The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (80‑62) vs Marlins (71‑71) 2 Games Remaining |
8 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 73% | 24% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 49% | 40% | 9% | 2% | ||
| Braves (84‑57) vs Phillies (79‑62) 3 Games Remaining |
6 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 76% | 19% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 47% | 45% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Reds (67‑74) vs Brewers (88‑54) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 62% | 32% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 62% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Yankees (80‑61) vs Padres (74‑67) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 62% | 33% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 60% | 31% | 7% | 1% | ||
| Astros (73‑69) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (74‑68) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 62% | 33% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 60% | 31% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Rockies (54‑87) vs Cardinals (71‑71) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Dodgers (84‑57) vs Nationals (67‑76) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 33% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Pirates (70‑72) vs Angels (53‑88) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 33% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Mets (64‑77) vs Giants (58‑84) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 62% | 32% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 62% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (80‑62) vs Marlins (71‑71) |
4 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 67% | 28% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 55% | 36% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Braves (84‑57) vs Phillies (79‑62) |
2 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 66% | 28% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 56% | 37% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Astros (73‑69) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (74‑68) |
1 | Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 33% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Reds (67‑74) vs Brewers (88‑54) |
1 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Yankees (80‑61) vs Padres (74‑67) |
1 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 62% | 33% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Pirates (70‑72) vs Angels (53‑88) |
0 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 62% | 32% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 62% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Mets (64‑77) vs Giants (58‑84) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Dodgers (84‑57) vs Nationals (67‑76) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 62% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Cardinals (71‑71) vs Rockies (54‑87) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 62% | 32% | 5% | 1% | ||