The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (72‑52) vs Cardinals (62‑61) 1 Game Remaining |
9 | Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 7% | 3% | 68% | 10% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 5% | 3% | 66% | 14% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Dodgers (74‑50) vs Brewers (76‑48) 1 Game Remaining |
5 | Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 8% | 4% | 64% | 12% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 5% | 2% | 69% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Guardians (60‑64) vs Padres (66‑58) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 6% | 3% | 66% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Twins (60‑64) vs Phillies (66‑58) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Reds (59‑63) vs Marlins (63‑61) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 11% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 11% | 4% | 2% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (66‑58) vs Braves (73‑50) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 6% | 3% | 66% | 12% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 1 Game | 6% | 6% | 3% | 68% | 11% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Pirates (60‑65) vs Red Sox (66‑57) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 6% | 3% | 66% | 12% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 6% | 3% | 66% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Giants (51‑72) vs Rockies (49‑74) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 6% | 3% | 66% | 12% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 6% | 3% | 66% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Mets (55‑69) vs Nationals (60‑65) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 7% | 3% | 66% | 12% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 6% | 3% | 66% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (72‑52) vs Cardinals (62‑61) |
9 | Cubs Wins | 8% | 7% | 3% | 68% | 10% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 66% | 14% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Dodgers (74‑50) vs Brewers (76‑48) |
5 | Dodgers Wins | 7% | 8% | 4% | 64% | 12% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 7% | 5% | 2% | 69% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Guardians (60‑64) vs Padres (66‑58) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Padres Wins | 7% | 6% | 3% | 66% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Twins (60‑64) vs Phillies (66‑58) |
1 | Twins Wins | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Reds (59‑63) vs Marlins (63‑61) |
1 | Reds Wins | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 11% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 11% | 4% | 2% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (66‑58) vs Braves (73‑50) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 7% | 6% | 3% | 66% | 12% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Braves Wins | 6% | 6% | 3% | 68% | 11% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Pirates (60‑65) vs Red Sox (66‑57) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 7% | 6% | 3% | 66% | 12% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 7% | 6% | 3% | 66% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Giants (51‑72) vs Rockies (49‑74) |
0 | Giants Wins | 7% | 6% | 3% | 66% | 12% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 7% | 6% | 3% | 66% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Mets (55‑69) vs Nationals (60‑65) |
0 | Mets Wins | 7% | 7% | 3% | 66% | 12% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 67% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 7% | 6% | 3% | 66% | 12% | 4% | 2% | ||