The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Angels (69‑81) vs Brewers (91‑59) 3 Games Remaining |
12 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 7% | <1% | 85% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cubs (85‑64) vs Pirates (65‑85) 3 Games Remaining |
10 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 3% | <1% | 94% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 83% | 17% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mets (77‑73) vs Padres (82‑68) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 97% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 86% | 12% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Phillies (89‑61) vs Dodgers (84‑65) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | <1% | 95% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 90% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals (73‑77) vs Reds (74‑75) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Giants (75‑74) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (75‑75) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nationals (62‑87) vs Braves (66‑83) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rockies (41‑109) vs Marlins (70‑80) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (85‑64) vs Pirates (65‑85) |
3 | Cubs Wins | 1% | 2% | <1% | 94% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 91% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Angels (69‑81) vs Brewers (91‑59) |
3 | Angels Wins | 1% | 2% | <1% | 91% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 93% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mets (77‑73) vs Padres (82‑68) |
1 | Mets Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 94% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Padres Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 90% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Phillies (89‑61) vs Dodgers (84‑65) |
0 | Phillies Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 93% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (75‑75) vs Giants (75‑74) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Giants Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Reds (74‑75) vs Cardinals (73‑77) |
0 | Reds Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 93% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nationals (62‑87) vs Braves (66‑83) |
0 | Nationals Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Braves Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rockies (41‑109) vs Marlins (70‑80) |
0 | Rockies Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 92% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||