PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Jul 8 3:30 am

MLB - Week 17 of 28

Cubs Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Cubs Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Cubs
(54‑36)

vs
Twins
(43‑47)

3 Games Remaining
25 Cubs Sweeps 3 Games 42% 24% 13% 8% 6% 3% 3%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Twins Sweeps 3 Games 26% 24% 18% 10% 9% 6% 8%
Nationals
(37‑53)

vs
Cardinals
(48‑43)

3 Games Remaining
6 Nationals Sweeps 3 Games 35% 25% 17% 8% 6% 4% 4%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games 34% 23% 15% 10% 7% 5% 5%
Dodgers
(56‑36)

vs
Brewers
(51‑40)

2 Games Remaining
5 Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games 32% 27% 18% 8% 6% 5% 5%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Brewers Sweeps 2 Games 36% 23% 14% 11% 7% 5% 5%
Marlins
(41‑48)

vs
Reds
(45‑45)

3 Games Remaining
3 Marlins Sweeps 3 Games 35% 24% 15% 9% 7% 5% 4%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Reds Sweeps 3 Games 35% 24% 15% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Red Sox
(47‑45)

vs
Rockies
(21‑70)

2 Games Remaining
1 Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games 35% 24% 15% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Rockies Sweeps 2 Games 35% 24% 15% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Phillies
(53‑38)

vs
Giants
(50‑42)

2 Games Remaining
1 Phillies Sweeps 2 Games 34% 23% 17% 9% 7% 4% 5%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Giants Sweeps 2 Games 36% 24% 15% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Braves
(39‑50)

vs
Athletics
(37‑55)

3 Games Remaining
1 Braves Sweeps 3 Games 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Athletics Sweeps 3 Games 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Royals
(44‑48)

vs
Pirates
(38‑54)

2 Games Remaining
0 Royals Sweeps 2 Games 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Pirates Sweeps 2 Games 35% 24% 15% 10% 7% 5% 5%
Orioles
(40‑49)

vs
Mets
(52‑39)

3 Games Remaining
0 Orioles Sweeps 3 Games 35% 24% 14% 10% 7% 4% 5%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Mets Sweeps 3 Games 33% 24% 17% 9% 7% 5% 5%
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(45‑45)

vs
Padres
(48‑42)

3 Games Remaining
0 DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games 35% 24% 15% 10% 7% 4% 5%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Padres Sweeps 3 Games 35% 24% 15% 9% 7% 5% 5%


Cubs Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Cubs
(54‑36)

vs
Twins
(43‑47)
9 Cubs Wins 37% 24% 15% 9% 6% 4% 4%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Twins Wins 32% 24% 17% 10% 7% 5% 6%
Dodgers
(56‑36)

vs
Brewers
(51‑40)
3 Dodgers Wins 34% 25% 17% 9% 6% 4% 5%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Brewers Wins 36% 23% 15% 10% 7% 5% 5%
Nationals
(37‑53)

vs
Cardinals
(48‑43)
2 Nationals Wins 35% 24% 16% 9% 7% 4% 5%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Cardinals Wins 35% 23% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Marlins
(41‑48)

vs
Reds
(45‑45)
1 Marlins Wins 35% 24% 16% 9% 7% 4% 5%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Reds Wins 35% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(45‑45)

vs
Padres
(48‑42)
1 DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins 35% 24% 16% 9% 7% 4% 5%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Padres Wins 35% 24% 16% 9% 7% 4% 5%
Pirates
(38‑54)

vs
Royals
(44‑48)
1 Pirates Wins 35% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Royals Wins 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Braves
(39‑50)

vs
Athletics
(37‑55)
1 Braves Wins 34% 24% 16% 10% 7% 5% 5%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Athletics Wins 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Rockies
(21‑70)

vs
Red Sox
(47‑45)
0 Rockies Wins 35% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Red Sox Wins 34% 24% 15% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Orioles
(40‑49)

vs
Mets
(52‑39)
0 Orioles Wins 35% 24% 15% 10% 7% 5% 5%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Mets Wins 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 4% 5%
Giants
(50‑42)

vs
Phillies
(53‑38)
0 Giants Wins 35% 24% 15% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Current Probabilities 34% 24% 16% 9% 7% 5% 5%
Phillies Wins 33% 25% 16% 10% 7% 5% 5%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs