The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (44‑38) vs Brewers (50‑29) 2 Games Remaining |
19 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 58% | ||
| Mets (34‑48) vs Phillies (46‑36) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Dodgers (52‑30) vs Padres (43‑37) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Rays (46‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (41‑40) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Marlins (43‑39) vs Cardinals (42‑37) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Reds (38‑42) vs Pirates (41‑41) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Giants (33‑48) vs Braves (49‑31) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 54% | ||
| Twins (39‑44) vs Rockies (32‑50) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Nationals (41‑42) vs Orioles (39‑44) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 54% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (44‑38) vs Brewers (50‑29) |
10 | Cubs Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 57% | ||
| Dodgers (52‑30) vs Padres (43‑37) |
2 | Dodgers Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Padres Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Rays (46‑33) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (41‑40) |
1 | Rays Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Braves (49‑31) vs Giants (33‑48) |
1 | Braves Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Giants Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 54% | ||
| Mets (34‑48) vs Phillies (46‑36) |
1 | Mets Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Twins (39‑44) vs Rockies (32‑50) |
1 | Twins Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 54% | ||
| Marlins (43‑39) vs Cardinals (42‑37) |
0 | Marlins Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 54% | ||
| Nationals (41‑42) vs Orioles (39‑44) |
0 | Nationals Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 54% | ||
| Reds (38‑42) vs Pirates (41‑41) |
0 | Reds Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 54% | ||