The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (54‑36) vs Twins (43‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
25 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 42% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 26% | 24% | 18% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Nationals (37‑53) vs Cardinals (48‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
6 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 35% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 34% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Dodgers (56‑36) vs Brewers (51‑40) 2 Games Remaining |
5 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 32% | 27% | 18% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 36% | 23% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Marlins (41‑48) vs Reds (45‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Red Sox (47‑45) vs Rockies (21‑70) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Phillies (53‑38) vs Giants (50‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 34% | 23% | 17% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 36% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Braves (39‑50) vs Athletics (37‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Royals (44‑48) vs Pirates (38‑54) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 35% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Orioles (40‑49) vs Mets (52‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 35% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 33% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (45‑45) vs Padres (48‑42) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 35% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (54‑36) vs Twins (43‑47) |
9 | Cubs Wins | 37% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Twins Wins | 32% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Dodgers (56‑36) vs Brewers (51‑40) |
3 | Dodgers Wins | 34% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 36% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Nationals (37‑53) vs Cardinals (48‑43) |
2 | Nationals Wins | 35% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 35% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Marlins (41‑48) vs Reds (45‑45) |
1 | Marlins Wins | 35% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Reds Wins | 35% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (45‑45) vs Padres (48‑42) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 35% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Padres Wins | 35% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Pirates (38‑54) vs Royals (44‑48) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 35% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Royals Wins | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Braves (39‑50) vs Athletics (37‑55) |
1 | Braves Wins | 34% | 24% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Rockies (21‑70) vs Red Sox (47‑45) |
0 | Rockies Wins | 35% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 34% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Orioles (40‑49) vs Mets (52‑39) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 35% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Mets Wins | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Giants (50‑42) vs Phillies (53‑38) |
0 | Giants Wins | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 33% | 25% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||