The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (27‑16) vs Braves (30‑13) 1 Game Remaining |
7 | Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | 19% | 16% | 7% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 1 Game | 16% | 16% | 8% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 26% | ||
| Rockies (17‑26) vs Pirates (23‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 17% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 25% | ||
| Giants (18‑25) vs Dodgers (25‑18) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 16% | 8% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 26% | ||
| Padres (25‑17) vs Brewers (23‑17) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 16% | 8% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Athletics (22‑20) vs Cardinals (24‑18) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 16% | 8% | 15% | 10% | 9% | 25% | ||
| Tigers (19‑24) vs Mets (17‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 16% | 8% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Nationals (21‑22) vs Reds (22‑21) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 16% | 8% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 16% | 7% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 25% | ||
| Red Sox (18‑24) vs Phillies (20‑23) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Marlins (20‑23) vs Twins (19‑24) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 19% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 25% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (27‑16) vs Braves (30‑13) |
7 | Cubs Wins | 19% | 16% | 7% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Braves Wins | 16% | 16% | 8% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 26% | ||
| Rockies (17‑26) vs Pirates (23‑20) |
3 | Rockies Wins | 18% | 17% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 25% | ||
| Giants (18‑25) vs Dodgers (25‑18) |
1 | Giants Wins | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 18% | 16% | 8% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 26% | ||
| Padres (25‑17) vs Brewers (23‑17) |
1 | Padres Wins | 18% | 16% | 8% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Athletics (22‑20) vs Cardinals (24‑18) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 18% | 16% | 8% | 15% | 10% | 9% | 25% | ||
| Tigers (19‑24) vs Mets (17‑25) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Mets Wins | 18% | 16% | 8% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Nationals (21‑22) vs Reds (22‑21) |
0 | Nationals Wins | 18% | 16% | 8% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Reds Wins | 18% | 16% | 7% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 25% | ||
| Red Sox (18‑24) vs Phillies (20‑23) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Marlins (20‑23) vs Twins (19‑24) |
0 | Marlins Wins | 19% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Twins Wins | 18% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 25% | ||