The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (76‑58) vs Rockies (38‑96) 3 Games Remaining |
22 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 4% | 1% | 63% | 20% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 43% | 42% | 11% | 1% | ||
| Blue Jays (78‑56) vs Brewers (83‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
17 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 5% | 2% | 51% | 27% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 1% | <1% | 63% | 28% | 4% | <1% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (66‑69) vs Dodgers (77‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 3% | 1% | 67% | 19% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 3% | 1% | 53% | 32% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Twins (60‑73) vs Padres (75‑59) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 3% | 1% | 65% | 20% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 4% | 1% | 52% | 32% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals (66‑69) vs Reds (68‑66) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Giants (66‑68) vs Orioles (60‑74) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Braves (61‑73) vs Phillies (77‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 3% | <1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Red Sox (75‑60) vs Pirates (59‑76) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 3% | 1% | 57% | 27% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Mets (72‑62) vs Marlins (63‑71) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 3% | 1% | 57% | 26% | 6% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 3% | 1% | 59% | 28% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Nationals (53‑80) vs Rays (64‑69) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 3% | 1% | 59% | 26% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (76‑58) vs Rockies (38‑96) |
8 | Cubs Wins | 7% | 3% | 1% | 59% | 26% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 4% | 3% | 1% | 54% | 32% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Blue Jays (78‑56) vs Brewers (83‑52) |
6 | Blue Jays Wins | 7% | 4% | 2% | 56% | 27% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 5% | 2% | 1% | 61% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Twins (60‑73) vs Padres (75‑59) |
1 | Twins Wins | 7% | 3% | 1% | 60% | 25% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Padres Wins | 6% | 3% | 1% | 56% | 29% | 4% | <1% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (66‑69) vs Dodgers (77‑57) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 7% | 3% | 1% | 60% | 25% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 6% | 3% | 1% | 56% | 29% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Rays (64‑69) vs Nationals (53‑80) |
1 | Rays Wins | 7% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Orioles (60‑74) vs Giants (66‑68) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Giants Wins | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Mets (72‑62) vs Marlins (63‑71) |
0 | Mets Wins | 6% | 3% | 1% | 57% | 27% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 28% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Red Sox (75‑60) vs Pirates (59‑76) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals (66‑69) vs Reds (68‑66) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Reds Wins | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Phillies (77‑57) vs Braves (61‑73) |
0 | Phillies Wins | 6% | 3% | 1% | 57% | 28% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 3% | 1% | 58% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Braves Wins | 6% | 3% | 1% | 59% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ||