The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (58‑45) vs Pirates (53‑51) 2 Games Remaining |
21 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 5% | 4% | 46% | 19% | 11% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 3% | 35% | 19% | 13% | 26% | ||
| Rockies (42‑63) vs Brewers (64‑39) 2 Games Remaining |
5 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 5% | 5% | 37% | 19% | 12% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 3% | 41% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Nationals (52‑52) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (55‑49) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 4% | 41% | 19% | 12% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 3% | 38% | 20% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Reds (48‑54) vs Cardinals (52‑51) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 3% | 41% | 19% | 12% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 3% | 39% | 20% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Yankees (58‑45) vs Phillies (56‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 3% | 41% | 19% | 12% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 3% | 39% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Orioles (50‑54) vs Braves (61‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 4% | 39% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Padres (51‑53) vs Marlins (52‑52) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 3% | 39% | 19% | 13% | 21% | ||
| Dodgers (66‑38) vs Mets (43‑61) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 3% | 39% | 20% | 12% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Angels (41‑63) vs Giants (43‑60) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 3% | 39% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (58‑45) vs Pirates (53‑51) |
9 | Cubs Wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | 42% | 20% | 11% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | 37% | 19% | 13% | 23% | ||
| Rockies (42‑63) vs Brewers (64‑39) |
2 | Rockies Wins | 1% | 5% | 4% | 38% | 19% | 12% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 20% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Yankees (58‑45) vs Phillies (56‑48) |
1 | Yankees Wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | 41% | 18% | 12% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | 39% | 19% | 13% | 21% | ||
| Reds (48‑54) vs Cardinals (52‑51) |
1 | Reds Wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Orioles (50‑54) vs Braves (61‑42) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Braves Wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | 39% | 20% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Marlins (52‑52) vs Padres (51‑53) |
0 | Marlins Wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Padres Wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Dodgers (66‑38) vs Mets (43‑61) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | 39% | 19% | 12% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Mets Wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | 39% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (55‑49) vs Nationals (52‑52) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | 39% | 19% | 13% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 18% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Angels (41‑63) vs Giants (43‑60) |
0 | Angels Wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | 39% | 19% | 12% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 3% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||
| Giants Wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | 39% | 19% | 12% | 21% | ||