The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (85‑74) vs Padres (89‑70) 3 Games Remaining |
12 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 64% | 21% | 15% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | X | 79% | 21% | ^ | ||
| Cubs (88‑72) vs Red Sox (86‑74) 2 Games Remaining |
7 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | 39% | 61% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | 51% | 49% | ^ | ||
| Rays (96‑63) vs Phillies (87‑72) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 13% | 87% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 9% | 17% | 74% | ^ | ||
| Tigers (74‑85) vs Pirates (81‑78) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Nationals (75‑84) vs Mets (73‑86) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Blue Jays (77‑82) vs Reds (74‑85) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Braves (93‑66) vs Marlins (78‑81) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Brewers (100‑59) vs Cardinals (77‑82) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| White Sox (82‑77) vs Rockies (57‑102) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Dodgers (97‑62) vs Giants (65‑94) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (88‑72) vs Red Sox (86‑74) |
3 | Cubs Wins | X | X | X | 22% | 72% | 7% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Red Sox Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 65% | 32% | ^ | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (85‑74) vs Padres (89‑70) |
3 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | X | X | X | 22% | 58% | 20% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Padres Wins | X | X | X | 4% | 75% | 21% | ^ | ||
| Rays (96‑63) vs Phillies (87‑72) |
0 | Rays Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 81% | 7% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Phillies Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 55% | 33% | ^ | ||
| Tigers (74‑85) vs Pirates (81‑78) |
0 | Tigers Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Pirates Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Nationals (75‑84) vs Mets (73‑86) |
0 | Nationals Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Mets Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Blue Jays (77‑82) vs Reds (74‑85) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Reds Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Braves (93‑66) vs Marlins (78‑81) |
0 | Braves Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Marlins Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Brewers (100‑59) vs Cardinals (77‑82) |
0 | Brewers Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Cardinals Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| White Sox (82‑77) vs Rockies (57‑102) |
0 | White Sox Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Rockies Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Dodgers (97‑62) vs Giants (65‑94) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Giants Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 67% | 20% | ^ | ||