The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (29‑19) vs Brewers (27‑18) 2 Games Remaining |
18 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 13% | 12% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 32% | ||
| Pirates (24‑23) vs Cardinals (27‑19) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 16% | 14% | 8% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 15% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 29% | ||
| Giants (20‑28) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (23‑23) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Nationals (23‑25) vs Mets (21‑26) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 15% | 14% | 8% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Braves (32‑16) vs Marlins (22‑26) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 15% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 13% | 7% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Padres (29‑18) vs Dodgers (29‑19) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 16% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Phillies (25‑23) vs Reds (24‑24) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Rockies (19‑29) vs Rangers (22‑25) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 16% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | 16% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (29‑19) vs Brewers (27‑18) |
9 | Cubs Wins | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 14% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 30% | ||
| Pirates (24‑23) vs Cardinals (27‑19) |
2 | Pirates Wins | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 15% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Marlins (22‑26) vs Braves (32‑16) |
2 | Marlins Wins | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Braves Wins | 15% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Phillies (25‑23) vs Reds (24‑24) |
1 | Phillies Wins | 15% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Reds Wins | 15% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 29% | ||
| Rangers (22‑25) vs Rockies (19‑29) |
1 | Rangers Wins | 16% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 15% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 29% | ||
| Nationals (23‑25) vs Mets (21‑26) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 15% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Mets Wins | 15% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 29% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (23‑23) vs Giants (20‑28) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Giants Wins | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Dodgers (29‑19) vs Padres (29‑18) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | 16% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Padres Wins | 15% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||