The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (8‑9) vs Phillies (8‑9) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 66% | ||
| Giants (6‑11) vs Reds (10‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Braves (11‑7) vs Marlins (9‑9) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Rockies (6‑11) vs Astros (7‑11) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 65% | ||
| Mets (7‑11) vs Dodgers (13‑4) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Orioles (9‑8) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (10‑8) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 65% | ||
| Blue Jays (7‑9) vs Brewers (8‑8) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 65% | ||
| Pirates (10‑7) vs Nationals (8‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 65% | ||
| Mariners (8‑10) vs Padres (11‑6) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Guardians (10‑8) vs Cardinals (9‑8) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (8‑9) vs Phillies (8‑9) |
4 | Cubs Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 66% | ||
| Braves (11‑7) vs Marlins (9‑9) |
1 | Braves Wins | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Nationals (8‑9) vs Pirates (10‑7) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 65% | ||
| Mariners (8‑10) vs Padres (11‑6) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Padres Wins | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 65% | ||
| Brewers (8‑8) vs Blue Jays (7‑9) |
1 | Brewers Wins | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 3% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Mets (7‑11) vs Dodgers (13‑4) |
1 | Mets Wins | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Orioles (9‑8) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (10‑8) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 3% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 65% | ||
| Rockies (6‑11) vs Astros (7‑11) |
0 | Rockies Wins | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Astros Wins | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 65% | ||
| Giants (6‑11) vs Reds (10‑7) |
0 | Giants Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Reds Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Guardians (10‑8) vs Cardinals (9‑8) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 3% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 3% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||