% 9%
41 of 76 54% 88 74 <1% 1% 7% 7% 29% 36% 20%
40 of 76 53% 87 75 <1% <1% 4% 3% 21% 37% 35%
39 of 76 51% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 1% 11% 31% 54%
38 of 76 50% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% <1% 6% 23% 70%
37 of 76 49% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 85%
36 of 76 47% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
30 of 76 39% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 76 26% 67 95 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 76 13% 57 105 X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 76 0% 47 115 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs