The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (44‑28) vs Brewers (39‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
33 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 29% | 26% | 25% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 18% | 21% | 25% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| White Sox (23‑49) vs Cardinals (37‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
7 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 25% | 24% | 27% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 25% | 23% | 24% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Twins (36‑35) vs Reds (36‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
4 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 25% | 24% | 26% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 25% | 23% | 25% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Blue Jays (38‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 25% | 23% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 24% | 23% | 25% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 12% | ||
| Tigers (46‑27) vs Pirates (29‑44) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 24% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 24% | 23% | 25% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Marlins (28‑41) vs Phillies (42‑29) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Marlins Sweeps 4 Games | 26% | 23% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 4 Games | 23% | 24% | 26% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Braves (31‑39) vs Mets (45‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 27% | 23% | 23% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 23% | 23% | 26% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Guardians (35‑35) vs Giants (41‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 25% | 24% | 24% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 24% | 23% | 26% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Rockies (14‑57) vs Nationals (30‑41) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 4 Games | 25% | 24% | 24% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 4 Games | 24% | 24% | 25% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Dodgers (43‑29) vs Padres (39‑31) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 4 Games | 24% | 24% | 26% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 4 Games | 26% | 23% | 24% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (44‑28) vs Brewers (39‑34) |
10 | Cubs Wins | 26% | 24% | 25% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 22% | 23% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 12% | ||
| White Sox (23‑49) vs Cardinals (37‑35) |
3 | White Sox Wins | 25% | 24% | 26% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 24% | 23% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Twins (36‑35) vs Reds (36‑35) |
2 | Twins Wins | 25% | 24% | 25% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Reds Wins | 25% | 23% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Blue Jays (38‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑34) |
2 | Blue Jays Wins | 24% | 24% | 24% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 25% | 23% | 24% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 12% | ||
| Mets (45‑27) vs Braves (31‑39) |
2 | Mets Wins | 25% | 24% | 26% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Braves Wins | 25% | 24% | 24% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Marlins (28‑41) vs Phillies (42‑29) |
2 | Marlins Wins | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 24% | 23% | 25% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Padres (39‑31) vs Dodgers (43‑29) |
1 | Padres Wins | 25% | 24% | 25% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 25% | 23% | 25% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Guardians (35‑35) vs Giants (41‑31) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Giants Wins | 24% | 23% | 25% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Pirates (29‑44) vs Tigers (46‑27) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 25% | 24% | 24% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 25% | 23% | 25% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Rockies (14‑57) vs Nationals (30‑41) |
0 | Rockies Wins | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 25% | 24% | 25% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||